MD-Primary Sept 12
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Author Topic: MD-Primary Sept 12  (Read 17183 times)
Keystone Phil
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« Reply #75 on: September 12, 2006, 10:42:33 PM »

Cardin will have a hell of a fight against Steele (Mfume would have, too, but at least race would have been off the table).

I don't think so. Steele might get some support based on race but in the end, black voters will stay loyal to Cardin. It doesn't matter that much anyway since Cardin will have white Dems totally locked up ending any chance of Steele winning.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #76 on: September 12, 2006, 10:45:12 PM »

AZ-08 is very close, in case you haven't been paying attention.

http://www.azsos.gov/results/2006/primary/REP-1008.htm

Graf leads 40.5% to 39.0% over Huffman.
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Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
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« Reply #77 on: September 12, 2006, 10:47:02 PM »

AZ-08 is very close, in case you haven't been paying attention.

http://www.azsos.gov/results/2006/primary/REP-1008.htm

Graf leads 40.5% to 39.0% over Huffman.

Please please please let the remaining precincts be some Huffman areas!!!
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nickshepDEM
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« Reply #78 on: September 12, 2006, 10:52:57 PM »

Im pretty bummed about District 6, as you know my guy game up short.  IMO, was the most qualified candidate in the race.  He just got in too late (filed the day of the deadline).

ps - WBAL is declaring Doug Gansler winner in AG Race.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #79 on: September 12, 2006, 10:55:00 PM »

48% reporting

Ben Cardin  106,720 46%
Kweisi Mfume  84,536 37%
Josh Rales  12,977 6%
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #80 on: September 12, 2006, 10:56:36 PM »

Cardin will have a hell of a fight against Steele (Mfume would have, too, but at least race would have been off the table).

I don't think so. Steele might get some support based on race but in the end, black voters will stay loyal to Cardin. It doesn't matter that much anyway since Cardin will have white Dems totally locked up ending any chance of Steele winning.

I have to agree with Phil.  There's no way Republicans will pick up a Maryland Senate seat in '06.  The black vote will still be predominantly Democrat, as always, even with a black Republican running.  The white vote will be mostly for Cardin.  Cardin wins by a very comfortable margin.  Maryland is simply too Democratic for the Republicans to have any hope of winning a Senate seat at this point in time.      
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #81 on: September 12, 2006, 10:58:36 PM »

AZ-08 is very close, in case you haven't been paying attention.

http://www.azsos.gov/results/2006/primary/REP-1008.htm

Graf leads 40.5% to 39.0% over Huffman.

I have. The remaining precincts are anti-immigration areas that will support Graf. I hope my prediction of a Graf win will make up for my blunder in the Chafee race.
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Deano963
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« Reply #82 on: September 12, 2006, 11:03:40 PM »

AZ-08 is very close, in case you haven't been paying attention.

http://www.azsos.gov/results/2006/primary/REP-1008.htm

Graf leads 40.5% to 39.0% over Huffman.

I have. The remaining precincts are anti-immigration areas that will support Graf. I hope my prediction of a Graf win will make up for my blunder in the Chafee race.

It has been at 40% Graf/39% for like an hour now. What in the world is taking them so long?
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nickshepDEM
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« Reply #83 on: September 12, 2006, 11:04:21 PM »

Race to watch...

MD-4 Dem Primary

Al *WYNN   13274   52%
Donna EDWARDS   11199   44%
George McDERMOTT   928   4%
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #84 on: September 12, 2006, 11:04:36 PM »

AZ-08 is very close, in case you haven't been paying attention.

http://www.azsos.gov/results/2006/primary/REP-1008.htm

Graf leads 40.5% to 39.0% over Huffman.

I have. The remaining precincts are anti-immigration areas that will support Graf. I hope my prediction of a Graf win will make up for my blunder in the Chafee race.

It has been at 40% Graf/39% for like an hour now. What in the world is taking them so long?

The Republicans have to make sure that the Diebold machines are giving them the "correct" results.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #85 on: September 12, 2006, 11:06:05 PM »

I tend to think the race probably favors Graf right now.  Cochise is his base.  The real question is what precincts from RINO heaven Pima County are left to report.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #86 on: September 12, 2006, 11:19:48 PM »

AZ-08 is very close, in case you haven't been paying attention.

http://www.azsos.gov/results/2006/primary/REP-1008.htm

Graf leads 40.5% to 39.0% over Huffman.

I have. The remaining precincts are anti-immigration areas that will support Graf. I hope my prediction of a Graf win will make up for my blunder in the Chafee race.

It has been at 40% Graf/39% for like an hour now. What in the world is taking them so long?

The Republicans have to make sure that the Diebold machines are giving them the "correct" results.

