A big post of Senate maps

[RBH]

1980: Herman Talmadge (D) v. Mack Mattingly (R)



Mattingly won 51/49 (803686 to 776143)

1970: Charles Goodell (R) v. Richard Ottinger (D) v. James Buckley (Conservative)



Buckley won 39/37 (2,228,190 to 2,171,232) with 24% and 1,434,472 to Goodell

1972: Jesse Helms (R) v. Nick Galifianakis (D)



Helms won 54/46 (795248 to 677293) as Nixon was carrying North Carolina by a 69/29 margin.

Helms won 10 of 11 Congressional Districts, although he won 5 of them by less than 10 points, including a 180 vote victory in the 6th District. Galifianakis won by 936 votes in the First District.

The NC Congressional District Map:



Helms won by less than 10 points in the 2nd (yellow, northeast), the 4th (orange, central), 6th (Pink, North Central), 7th (Yellow, Southeast), and 11th (green, Southwest). The 1st District is in green and in the northeast corner.

Helms fared the best in the 3rd (pink, southeast) and 10th (pink, southwest)

In Congressional elections. Republicans won the 5th (yellow, northeast), 8th, 9th (skyblue), and 10th. Democrats carried the rest.

[nclib]

The NC Congressional District Map:



Helms won by less than 10 points in the 2nd (yellow, northeast), the 4th (orange, central), 6th (Pink, North Central), 7th (Yellow, Southeast), and 11th (green, Southwest). The 1st District is in green and in the northeast corner.

Helms fared the best in the 3rd (pink, southeast) and 10th (pink, southwest)

In Congressional elections. Republicans won the 5th (yellow, northeast), 8th, 9th (skyblue), and 10th. Democrats carried the rest.

Good work, RBH. Anyway, you labeled both the 2nd and 5th districts as (yellow, northeast). Which one is accurate?

[RBH]

The 5th District is in the Northwest. Typo there.

[RBH]

Here's some more maps!

Kansas, 1974: Bob Dole (R) v. William Roy (D)



Dole - 403983 (51%)
Roy - 390451 (49%)

Maine, 1972: Margaret Chase Smith (R) v. William Hathaway (D)



Hathaway - 224270 (53%)
Smith - 197040 (47%)

North Dakota, 1986: Mark Andrews (R) v. Kent Conrad (D)



Conrad - 143932 (49.8%)
Andrews - 141797 (49.1%)

Missouri, 1940: Harry S. Truman (D) v. Manvel Davis (R)



Truman - 930775 (51%)
Davis - 886376 (49%)

Missouri, 1982: John Danforth (R) v. Harriett Woods (D)



Danforth - 784876 (51%)
Woods - 758629 (49%)

And go figure, both candidates are from St. Louis, so Danforth drops a ton of counties.

[RBH]

Here's a brief summary of Senate and Gov results

St. Louis City:
1980, Gov: 171,171 votes, 67/33 Teasdale
1980, Sen: 170,631 votes, 71/28 Eagleton
1982, Sen: 127,742 votes, 67/33 Woods
1984, Gov: 172,627 votes, 67/33 Rothman
1986, Sen: 110,593 votes, 70/30 Woods
1988, Gov: 151,329 votes, 59/39 Hearnes
1988, Sen: 151,359 votes, 58/41 Nixon
1992, Gov: 144,240 votes, 77/23 Carnahan
1992, Sen: 145,054 votes, 67/30 Rothman-Serot

St. Louis County:
1980, Gov: 481,437 votes, 59/41 Bond
1980, Sen: 482,009 votes, 54/45 McNary
1982, Sen: 328,402 votes, 60/40 Danforth
1984, Gov: 478,898 votes, 56/44 Ashcroft
1986, Sen: 336,262 votes, 55/45 Bond
1988, Gov: 478,102 votes, 68/30 Ashcroft
1988, Sen: 474,878 votes, 71/29 Danforth
1992, Gov: 526,368 votes, 61/39 Carnahan
1992, Sen: 530,931 votes, 52/46 Bond

I'm not sure which is more worthy of a map, Danforth/Nixon or Ashcroft/Hearnes

Here's a summary of both results

Danforth/Nixon
Counties for Danforth: 114
Counties for Nixon: 1

Counties that gave Danforth
over 80%: 5
over 70%: 54
over 60%: 46
over 50%: 9

The excellence in ticketsplitting award goes to Nodaway County
Dukakis: 4240 (51%)
Bush: 4103 (49%)

Danforth: 6454 (75%)
Nixon: 2117 (25%)

Ashcroft/Hearnes included Ashcroft winning 112 of 115 counties.

