IN-2: Donnelly (D) has double-digit lead over Chocola (R)

[Tender Branson]

RT Strategies/Constituent Dynamics Poll:

Joe Donnelly (D): 52%
Chris Chocola (R): 40%

http://www.constituentdynamics.com/mw/2006/index2.html

Interviews: 8-10 Sept., 2006, Sample Size: 1.003 MoE: +/- 2,9-3,1%

[Democratic Hawk]

What is strking is the strength of support for Donnelly (43% strong, 9% weak) compared with that for Chocola (29% strong, 11% weak)

Dave

[minionofmidas]

Looks like it's true then... Indiana electing a majority Democratic delegation this year...

[ilikeverin]

Looks like it's true then... Indiana electing a majority Democratic delegation this year...

Perhaps I shall move to Indiana and enter politics after all

[Virginian87]

I never would have expected these races to come out of Indiana.

By the way, the first time I saw the Republican's last name I thought of breakfast cereal.

[MarkWarner08]

RT Strategies/Constituent Dynamics Poll:

Joe Donnelly (D): 52%
Chris Chocola (R): 40%

http://www.constituentdynamics.com/mw/2006/index2.html

Interviews: 8-10 Sept., 2006, Sample Size: 1.003 MoE: +/- 2,9-3,1%

Chris Chocola raised $1.9 million for a seemingly easy reelection battle. In May, he had a double digit lead in his internal polls and lead his opponent in cash on hand by 4-1.

Since then, the toll booth issue, the time zone change Mitch Daniels' plummeting popularity, Bush's plummeting popularity and the national turn against the GOP have all created the perfect storm. This perfect storm could send an incumbent who wasn't on the DCCC's top 40 targets just three months ago, into an early retirement.

[Democratic Hawk]

I gather that RT Strategies/Constituent Dynamics will be polling these three Indiana districts, as well as all others covered in their 'Majority Watch' again, so it will be interesting to see whether things change

If things don't, and if it becomes clear that these are Democratic pick-ups fairly soon after polls close in Indiana, I think the Dems are in with a hell of a shout of gaining control of the House

Nevertheless, there are still a lot of 'ifs', so I'm not counting my chickens

Dave

[MarkWarner08]

3 pickups in Indiana and the Democrats are likely on their way to taking the House. 2 pickups and Democrats will come close or narrowly take the House. One or no pickups in Indiana and Democrats WON'T take back the House.