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| | |-+  Offical Massachusetts Democratic Gubernatorial Primary thread
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Author Topic: Offical Massachusetts Democratic Gubernatorial Primary thread  (Read 5528 times)
tweed
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« on: September 18, 2006, 02:26:18 pm »
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For predictions and discussion when the results come in.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2006, 08:13:04 pm »
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9% in:

patrick: 48%
gabrieli: 30%
reilly: 22%

for town by town results go to boston.com
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Sibboleth
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« Reply #2 on: September 19, 2006, 08:19:57 pm »
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16% in and the numbers have not changed much.

What are the three Lt.Gov. candidates like Walter?
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Cubby
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« Reply #3 on: September 19, 2006, 08:24:07 pm »
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From Boston.com

8:54 PM [101 of 2,166 precincts reporting]

Patrick:   40,401    50.1%
Gabrielli: 23,263    28.9%
Reilly:      16,950    21.0%

Total Votes: 80,614

I was using Boston.com but after you refresh the page a few times they make you register, so be warned.
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Sibboleth
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« Reply #4 on: September 19, 2006, 08:24:56 pm »
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Most of the bigger towns and cities have yet to report. All three have won at least one town though.
Quincy looks interesting; 2/3rds counted and it's close to being a three-way tie.
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"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
WalterMitty
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« Reply #5 on: September 19, 2006, 08:30:46 pm »
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16% in and the numbers have not changed much.

What are the three Lt.Gov. candidates like Walter?

deb goldberg is a wealthy woman who serves on the town council in brookline.  she has spent a ton of money on the race and was the favorite going into today.

tim murray is the mayor of worcester.  of the 3 candidates he probably had the least amount of media ads.

andrea silbert ran some sort of job resource center for women.  she campaigned as the middle class mom of the race.  she was thought to be strong in some of the more liberal towns.  so far that isnt turning out to be the case.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #6 on: September 19, 2006, 08:34:22 pm »
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chris gabrieli is getting ready to concede.
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nick
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« Reply #7 on: September 19, 2006, 08:40:01 pm »
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That didnt take long.
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Sibboleth
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« Reply #8 on: September 19, 2006, 08:41:04 pm »
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No suprise there then. Still, the results are mixed enough to make for interesting maps.

The gap between Gabrieli and Reilly is now smaller than between Patrick and Gabrieli.
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"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
tweed
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« Reply #9 on: September 19, 2006, 08:45:09 pm »
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Why exactly did Reilly crash so badly?
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #10 on: September 19, 2006, 08:46:37 pm »
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reilly is seriously under-performing in areas he should be doing reasonably well in.

he is getting killed in middlesex county, despite having served as middlesex DA for 8 years prior to becoming state attorney general.

he also should have done better in working class places like fitchburg.

i also heard on tv that patrick carried gabrieli's home precinct in the beacon hill section of boston (with reilly getting less than 10% in that area)
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Sibboleth
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« Reply #11 on: September 19, 2006, 08:47:05 pm »
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Why exactly did Reilly crash so badly?

His campaign was slightly worse than dire.
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Sibboleth
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« Reply #12 on: September 19, 2006, 08:48:58 pm »
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So far...

Best town for Gabrieli: Braintree
Best town for Patrick: Mount Washington
Best town for Reilly: Palmer
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"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
WalterMitty
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« Reply #13 on: September 19, 2006, 08:51:15 pm »
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the republican senate primary is surprisingly close (not that it matters)
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« Reply #14 on: September 19, 2006, 08:54:12 pm »
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With 41% in, Patrick still has the same sort of % he hath always had.

But the race for second place is now tight Wink
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #15 on: September 19, 2006, 08:56:03 pm »
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Why exactly did Reilly crash so badly?

Because Patrick is a hell of a candidate!

Reilly is boring and represents the old guard of Massachusetts politics.
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E: -3.25
S: -2.72

On the GOP side, for 2016, look out for Gov. Phill Kline (KS), Gov. Ralph Reed (GA), Gov. JD Hayworth (AZ), Sen. David Vitter (LA), among others.
Sibboleth
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« Reply #16 on: September 19, 2006, 09:01:24 pm »
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AP has called it for Patrick.
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"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
WalterMitty
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« Reply #17 on: September 19, 2006, 09:02:05 pm »
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Why exactly did Reilly crash so badly?

His campaign was slightly worse than dire.

not only that but gabrieli entered the race at the last minute and peeled away some of the moderate voters from reilly (which was his intention)

the reason for gabrieli entering the race is because he got upset when reilly didnt pick him as a running mate.
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« Reply #18 on: September 19, 2006, 09:03:24 pm »
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 This is the happiest night I've had watching election returns in a long time. Not only is Patrick a great person but he ran a true grassroots campaign. Nice to see that work out every once in a while.
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« Reply #19 on: September 19, 2006, 09:04:11 pm »
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not only that but gabrieli entered the race at the last minute and peeled away some of the moderate voters from reilly (which was his intention)

the reason for gabrieli entering the race is because he got upset when reilly didnt pick him as a running mate.

Words... fail...
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"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
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« Reply #20 on: September 19, 2006, 09:14:21 pm »
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Was never bothered about who'd win this primary, as long as it's a Democratic pick-up come Fall

Dave

No DINOs for you to endorse like Cuellar?
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #21 on: September 19, 2006, 09:17:23 pm »
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Was never bothered about who'd win this primary, as long as it's a Democratic pick-up come Fall

Dave

No DINOs for you to endorse like Cuellar?

Quite Smiley. Then this is Massachussetts not Texas. I'm a pragmatist. And when I think of Cueller I think of a Texas Democrat who has the potential to be a viable statewide candidate one day

Dave
« Last Edit: September 19, 2006, 09:19:04 pm by Senator Dave 'Hawk' PPT »Logged

Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

Registered in Georgia for Fantasy Politics
Sibboleth
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« Reply #22 on: September 19, 2006, 09:17:37 pm »
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Over 50% in and no real change. Night.

---

Lynch is now up to 77% in the MA-9 primary (the Boston numbers seem to be especially lopsided; not a suprise that).
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"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
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« Reply #23 on: September 19, 2006, 09:19:15 pm »
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Was never bothered about who'd win this primary, as long as it's a Democratic pick-up come Fall

Dave

No DINOs for you to endorse like Cuellar?

Quite Smiley. Then this is Massachussetts not Texas. I'm a pragmatist. And when I think of Cueller I think of a Texas Democrat who has the potential to be a statewide candidate one day

Dave

Yeah, it's real hard to win an general election as a Democrat in Texas when no one else is running.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #24 on: September 19, 2006, 09:24:56 pm »
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Was never bothered about who'd win this primary, as long as it's a Democratic pick-up come Fall

Dave

No DINOs for you to endorse like Cuellar?

Quite Smiley. Then this is Massachussetts not Texas. I'm a pragmatist. And when I think of Cueller I think of a Texas Democrat who has the potential to be a statewide candidate one day

Dave

Yeah, it's real hard to win an general election as a Democrat in Texas when no one else is running.

Uh, Cuellar had a general election opponent in 2004, and will have a couple of special election opponents in November, if I'm not mistaken.
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