Ashcroft won 33 with over 70%, 59 with over 60%, 20 with over 50%.

Hearnes won St. Louis City (noted above), Pemiscot went 51/49 for her, Mississippi went 67/33 for her.

[Joe Republic]

1980: Herman Talmadge (D) v. Mack Mattingly (R)



Mattingly won 51/49 (803686 to 776143)

Amazing to think that despite the sea of red, the Republican actually won.  I realize Atlanta is responsible for that, but still.

[RBH]

Jackson County.

As for the Georgia Senate race.

In counties that Talmadge won, he got 64%.

In counties that Mattingly won, he got 60%

In counties that Talmadage won, Carter won 62/36

In counties that Mattingly won, Carter won 51/44

[RBH]

Kansas City gives 70% to Democrats. Independence gives 60% to Democrats.

And Montee has a good shot, since even low spenders like Mark Powell could get 46% in Missouri.

[RBH]

Well, KC is pretty diverse, and Independence is 92% white and Democratic.

I don't see there being a three-way primary with Blunt. At the very least, there'll be a combination of pressure for people to not challenge Blunt, and to not make it easier for Blunt to win.

In the primary, at least 1/4th to 1/3rd of the vote will come out of Blunt's base (Southwest Missouri). Which means that Steelman will have problems overcoming Blunt's advantage there.

As well, she's a woman, which is a strike against her in the primary.

The only way Blunt loses the primary is if he loses votes in Southwest Missouri, which means somebody to his right either directly faces him, or deprives him of votes, while running on an anti-stem cell platform or something similar.

[RBH]

Victor Callahan is my state Senator, as for the favorite official. I'm not too sure.

Although it's a huge shame that Cook lost.

[WalterMitty]

could you do one of virginia 1989 doug wilder vs. marshall coleman (i realize that isnt a senate race...but anyway)

[RBH]

I'll do Wilder/Coleman sometime, and put it on the thread for gubernatorial maps. Virginia maps are hard to do due to the independent cities.

As for 2008 Missouri races. I think the Dems have somebody on deck who would make a good attorney general.

And here's a variation on other maps.

In 1976, John Stennis (D-MS) didn't face an opponent, so let's contrast the number of votes he got with the total votes in the Carter/Ford race.



Stennis' vote total was 72% of the total of the Ford/Carter race.

In 1971, Charles Evers got 22% and won 4 counties (Claiborne, Holmes, Jefferson, and Wilkinson) in a one-on-one race with Bill Waller.

Mississippi did have third party African-American challenges in 1978 (Charles Evers ran for the Senate, a candidate ran for Congress against Jon Hinson and John Stennis' son) and another African-American candidate ran in 1980 and gave Hinson a narrow victory in the general election.

[RBH]

Florida, 1974:

Richard Stone (D) v. Jack Eckard (R) v. John Grady (American)



Stone - 781031 (43%)
Eckerd - 736674 (41%)
Grady - 282659 (16%)

Here's a separate map for Grady

[Gabu]

1980: Herman Talmadge (D) v. Mack Mattingly (R)



Mattingly won 51/49 (803686 to 776143)

Amazing to think that despite the sea of red, the Republican actually won.  I realize Atlanta is responsible for that, but still.

It's not really that amazing.  Happens all the time with Democratic candidates, really.  Heck, look at New York in the 1968 presidential election:



Guess who won and by how much?

The correct answer is the Democrat by 5.46%.

[Nym90]

True, but it's much more amazing for a Republican to lose the vast majority of counties and still win a state. It's much more likely to happen with a Democrat, though I'll admit it always looks odd even then.

