(Internal D) Harstad Strategic Research: AZ Sen. Kyl (R) 47%, Pederson (D) 41% (user search)
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  (Internal D) Harstad Strategic Research: AZ Sen. Kyl (R) 47%, Pederson (D) 41% (search mode)
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Author Topic: (Internal D) Harstad Strategic Research: AZ Sen. Kyl (R) 47%, Pederson (D) 41%  (Read 1995 times)
Gustaf
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Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« on: September 12, 2006, 03:43:52 PM »
Quote from: Tredrick on September 12, 2006, 12:54:03 PM
Wow.  Down 6 in the internal you go public with?  That is seriously not good.

They need to fake being competitive.
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Gustaf
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Atlas Star
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Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2006, 09:41:43 AM »
Average of four last polls in Arizona: Kyl leads by 14.25%. That's closer to 15 than 10, I'd say.
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Gustaf
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Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2006, 02:58:37 PM »
Quote from: Tredrick on September 13, 2006, 10:01:54 AM
Quote from: Gustaf on September 13, 2006, 09:41:43 AM
Average of four last polls in Arizona: Kyl leads by 14.25%. That's closer to 15 than 10, I'd say.

Does that include this one?

No, internals don't count.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2006, 04:22:32 AM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on September 13, 2006, 08:46:44 PM
Quote from: Justice Colin Wixted on September 13, 2006, 08:44:19 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on September 13, 2006, 08:38:05 PM
Quote from: Gustaf on September 13, 2006, 09:41:43 AM
Average of four last polls in Arizona: Kyl leads by 14.25%. That's closer to 15 than 10, I'd say.

Can you show your work?

I didn't know we were back in math class.

Well now you do.



You're making it sound like I did something very odd...

AZU: Kyl +10
Rasmussen: Kyl +17
Rocky Mountain: Kyl +18
SUSA: Kyl+12

12+18+17+10=57

57/4=14.25

There you go. You can of course argue that AZU and Rocky Mountain are two crappy polls and throw them out, in which case the race becomes Kyl +14.5%.
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