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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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Posts: 42,144
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« on: September 02, 2006, 08:24:31 PM »

Changes from OTL besides the obvious ones inside Germany.

1934: With No Hitler, Germany did not leave the League of Nations and thus the Sovet Union does not choose to join in 1934.

1936: Spanish Civil War breaks out on schedule.  While there will be a smaller Legión Cóndor involved in the fighting on the Nationalist side, it will not be German, but Polish instead.  There are also significant sized formations of Nationalist volunteers from Czechoslovakia and Austria, but only the Italians and the Poles have the official blessing of their governments.

1938: With an apparent Rydz/Mussolini Axis being built between Poland and Italy and concerns about Germany fading, an Anglo-Franco-German memorandum is signed.  The AFG memorandum calls fro a halt to firther construction of the Maginot Line and allows for Germany to undertake an expansion of its Army and to build an air force.  Germany starts to rearm, but not as preciptously as in OTL, and at least at first with Czech-built rather than home built equipment.  There is no Bf-109 in this timeline.

1939: Spanish Civil war finally comes to an end with the surrender of the last republican forces on September 1.  There will be no Winter War in Finland and Mussolini does not worry about annexing Albania at this time.

1940: Treaty of Rome signed.  It is an economic and military pact that includes Austria, Hungary, Italy, Spain, Poland, and Portugal.  Czechoslavkia and Swiitzerland have observers at the negotiations, but the Czechs don't trust the Poles and the Swiss are unwilling to abandon their traditional military neutrality, despite the fact that the treaty's provisions are mostly symbolic rather than real.  While never an official title, it quickly gains the unoffical name of the Catholic League.

1942: The Italian Consul in Zagreb is assassinated in March by a Serbian nationalist group which claims that the Italians are assisting Croatian terrorists.  Things escalate and by June the Catholic League and the Little Entente (Czecholslovakia, Romania, and Yugoslavia) are at war.  By winter, the Entente will have occupied eastern Hungary and the League northern and coastal Yugoslavia.

1943:  Chungking falls to Japanese and ROC-Nanking forces.  Bulgaria joins in the European War on the side of the Catholic League, hoping to regain Southern Dubroja (lost to Rumania in the Second Balkan War), but frustration over Polish performance in the war to date and thus a likely lack of post-war territorial gains leads the Poles to try their own version of the Schlieffen Plan by invading Bohmeia by crossing German Silesia.  The Germans declare War and worried about Catholic Aggression, Britain and France also join the War.  Spain and Portugal who hadn't been particulary active in the War quickly depart the League and thus fighting remians confined to Cental Europe. By August, it becomes clear that the League is losing and an armistice is arranged. The Allies arrange for a return of the border antebellum for the most part, with some minor territorial concessions being made to Germany and Yugolsavia by Poland and Italy respectively and the Italians being booted out of Albania.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,144
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 02, 2006, 08:30:26 PM »

Stalin was too concentrated on internal enemies.  I can't see him taking the risk of a large war that might lead the Army to control of the Soviet Union instead of him.  Perhaps he would have involved the Soviets in the war I've described in my last post, but actually, I think he would have been more likely to have turned his attention east rather than west, as he would be less likely to provoke Anglo-French intervention in a war against Japan than a war against his European neighbors, and he could keep winning generals safely away from Moscow.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 42,144
United States


« Reply #2 on: September 02, 2006, 10:12:55 PM »

But with Europe and the United States not gearing up as intently for war as in OTL and no embargo, Japan will be able to buy the resources they need as long as the war only involves China and if the Soviet Union attacks, then they probably get support from the British and/or the French.  The embargo was as much to divert resources to the Allied war effort as it was to punish the Japanese.
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