Republicans of course like maps like the one you posted, makes them feel like their candidates are somehow superior for winning all of that land area.

[Gabu]

True, but it's much more amazing for a Republican to lose the vast majority of counties and still win a state. It's much more likely to happen with a Democrat, though I'll admit it always looks odd even then.

True enough.  Was Talmadge the more liberal candidate of the race?  I don't know much about him.

Republicans of course like maps like the one you posted, makes them feel like their candidates are somehow superior for winning all of that land area.

Hah, yes.

[RBH]

Talmadge in 1980 had a few problems.

Such as being denounced by the Senate for financial irregularities, and a divorce, and his alcoholism.

He beat Zell Miller in a runoff, and Miller said that he wouldn't vote for Talmadge in November.

One paragraph on that:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[RBH]

In 1968, Georgia Republicans ran their first Senate candidate since 1932.

It didn't go well. Talmadge won 77-22 and won 158 of 159 counties.

[RBH]

The 1968 results were

Talmadge (D) - 885093 (78%)
Earl Patton (R) - 256796 (22%)

And 1972 was better for the Republicans.



Sam Nunn (D-Perry, Houston County) - 635970 (54%)
Fletcher Thompson (R-Atlanta, Fulton County) - 542331 (46%)

[RBH]

And unless I become very busy, i'll have a special "election 2006" map post for the last Senate win by Democrats in OH, PA, and VA. And the last GOP Senate win in New Jersey and Maryland.

For reference. Those maps will be:

Glenn v. DeWine (Ohio, 1992)
Wofford v. Thornburgh (Pennsylvania, 1991)
Robb v. North (Virginia, 1994)
Case v. Kerbs (New Jersey, 1972)
Mathias v. Conroy (Maryland, 1980)

[RBH]

Wait on those maps.

And feast on this.

1990 (my map):



1996 (Dave's map):



1990:
Wellstone - 911999 (50%)
Boschwitz - 864375 (48%)

1996:
Wellstone - 1098493 (50%)
Boschwitz - 901282 (41%)

Clearwater and Cook Counties were the only counties to go from Wellstone to Boschwitz.

In the Twin Cities (Anoka, Carver, Dakota, Hennepin, Ramsey, Scott, Washington) [53% of the vote in 1990, 54% in 1996]

1990: 53/45 Wellstone
1996: 52/38 Wellstone

In the rest of Minnesota

1990: 51/47 Boschwitz
1996: 48/45 Wellstone

[RBH]

John Glenn - 2,444,419 (51%)
Mike DeWine - 2,028,300 (42%)
Marsha Gravatt - 321234 (7%)

The last three Senate victories by Ohio Democrats were over DeWine (2006 and 1992) and Voinovich (1988)

[RBH]

Missouri-palooza

1970



Stuart Symington (D-St. Louis County): 655431 (51%)
John Danforth (R-St. Louis County): 617903 (48%)

1974



Thomas Eagleton (D-St. Louis): 735433 (60%)
Thomas Curtis (R-St. Louis County): 480900 (39%)

1976



John Danforth (R-Cole County): 1,090,067 (57%)
Warren Hearnes (D-Mississippi County): 813,571 (42%)

1980



Thomas Eagleton (D-St. Louis): 1,074,859 (52%)
Gene McNary (R-St. Louis County): 985,399 (48%)

Any guesses when it comes to the strongholds for both parties?

[Joe Republic]

RBH, have you submitted your data and maps to Dave?  I'm sure he'd be very appreciative of all the amazing work you've done.

[RBH]

I haven't done that yet.

Although, I'd imagine that I would also need to give him copies of the spreadsheets of county results.

And i'm on a limited internet access at the moment.

Here's some less complex maps for the 2004 Senate primaries in Georgia.

The first round of the Democratic Primary (41-21 Majette), I don't have a map for the runoff though:



The Republican primary, which was won by Johnny Isakson with 53%:



Collins won his district and a few places, Cain won some other places (I think near his home), Majette won most major metro areas, and lost the rest of the counties.

And the 2004 primary was pretty even, votewise, for the Dems and Republicans. Although there's still some very low turnout GOP primaries in some counties.