Winning every county

[memphis]

In 2004, incumbent Senators from Utah, Idaho, Arizona, North Dakota, Iowa, Ohio, Connecticut, Vermont, and Hawaii not only won reelection but carried every county in their respective states. Senators from New York and Kansas lost just one county each. Byron Dorgan, a Democrat, won every county in North Dakota, a state Kerry lost by 27 points. Who is likely to carry every county in his/her state this November?

[Adlai Stevenson]

Robert Byrd could come close to winning every county in West Virginia, however, there is always the ultra-Republican Grant County which Raese should win.  I will predict a few Senators in New England to win every county; Snowe in Maine, Kennedy in Massachusetts and Sanders in Vermont.  Carper will also win every county in Delaware and Craig Thomas should win every one in Wyoming, as should Orrin Hatch in Utah. 

[DownWithTheLeft]

Robert Byrd come close to winning every county in West Virginia, however, there is always the ultra-Republican Grant County which Raese should win.  I will predict a few Senators in New England to win every county; Snowe in Maine, Kennedy in Massachusetts and Sanders in Vermont.  Carper will also win every county in Delaware and Craig Thomas should win every one in Wyoming, as should Orrin Hatch in Utah. 

Sanders might lose the county that includes the areas around Rutland.  Other than that your list is pretty good.  Obviously Lugar will too.

[Adlai Stevenson]

Robert Byrd come close to winning every county in West Virginia, however, there is always the ultra-Republican Grant County which Raese should win.  I will predict a few Senators in New England to win every county; Snowe in Maine, Kennedy in Massachusetts and Sanders in Vermont.  Carper will also win every county in Delaware and Craig Thomas should win every one in Wyoming, as should Orrin Hatch in Utah. 

Sanders might lose the county that includes the areas around Rutland.  Other than that your list is pretty good.  Obviously Lugar will too.

Yes I forgot to mention Lugar; it will be interesting to see whether the Libertarian nominee gets more votes in traditionally Democratic areas.  Sanders won every county in 2004 so I don't see why he should have a problem now. 

[adam]

He's not a senate candidate, but I think Eliot Spitzer is in posistion to carry every county. Ted Kennedy looks like he is heading down that path as well.

[Deano963]

Kent Conrad comes to mind.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Lugar
Conrad
Ted Kennedy
Hatch
Sanders
Snowe
Carper
Akaka

[Rob]

Lugar
Snowe
Kennedy (I wonder if he'll lose any townships?)
Carper
Akaka
Thomas (Teton might be close, though)
Sanders (Tarrant has a shot in Essex, but it's doubtful)
Conrad
Hatch (although I won't be shocked if Ashdown wins Summit or Carbon)

Four Republicans, four Democrats, and one independent.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Kennedy (I wonder if he'll lose any townships?)

Didn't in 2000

[Kevinstat]

I can't believe I missed this, but how come there was no Democratic nominee for the Senate in Indiana this year?  Did no one even try to get on the ballot or did someone decide not to file at the last minute and the party wasn't able to get someone on the primary ballot in time and noone got enough votes in the Democratic primary to get on the general election ballot.  Can someone in the know tell me what happened?

[Smash255]

I can't believe I missed this, but how come there was no Democratic nominee for the Senate in Indiana this year?  Did no one even try to get on the ballot or did someone decide not to file at the last minute and the party wasn't able to get someone on the primary ballot in time and noone got enough votes in the Democratic primary to get on the general election ballot.  Can someone in the know tell me what happened?

No one wanted to run against Lugar, and the $$ wasn't there.  I also believe thaat Indiana having several competitive seats (Dems could easily pick up 3 seats) had something to do with it, as Dems wanted to concentrate on that rather than be sidetracked on the impossible task of knocking off Lugar

[Deano963]

I can't believe I missed this, but how come there was no Democratic nominee for the Senate in Indiana this year?  Did no one even try to get on the ballot or did someone decide not to file at the last minute and the party wasn't able to get someone on the primary ballot in time and noone got enough votes in the Democratic primary to get on the general election ballot.  Can someone in the know tell me what happened?

