Bottom falling out of GOP on Tradesports

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Senate:



House:

[poughies]

Already noticed. If Mccaskill gains 1 pt, it will be the first time ever that the Democrats would have the six seats they need on tradesports.....

[Mr. Morden]

In fact, that's just happened.  As I type this, McCaskill now has a tiny lead over Talent at Tradesports, which means the Dems are favored in MO, MT, OH, PA, RI, *and* TN, and favored to hold onto NJ as well.  Of course, if they won all of those, they'd take the Senate.  Yet, the GOP is still rated as having a 66% chance of holding the Senate.  That's because the three closest races are MO, NJ, and TN, and if the Dems were to lose any one of them, the GOP would hold the Senate (unless there's an upset in VA).

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

House might drop below 30 at this rate.

[poughies]

couple of late developments.... Corker is for some reason gaining in Tennessee.... and when I mean gaining, i mean Ford still leads by 4.... and Webb is up to 45 for some reason...... sometimes it doesn't make sense... and the house looks like it might hit 30 VERY VERY soon.....

[Eraserhead]

couple of late developments.... Corker is for some reason gaining in Tennessee.... and when I mean gaining, i mean Ford still leads by 4.... and Webb is up to 45 for some reason...... sometimes it doesn't make sense... and the house looks like it might hit 30 VERY VERY soon.....

Anyone think Webb went up because of the debate?

[Eraserhead]

Wow the House is at 36% and the Senate is down to 62%. I guess most people don't think the "Crisis in Korea" will be enough to save the GOP.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Korea cuts both ways.  While it helps the GOP by providing extra emphasis on national security, it also hurts them by strengthening the perception that Bush and company have been too focused on Iraq to properly pay attention to other national secirity issues.  Besides, it's not as if anyone was surprised that the DPRK had a nuke.  The surprise was that they used up one of the few they had.