The 1983 General Election Replay Live Blog

[AMOLAK MANN]

yes it was mad though figures in 1974 later on were 340/240/15/40 which is better on shares of 43.3%,34.4%,18.3,5.0% and even later 42.0/34.2/18.1/5.7

Those BBC 1979 figures you have Harry are they same ones I posted as there seems to be bit of confusion from person who did forecast as he stated in journal that the error in the lead in seats was just 4 ie con majority over Labour was either 66 or 74.much appreciated if you could help.

1983: ITN shares:Con 42% Lab 28% ,Alliance 26% others 4%
                 seats   Con 383 Lab 227 Alliance 17 SNP 3 Plaid Cymru 3 and others 17

1987 ITN shares: Con 42% Lab 32% Alliance 23% Others 3%
                seats: Con 359 Lab 243 Allinace 24 SNP 5 Plaid Cymru 2 Others 17

I could go on if anyone interested

[Harry Hayfield]

Certainly, do carry on. I note that as the majority of your figures seem to be the ITN exit poll numbers it would be interesting to do a comparsion between BBC and ITN over the years to see who is the most accurate. If you're interested, might I suggest that you start a new thread headed "BBC vs ITN Exit Poll Battle" starting with the earliest exit poll data that you have and I'll post afterwards with the BBC's exit poll data and compare the two?