Well I can't help but feel smug and I will be slapped down for this but I told you so! All the people on the SUSA VA Senate threads called me basically wrong when I questioned how Allen could be winning 27% of African Americans and 75% of Hispanic Americans. I always felt this was close and now, everyone's favourite pollster is behind Adlai!
If I have one niggling doubt, isn't 43%-43% a bit low? Allen must have sunk pretty badly.
I am concluding that you didn't read my post. I never said you were wrong in your estimation. I merely said that you don't know anything about how polls are conducted or about statistics in general. That's all.