Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
Posts: 67,722
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« on: August 11, 2006, 12:01:48 PM » |
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Isn't it a little early for this?
1.Labour Majority: uncertain
2.Labour Minority: uncertain
3.Conservative Minority: uncertain
4.Conservative Majority: unlikely, but not impossible...
5.Liberal Democrats largest party: impossible
6.Gordon Brown is the Labour leader: very likely
7.Gordon Brown is NOT the Labour leader: more likely now than was for a while.
8.BNP pick up one seat: not very likely, but just about possible (and it would be Barking). O/c that assumes the electoral system doesn't change.
9.BNP pick up 2-5 seats: very unlikely
10.BNP pick up more than 5 seats: very, very, very unlikely
11. Greens pick up a seat: possible, but see 8.
12. Scotland is no longer part of the UK by the time of the election: very unlikely. It might have more powers devolved to it though.
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