Zogby releases some crazy new interactive polls
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  Zogby releases some crazy new interactive polls
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Author Topic: Zogby releases some crazy new interactive polls  (Read 7317 times)
Eraserhead
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« on: September 10, 2006, 09:29:08 PM »

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-flash06.html?project=elections06-ft&h=495&w=778&hasAd=1

Yes he actually has the Texas Senate Race within 10 points.



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Sam Spade
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« Reply #1 on: September 10, 2006, 09:53:18 PM »

Burn, baby, burn!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: September 10, 2006, 10:05:04 PM »

Let me get this straight after having Ford up on Corker 2 straight polls he has Ford currently trailing Corker in two straight polls. He now has Webb outside the margin of error, but has McCaskill trailing by 3. But with all these polls coming out having McCaskill behind, she might not win now.
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adam
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« Reply #3 on: September 10, 2006, 10:09:25 PM »

I'll probably be called an imbecile, but I wouldn't doubt that the senate race is that close. Radnofsky has made something like 500 trips across the state since before the primary, while Hutchinson hasn't made 10.

Plus this video is getting out hard:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3zI4I8cKlk

I know it's Zogby...but you never know.
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BRTD
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« Reply #4 on: September 10, 2006, 10:12:08 PM »

Let me get this straight after having Ford up on Corker 2 straight polls he has Ford currently trailing Corker in two straight polls. He now has Webb outside the margin of error, but has McCaskill trailing by 3. But with all these polls coming out having McCaskill behind, she might not win now.

Or maybe Zogby's online polls are just trash.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: September 10, 2006, 10:13:11 PM »

I'll probably be called an imbecile, but I wouldn't doubt that the senate race is that close. Radnofsky has made something like 500 trips across the state since before the primary, while Hutchinson hasn't made 10.

Plus this video is getting out hard:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3zI4I8cKlk

I know it's Zogby...but you never know.

Maybe your right but of course its Zogby so the crazyness doesn't stop there. I'm not saying we can't gather anything out of these polls, just not much.
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
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« Reply #6 on: September 10, 2006, 10:14:32 PM »

What is the methodology behind these polls?  Does he randomly send an email out to 500 people in each state?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: September 10, 2006, 10:16:37 PM »

What is the methodology behind these polls?  Does he randomly send an email out to 500 people in each state?

What I want to know is why does the Wall Street Journal put their name on this?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: September 10, 2006, 10:17:49 PM »

I know the GOp are going to ignore the Webb numbers, but they aren't going to ignore the Kean numbers.
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Deano963
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« Reply #9 on: September 10, 2006, 10:22:16 PM »

These Zogby polls are absolutely worthless. They have Strickland leading Blackwell by only 5 points - that's absurd. And Webb ahead of Allen by 7.5 points? I wish that were true but that race is a toss-up at best right now. I think the new Mason-Dixon poll just released showing Webb trailing by 4 is much more accurate.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: September 10, 2006, 10:26:21 PM »

I know the GOp are going to ignore the Webb numbers, but they aren't going to ignore the Kean numbers.

They might as well ignore them. The last two other polls of that race showed Kean leading. This one shows them tied (with Menendez technically leading by 0.2%).
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Deano963
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« Reply #11 on: September 10, 2006, 10:30:23 PM »

I do like those Massachusetts governor's numbers though. Gabrielli is leading Healey by 30 points. That's awesome....even though it is Zogby, that means he is still WAYYYY ahead of Healey even if the poll is off by as much as 15 points, which I doubt it is. Hopefully he gets the nomination as he would probably be the only Democrat who could spend as much money as Healey. Who is that hack who states it as a fact all the time that Healey is going to win? Those are some pretty absurd statements considering she trails each of her potential opponents by 10-30 points.
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adam
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« Reply #12 on: September 10, 2006, 10:45:46 PM »

I just noticed that they only have Bell behind Perry by 5, yet again not a suprise. Zogby or not, their Texas numbers seem right in line with what I would expect.
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Boris
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« Reply #13 on: September 10, 2006, 11:02:38 PM »

Webb up eight points on Allen? Texas senate within ten points?

One word: Bullsh**t.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: September 10, 2006, 11:08:06 PM »

I just noticed that they only have Bell behind Perry by 5, yet again not a suprise. Zogby or not, their Texas numbers seem right in line with what I would expect.

Come on now Bell only 5% behind Perry? That doesn't make much sense.
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« Reply #15 on: September 10, 2006, 11:15:38 PM »

Cough, I've been saying Bell and Radnofsky have at least a plausible shot for months!
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BRTD
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« Reply #16 on: September 10, 2006, 11:19:06 PM »

What is the methodology behind these polls?  Does he randomly send an email out to 500 people in each state?

No. You actually register to take them, and provide your state when you take the poll. And there is absolute no checking of what state you are in.

I take the polls, and I'm honest when I take it, but I could take them as a 40 year old black woman from Ohio if I wanted to.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #17 on: September 10, 2006, 11:27:56 PM »

What is the methodology behind these polls?  Does he randomly send an email out to 500 people in each state?
People volunteer to be polled.  He probably does some demographic classification.   But how typical is someone who volunteers to be polled of other persons of the same income, race, sex, etc. who don't volunteer to be polled?
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #18 on: September 10, 2006, 11:32:33 PM »

What is the methodology behind these polls?  Does he randomly send an email out to 500 people in each state?
People volunteer to be polled.  He probably does some demographic classification.   But how typical is someone who volunteers to be polled of other persons of the same income, race, sex, etc. who don't volunteer to be polled?

Actually everyone who signs up gets a poll every time one comes out, and it asks you for your demographic info every time.

So like I said above, I could be a 40 year old black woman from Ohio one poll if I wanted to, and for the next poll I could become a 25 year old Hispanic male from New Jersey.
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adam
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« Reply #19 on: September 10, 2006, 11:35:46 PM »

I clicked on the link that said methodology and they mentioned phone ins. which are easily screened via area code.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #20 on: September 10, 2006, 11:54:07 PM »

Cough, I've been saying Bell and Radnofsky have at least a plausible shot for months!

Its Zogby. Don't get excited.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #21 on: September 11, 2006, 05:52:04 AM »

I needed a laugh
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #22 on: September 11, 2006, 05:57:15 AM »

Don't get your hopes up on TX in the governors race and in the senate race, Bush is from TX and he can raise lots of cash for his candidates in his homestate.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #23 on: September 11, 2006, 06:56:56 AM »

What is the methodology behind these polls?  Does he randomly send an email out to 500 people in each state?

No. You actually register to take them, and provide your state when you take the poll. And there is absolute no checking of what state you are in.

I take the polls, and I'm honest when I take it, but I could take them as a 40 year old black woman from Ohio if I wanted to.
I took them for a time - stopped by now - and I always was a 37 year old hispanic male from Alaska.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #24 on: September 11, 2006, 06:58:18 AM »

I clicked on the link that said methodology and they mentioned phone ins. which are easily screened via area code.
You do have to provide a phone no. when you register, and tell you they might check by calling. I gave a fake one.
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