Rasmussen: McCaskill(D) edges out Talen(R) by 3 pts

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New Poll: Missouri Senator by Rasmussen on 2006-09-11

Summary: D: 45%, R: 42%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Eraserhead]

This is such a seesaw race. I think that football stunt helped McCaskill out.

[MarkWarner08]

This is such a seesaw race. I think that football stunt helped McCaskill out.

I think that was after the poll was conducted.

I'm starting to see a scenario where the GOP could keep the Senate despite losing PA, RI, OH, MT, MO, TN and VA. If Steele can win 30% of the vote and Kean pulls it off in NJ, the Democrats could win SEVEN Republican Senate seats and still lose the Senate.


That scenario is improbable, but not definitely impossible.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Highly unlikely that the Dems will win seven seats and the Rep win MD and NJ. The GOP has no money in MD and the Dems don't have any money in VA and TN that kinds of equalizes things.

[TheresNoMoney]

NJ is the ONLY shot Republicans have at a pickup.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

And TN is the only shot that the Dems have in the south.

[adam]

I wouldn't be suprised if McCaskill ran away with this race...Talent is a joke.

[Eraserhead]

This is such a seesaw race. I think that football stunt helped McCaskill out.

I think that was after the poll was conducted.

Oh I thought it might be. Great, even better!

[opebo]

I wouldn't be suprised if McCaskill ran away with this race...Talent is a joke.

At first glance this seems a silly remark, but I know what you mean - he's a very unappealing individual, at least to Missourians.  He's basically a bland suburbanite from St. Louis who has little personal appeal to the rural dullards that make up the rest of the state, other than being a Republican.

Of course he is a 'joke' with an enormous money advantage on his opponent.

Personally I think this race is the one that will be decided by gas prices.

[Tender Branson]

Jamespol told me that Talent is not very well liked in the most populous GOP county (I don't remember its name).

St. Charles County just north of St. Louis maybe ?

[Alcon]

Jamespol told me that Talent is not very well liked in the most populous GOP county (I don't remember its name).

St. Charles County just north of St. Louis maybe ?

St. Louis county, actually.  St. Charles is 2nd, just ahead of the city of St. Louis and Greene County.

But St. Louis County is much more Democratic than the state average.

[Tender Branson]

Jamespol told me that Talent is not very well liked in the most populous GOP county (I don't remember its name).

St. Charles County just north of St. Louis maybe ?

St. Louis county, actually.  St. Charles is 2nd, just ahead of the city of St. Louis and Greene County.

But St. Louis County is much more Democratic than the state average.

Yepp, I thought so because St. Louis City and County as well as Greene County are normally won by Democrats. Therefore I said St. Charles

[Tender Branson]

I averaged all 23 Wikipedia polls of the MO Senate Race (incl. Zogby)
and the result was:

Talent: 45,2%
McCaskill: 44,9%

Difference: 0,3%

Without Zogby the result is:

McCaskill: 44,9%
Talent: 44,1%

Difference: 0,8%

It´s amazing and it underscores how close this race really is ...

[Eraserhead]

I averaged all 23 Wikipedia polls of the MO Senate Race (incl. Zogby)
and the result was:

Talent: 45,2%
McCaskill: 44,9%

Difference: 0,3%

Without Zogby the result is:

McCaskill: 44,9%
Talent: 44,1%

Difference: 0,8%

It´s amazing and it underscores how close this race really is ...

Question is who will the undecideds break for..if they break big against the incumbent it won't be that close but 2004 taught us that doesn't always happen.

[MarkWarner08]

McCaskill seems to have the momentum.