Strategic Vision: Casey(D) keeps 6 point advantage over Rick Santorum(R)

[OC]

New Poll: Pennsylvania Senator by Strategic Vision on 2006-08-13

Summary: D: 47%, R: 41%, I: 4%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[ATFFL]

Three polls in a row at 6% now.

[Tender Branson]

Yepp, it´s getting closer in PA. And the polling institutes are doing a good job it seems this year. Survey USA was especially good in the Nevada Primary. I hope it´s true what they are telling us about Ohio

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

Wow. For once all the polls seem to be in agreement. I guess the Green may actually give Casey something to sweat about on election night. Good.

[Sibboleth]

The changes from the last poll by SV (Casey -3, Santorum +1, Oth +2) are pretty small, fyi.
In fact the last four or so SV polls of this race have been pretty stable.

[nick]

Yeah, the gap is closing, but take the green off the Survey and Casey is still pulling the 50% he's pulled for the last 6 months or so.  His base support seems to be right around 47-48%, while Santorums is somwhere around 40-42%.

I still like Casey's odds, especially since he has yet to hit the airwaves strong.  He hasnt went negative yet, either.

[nick]

This is totally unscientific, but I heard from a die-hard Santorum supporter at a conservative blog that secretly, Santorum and Swann are expecting to lose.  Apparently Santorum has a gig lined up to do a nationwide speaking tour for $40,000 a stop.  Swann supposedly has a something lined up with the NFL.

Probably just backup plans, but who knows?

[Keystone Phil]

I still like Casey's odds, especially since he has yet to hit the airwaves strong.  He hasnt went negative yet, either.

When he went negative in '02, he got a lot of heat because of it. He better watch how he does it because Santorum can just bring up Casey's failures of four years ago.

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

This is totally unscientific, but I heard from a die-hard Santorum supporter at a conservative blog that secretly, Santorum and Swann are expecting to lose.  Apparently Santorum has a gig lined up to do a nationwide speaking tour for $40,000 a stop.  Swann supposedly has a something lined up with the NFL.

Probably just backup plans, but who knows?

Not exactly shocking considering that neither one has ever lead in a single poll that Ive seen.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Santorum is known for his comebacks.  For the best evidence people should check out electionprojection.com.  I know Scott Elliot is a conservative, but he uses a mathematically formula with polls and approvals ratings and such.  Since last month Casey's lead went from 13 to 5.  That isn't a random prediction, it's averaging polls and other factors.  At best, its not looking good for Casey.  Santorum seems to be gaining the most momentum of any GOP candidate.

Swann is toast.