TN: Rasmussen: Ford's(D) lead narrows over Corker(R)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New Poll: Tennessee Senator by Rasmussen on 2006-10-11

Summary: D: 48%, R: 46%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Democratic Hawk]

As long as Ford's leading, I'm optimistic

Dave

[Eraserhead]

This race may decide control of the Senate and it might keep us up..all..night...long!!!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The lead has gone back and forth the last month.

[poughies]

MoE.... tossu

[Conan]

So weird how close it is.

[Downwinder]

This race may decide control of the Senate and it might keep us up..all..night...long!!!

No, that will probably be Missouri!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

And Claire McCaskill is up by 9 pts.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

And Claire McCaskill is up by 9 pts.

Must be that $25 I gave her.

[Adlai Stevenson]

And Claire McCaskill is up by 9 pts.

Must be that $25 I gave her.

LOL!

[Eraserhead]

This race may decide control of the Senate and it might keep us up..all..night...long!!!

No, that will probably be Missouri!

Not according to SUSA. Although they are quite possibly off.

[Eraserhead]

I won't feel great about this race until Ford is way up...sadly because he is black.

[poughies]

Someone brought up a while back.... unlike northern states where we have a black theory (not saying because u are racist...), many in the south will just wear it as a sense of pride.... racism that is.

I don't know.

[Ben.]

I remember somone suggesting a while back that disaffected Conservaties would flow back to Corker as the election got closer... the key thing is if Ford can keep sufficent of these voters at home or even attract some to vote for him, as things stand i think there's an evens chance of sufficent conservatives staying home to undermine Corker and potentially sufficent conservatives boosting Ford a little... it's not a poll Ford should be too worried about though he needs to break the 48% barrier in the next week or two, his performance in the debates can only help, though Corker did improve in the second debate... was there a third planned?   

[poughies]

I thought Corker was much worse during the second debate..... Or maybe Ford was much better.

[opebo]

I remember somone suggesting a while back that disaffected Conservaties would flow back to Corker as the election got closer... the key thing is if Ford can keep sufficent of these voters at home or even attract some to vote for him, as things stand i think there's an evens chance of sufficent conservatives staying home to undermine Corker and potentially sufficent conservatives boosting Ford a little... it's not a poll Ford should be too worried about though he needs to break the 48% barrier in the next week or two, his performance in the debates can only help, though Corker did improve in the second debate... was there a third planned?   

This is an excellent analysis, and precisely why I think Corker's chances are just a bit better than even.. mostly because:

...he is black.

[TheresNoMoney]

I think Corker will squeek out the win. Black candidates always poll better than they perform on election day.

[Adlai Stevenson]

The constant focus on the black factor is depressing.  Hopefully Tennesseeans will defy our expectations and elect the best candidate in this race: Harold Ford, Jr.  He truly reflects the modern South, is conservative enough to win and will probably do a lot more for the state and country than Corker. 

[Ben.]

This is an excellent analysis, and precisely why I think Corker's chances are just a bit better than even.. mostly because:

...he is black.

On the plus side, for Ford supporters, unlike the "Black factor" in the north in the south voters who are of a racist bent are generally far more open about it so i think the polls are probably a fair reflection of whats going on, that said Ford will be helped by Phil Bredesen being a conservative, popular, middle aged white guy at the top of the ticket and potentially have crucial coatails in areas where you might fear racism could hit Ford hardest... but overall I think the race factor is less serious that some would make it out to be in terms of polls not picking it up, folks who are racist are either open about it or simply ascribe their actions based on their racism to somthing else, shouldnt have a huge impact on the polls, noticable but not huge.

PS: Thanks Opebo, I belive that the first time we have ever agreed in my four years of posting on this site        

[poughies]

Yes, the race factor is more "open"..... is that better or worse in terms of where we stand in the world?

[Ben.]

Yes, the race factor is more "open"..... is that better or worse in terms of where we stand in the world?

Worse for the world, probably better for those hoping the polls are reflective of the race currently being fought in TN

My personal view is it's a very close race, and i have no idea if the conservative base will turn out for the GOP or Corker in TN (or indeed nationally) nor do i know what Ford GOTV effort will be like... if it's as good as the rest of his campaign (and the polls are the same or better than they are today for him) then he'd entre polling day with an edge IMHO... but we just dont have any idea what his machine is like outside of Memphis (where I'm sure everyman and his dog will vote ).