TN Sen: SUSA sez Ford leads Corker 48-45

[Sam Spade]

Surprised the Ford boosters missed this one: 

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=bc994901-2536-4ee5-b72e-f969683f68f5

[Joel the Attention Whore]

This isn't surprising to me.

[MarkWarner08]

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=bc994901-2536-4ee5-b72e-f969683f68f5&q=31217

This is why the RNC and NRSC a have started pounding Ford on the airwaves.

It's seems the confluence of recent events including bas press for Corker, a Corker decision to hold off on August TV buys and the Ford saturation of the airwaves have all turned this race into a pure tossup.
Ford probably has to be up 3-5 on the day before the election to win.


Isn't it ironic that Democrats TODAY stand a better chance of picking up a Senate seat in Tennessee than they do in Missouri? It seems day by day Tennessee and Virginia are looking better and better for the GOP and Republicans are becoming increasingly sanguine about their chance on New Jersey and Missouri.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Some interesting patterns there

[The Dowager Mod]

When i see Ford swearing in i will believe he has a chance.

[MarkWarner08]

Stu Rothenberg seems to believe that Ford has a 47% or 48% ceiling.

If he still is at 48% or above in October, I'll place this into my leans Democratic column.

Ford's efforts to appeal to conservatives seem to have paid off.

[jacob_101]

Not surprising...this is gonna be close one.

[Kevin]

I have a feeling Ford might win this one.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am a believer now that the Dems will win back the senate.  With this new poll. Wrote their chances off, now they have a decent shot, not likely but decent.

[MarkWarner08]

I am a believer now that the Dems will win back the senate.  With this new poll. Wrote their chances off, now they have a decent shot, not likely but decent.

Please don't base your hopes of taking back the Senate on one poll.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Did I say that we were going to, I said it is a decent shot not a probable shot.

[MarkWarner08]

Did I say that we were going to, I said it is a decent shot not a probable shot.

My point is still valid. Don't change your methodology based on one poll.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Corker is still favored like Casey is by 6 pts but both have a chance to win. But both of them can still win, this poll only confirmed that. I am not changing my mythology, I think this race is in play now. It seems like Corker cannot get a substantial lead on Ford. I think he is leading but its within the margin of error. That's why I haven't put Ford in the lead on my map.  Zogby has Corker up by 3 and I think that that's where the race is at.

[MarkWarner08]

Corker is still favored like Casey is by 6 pts but both have a chance to win. But both of them can still win, this poll only confirmed that. I am not changing my mythology, I think this race is in play now. It seems like Corker cannot get a substantial lead on Ford. I think he is leading but its within the margin of error. That's why I haven't put Ford in the lead on my map.  Zogby has Corker up by 3 and I think that that's where the race is at.

Zogby's also completely wrong about every race from  the Ohio Gov race to the TX Sen race.

[Eraserhead]

Interesting how three races almost nobody expected to be close (TN,VA,NJ) are all basically tossups now.

[Nym90]

Three polls in a row now showing Ford either ahead or trailing by one.

Sam, ready to make this race a tossup yet, or are you still waiting on Mason-Dixon?

[Tender Branson]

Very good news. This is the first poll other than Rasmussen (and Zogby ) showing Ford ahead, right ? I´m looking forward what the Quinnipiac poll shows in NJ. But the best thing is that the chances for the Democrats to pick up the Senate are high as never before now. MT, MO, TN, VA, NJ, RI and OH all Toss-Ups.

[Smash255]

Very good news. This is the first poll other than Rasmussen (and Zogby ) showing Ford ahead, right ? I´m looking forward what the Quinnipiac poll shows in NJ. But the best thing is that the chances for the Democrats to pick up the Senate are high as never before now. MT, MO, TN, VA, NJ, RI and OH all Toss-Ups.

Rasmussen actually had him behind by one, but this race is indeed very close now and one to really watch

[Tender Branson]

Very good news. This is the first poll other than Rasmussen (and Zogby ) showing Ford ahead, right ? I´m looking forward what the Quinnipiac poll shows in NJ. But the best thing is that the chances for the Democrats to pick up the Senate are high as never before now. MT, MO, TN, VA, NJ, RI and OH all Toss-Ups.

Rasmussen actually had him behind by one, but this race is indeed very close now and one to really watch

Lol, yeah Rasmussen had him ahead by 6 in Dec. 2005, but that doesn´t count much.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Congressional quarterly still rates TN as lean republican. As far as TN, I wouldn't get my hopes up until a mason dixon poll comes out on both.

[opebo]

Damn, I guess this means that if the Democrats had a white candidate in Tennessee he'd be ahead by about 15 points right now.

Anyway, I would never get my hopes up about white southerners voting for a black candidate when it comes right down to it in the voting booth.

[Gustaf]

Interesting how three races almost nobody expected to be close (TN,VA,NJ) are all basically tossups now.

Who didn't expect New Jersey to be close? (the others I grant you're right about)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Damn, I guess this means that if the Democrats had a white candidate in Tennessee he'd be ahead by about 15 points right now.

Anyway, I would never get my hopes up about white southerners voting for a black candidate when it comes right down to it in the voting booth.

All I am saying is that this is one poll I would wait until other polling firms confirm these polls, and so far Rasmussen and others haven't yet.

[Keystone Phil]

Interesting how three races almost nobody expected to be close (TN,VA,NJ) are all basically tossups now.

People did expect NJ to be close.

[Eraserhead]

Interesting how three races almost nobody expected to be close (TN,VA,NJ) are all basically tossups now.

People did expect NJ to be close.

I said "almost" (and notice I said almost) because most of the people I talked to on here did not expect it to be close and you'll notice on any of the polls on here super majorites expect (or at least expected) Menendez to win.