Will Bush have approvals of 50% on Election Day?

[Smash255]

Inspired by a convo on the predictions page I had with Oklwandi, in which he stated because the bils the GOP will pass & speeches Bush gives that his approvakl will reach 50% in 6 weeks by Election Day

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

At this point I have to wonder if the GOP will pass any significant bills before election day.  In any case, Bush's latest bounce will be going down again soon enough.

[DownWithTheLeft]

I believe I stated this either in predictions or somewhere else, but yes, this is a logical possibility.  The approvals are averaging over 40% and keep improving.  48-50% is certainly possible.

[adam]

No. If he is at 40 on election day it would be a miracle. His latest bounce was just 9/11 rememberance sympathy. His approval ratings will drop back down to their place when people remember that he hasn't accomplished anything really.

[Nym90]

Highly doubtful, unless Bin Laden is captured or some such.

[adam]

Highly doubtful, unless Bin Laden is captured or some such.

20$ says he realeases a tape a couple of days before the election.

[Conan]

Contrary to what one has said on this forum, Bush's approvals are hovering in the upper 30s. Going into the midterms I suspect it will go down to the lower 30s. It is not possible that he would have 50% on election day.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Contrary to what one has said on this forum, Bush's approvals are hovering in the upper 30s. Going into the midterms I suspect it will go down to the lower 30s. It is not possible that he would have 50% on election day.

Contrary to your never checking the facts, the RCP average is 41 and the only poll showing him in the thirties is Gallup (39), whose poll showed Casey with an 18 point lead.

Conan, you really should use facts and not falsified optimism when making statements

Why in the world would his approval drop to lower 30s by Election Day when they have been on the rise, other than your sheer over-optimism.

[Keystone Phil]

47% on Election day.

[True Democrat]

No, I'm thinking approvals around 42%

[Smash255]

Contrary to what one has said on this forum, Bush's approvals are hovering in the upper 30s. Going into the midterms I suspect it will go down to the lower 30s. It is not possible that he would have 50% on election day.

Contrary to your never checking the facts, the RCP average is 41 and the only poll showing him in the thirties is Gallup (39), whose poll showed Casey with an 18 point lead.

Conan, you really should use facts and not falsified optimism when making statements

Why in the world would his approval drop to lower 30s by Election Day when they have been on the rise, other than your sheer over-optimism.

What do you know... WRONG as ALWAYS

For starters rasmussen is generally several points above everyone else, but even their latest poll is down, 41%

Last 5 polls
Fox 40%
AP 39%
NBC 42%
Gallup 39%
Pew 37%

Average 39.4%. 39.7% if rasmussen is included....

[DownWithTheLeft]

Contrary to what one has said on this forum, Bush's approvals are hovering in the upper 30s. Going into the midterms I suspect it will go down to the lower 30s. It is not possible that he would have 50% on election day.

Contrary to your never checking the facts, the RCP average is 41 and the only poll showing him in the thirties is Gallup (39), whose poll showed Casey with an 18 point lead.

Conan, you really should use facts and not falsified optimism when making statements

Why in the world would his approval drop to lower 30s by Election Day when they have been on the rise, other than your sheer over-optimism.

What do you know... WRONG as ALWAYS

For starters rasmussen is generally several points above everyone else, but even their latest poll is down, 41%

Last 5 polls
Fox 40%
AP 39%
NBC 42%
Gallup 39%
Pew 37%

Average 39.4%. 39.7% if rasmussen is included....

What I said was not wrong, when I posted that was the RCP average, 41%, maybe it changed

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

No, unless something miraculous happens, but I think they will rise (where else can they go?)

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Of course not. Maybe the so called media might bump him up to around 40%.

[Eraserhead]

Simply put: No.

[MODU]

No.  As I keep saying, there is no way for him to get to 50% with the democrats hating him.  The only thing that would pull it off is something big which makes the democrats ear crow.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Democrats constitute 60%? lol - so only the Dems hate him?

Anyway - Bush got a slight bounce out of the 9/11Rememberance when he used an address to the nation as a rallying cry for his war which they now confirm had NOTHING to do with 9/11.

My bet is - saving some development - Bush will stay in the low 40s'. Which traditionally would mean a loss of about 30 seats in the house... but thanks to bipartisan gerrymandering - that is 20 at most.

[Sam Spade]

Folks, Bush's approval right now is at 40%.  You might say he could be at a point under that or over that, but anyone else who says anything different needs to get off the Kool-aid.

As to where he'll be come November, I have no clue.