None of the above. Lugar is simply so popular that no Democrat wanted to run against him.

[mgrossbe]

yeah, deano is right.

When lugar decided to run again roemer decided not to run.  Schumer had put all his apples in that basket and no one wanted to be the sacrifical lamb.  Also, hamiliton the only other viable canidate decided last year not to run.  Like i said on another post only roemer would have swayed me from voting for Lugar or maybe O'bannon rising from the grave.

[Kevinstat]

Thanks guys.

In Maine, despite Olympia Snowe's huge popularity, there was actually a contested Democratic primary (quite closely contested, in fact) for the right to get slaughtered by her.  An anti-war independent candidate is in the race also, although his candidacy will likely only increase Snowe's margin of victory over Democrat Jean Hay Bright.

[WMS]

What about both Dems in NM ?

Nah, Richardson and Bingaman won convincingly their last cycles around and still didn't carry every county. That's hard to do here, because you can't appeal to every political quadrant at once and that's what you'd have to do to sweep the state. That, or have an atrocious candidate. NM wasn't swept in either 1972 or 1964...or even in 1936 or 1928.

[Tender Branson]

What about both Dems in NM ?

Nah, Richardson and Bingaman won convincingly their last cycles around and still didn't carry every county. That's hard to do here, because you can't appeal to every political quadrant at once and that's what you'd have to do to sweep the state. That, or have an atrocious candidate. NM wasn't swept in either 1972 or 1964...or even in 1936 or 1928.

Yeah I just watched the maps and there's this really conservative Catron county in the west of NM. I think they would have to win NM with 70% to carry this district

[WMS]

What about both Dems in NM ?

Nah, Richardson and Bingaman won convincingly their last cycles around and still didn't carry every county. That's hard to do here, because you can't appeal to every political quadrant at once and that's what you'd have to do to sweep the state. That, or have an atrocious candidate. NM wasn't swept in either 1972 or 1964...or even in 1936 or 1928.

Yeah I just watched the maps and there's this really conservative Catron county in the west of NM. I think they would have to win NM with 70% to carry this district

Catron = NM Mormon Country.

There's also Lincoln County...

On the Dem side, the Leftist Triumvirate of Santa Fe, Taos, and San Miguel Counties is hard to crack for a Rep (although Domenici has come close).

Just about everything else has swung at some point.

[nclib]

Looks like...

Carper (D)
Akaka (D)
Kennedy (D)
Bingaman (D)
Conrad (D)
Kohl (D)
Lieberman (I)
Sanders (I)

Snowe (R)
Ensign (R)
Thomas (R)

Surprisingly, Lugar lost one county.

[ottermax]

What about both Dems in NM ?

Nah, Richardson and Bingaman won convincingly their last cycles around and still didn't carry every county. That's hard to do here, because you can't appeal to every political quadrant at once and that's what you'd have to do to sweep the state. That, or have an atrocious candidate. NM wasn't swept in either 1972 or 1964...or even in 1936 or 1928.

Yeah I just watched the maps and there's this really conservative Catron county in the west of NM. I think they would have to win NM with 70% to carry this district

And Bingaman did.

[WMS]

What about both Dems in NM ?

Nah, Richardson and Bingaman won convincingly their last cycles around and still didn't carry every county. That's hard to do here, because you can't appeal to every political quadrant at once and that's what you'd have to do to sweep the state. That, or have an atrocious candidate. NM wasn't swept in either 1972 or 1964...or even in 1936 or 1928.

Yeah I just watched the maps and there's this really conservative Catron county in the west of NM. I think they would have to win NM with 70% to carry this district

And Bingaman did.

Note my comment about atrocious candidates. The NM Reps really, really, really blew that. Either of the two other candidates who lost in the primary could've won at least Catron County. Let's see, pick the moderate "gay ponytailed Santa Fe Republican" David Pfeffer, the center-right semi-blowhard Joseph Carraro (my old State Senator ) or the definitely conservative Allen McCulloch? Great choice, NM Reps.