I'm sorry, you must have Arizona Republicans confused with state of Washington Democrats, or possibly you're confusing them with Cook County Democrats.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #87 on: September 12, 2006, 11:20:07 PM »

57% reporting


Ben CARDIN 129432 46%
Kweisi MFUME 103306 37%
Josh RALES 16148 6%
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #88 on: September 12, 2006, 11:21:54 PM »

57% reporting


Ben CARDIN 129432 46%
Kweisi MFUME 103306 37%
Josh RALES 16148 6%


SUSA nailed the margin of victory. I hope their Tennessee poll was as accurate as the Maryland poll.
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nickshepDEM
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« Reply #89 on: September 12, 2006, 11:27:46 PM »

WBAL is still reporting that very little in from Baltimore City.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #90 on: September 12, 2006, 11:28:24 PM »

WBAL is still reporting that very little in from Baltimore City.

Can Mfume make up the nine point margin?
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nickshepDEM
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« Reply #91 on: September 12, 2006, 11:32:34 PM »

Not sure.  It seems like everytime we hear some good results from Baltimore City for Mfume, Cardin makes up ground in MoCo.

Here is the breakdown of PRECINCTS REPORTING by Congressional District

1st: 52%
2nd: 48%
3rd: 42%
4th: 42%
5th: 40%
6th: 51%
7th: 20%
8th: 24%

The one that sticks out the most is the 7th (Elijah Cummings).
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #92 on: September 12, 2006, 11:34:27 PM »

BREAKING NEWS: Randy Graf won!

This is what the "Arizon 8th Blog" say "With 60% of Cochise County reporting 48% to 34% Randy Graf over Steve Huffman."

It's now mathematically impossible for Huffman to win.

Democrats just picked up a House seat!

http://arizonaeighth.blogspot.com/
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #93 on: September 12, 2006, 11:37:57 PM »

BREAKING NEWS: Randy Graf won!

This is what the "Arizon 8th Blog" say "With 60% of Cochise County reporting 48% to 34% Randy Graf over Steve Huffman."

It's now mathematically impossible for Huffman to win.

Democrats just picked up a House seat!

http://arizonaeighth.blogspot.com/

That is only the result within Cochise County.  It will result in Graf picking up about 1,100 votes, if the stats I got on the other site are correct.

Graf will lead by about 1,650 votes with 93 precincts outstanding from Pima Cty. (Tuscon)
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #94 on: September 12, 2006, 11:41:42 PM »

BREAKING NEWS: Randy Graf won!

This is what the "Arizon 8th Blog" say "With 60% of Cochise County reporting 48% to 34% Randy Graf over Steve Huffman."

It's now mathematically impossible for Huffman to win.

Democrats just picked up a House seat!

http://arizonaeighth.blogspot.com/

That is only the result within Cochise County.  It will result in Graf picking up about 1,100 votes, if the stats I got on the other site are correct.

Graf will lead by about 1,650 votes with 93 precincts outstanding from Pima Cty. (Tuscon)

I ran the numbers and calculated that based on the current number of votes it would be nearly impossible for Huffman to win.
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BRTD
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« Reply #95 on: September 12, 2006, 11:45:49 PM »

Not sure.  It seems like everytime we hear some good results from Baltimore City for Mfume, Cardin makes up ground in MoCo.

Here is the breakdown of PRECINCTS REPORTING by Congressional District

1st: 52%
2nd: 48%
3rd: 42%
4th: 42%
5th: 40%
6th: 51%
7th: 20%
8th: 24%

The one that sticks out the most is the 7th (Elijah Cummings).

8th should break heavily for Cardin though, and his own district still has quite a bit left.

It's probably still possible for Mfume to win, but very unlikely.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #96 on: September 12, 2006, 11:47:41 PM »

BREAKING NEWS: Randy Graf won!

This is what the "Arizon 8th Blog" say "With 60% of Cochise County reporting 48% to 34% Randy Graf over Steve Huffman."

It's now mathematically impossible for Huffman to win.

Democrats just picked up a House seat!

http://arizonaeighth.blogspot.com/

That is only the result within Cochise County.  It will result in Graf picking up about 1,100 votes, if the stats I got on the other site are correct.

Graf will lead by about 1,650 votes with 93 precincts outstanding from Pima Cty. (Tuscon)

I ran the numbers and calculated that based on the current number of votes it would be nearly impossible for Huffman to win.

Based on my math, Huffman would have to get roughly 60% in the remaining precincts in order to win.  I agree that this is highly unlikely, unless the precincts are of solid RINO stock.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #97 on: September 12, 2006, 11:48:38 PM »


|X|
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #98 on: September 12, 2006, 11:50:43 PM »

66% reporting


Ben CARDIN 149014 47%
Kweisi MFUME 119772 37%
Josh RALES 18534 6%
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #99 on: September 12, 2006, 11:50:58 PM »

Based on my knowledge of the CD and of the "creationist-supporting" Graf, I would place AZ-08 with Graf as nominee at #3 on the Dem pickup list, ahead of PA-06 and behind only TX-22 and IA-01.
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