Most vulnerable House GOP incumbent

[nclib]

I'd say Hostettler followed by Sodrel.

[Adlai Stevenson]

I think either Chocola, Hostettler or Hill could be put down - but I'm going to put down Hill because he is a single term incumbent.  According to the polls, I'd have to say Chocola though.  Outside of Indiana, Reynolds and Sherwood look very vulnerable. 

[Joel the Attention Whore]

Chocola.

[Sam Spade]

I think either Chocola, Hostettler or Hill could be put down - but I'm going to put down Hill because he is a single term incumbent.  According to the polls, I'd have to say Chocola though.  Outside of Indiana, Reynolds and Sherwood look very vulnerable. 

Tough call right now.  Chocola, Sherwood, Pryce and Reynolds appear to be weakest right now.  Foley has really impacted Pryce and Reynolds the hardest, imo.

Ironically, from everything I've read from the big pundits , etc., Sodrel is making a very strong comeback.  The Foley scandal has not affected him one bit (maybe because he's a first-termer) and he's actually used it to his benefit against Hill.

[MarkWarner08]

John Hostettler is a goner who's a running a campaign based on anachronistic  tactics. He's an incumbent in a tough race who wasn't on the TV until mid October -- he even writes his own ads.

Chocola will lose because he failed to define Joe Donnelly early enough, Sherwood is a dead duck after a serious of vicious attack ads by Chris Carney.

Those three are all decided underdogs. Taylor is also an underdog against Democratic rising star Heath Shuler. On November 7th, Shuler will sack Charles Taylor and score a major touchdown for the DCCC and for all Southern Democrats.

Reynolds is a slight underdog who deserves the benefit of the doubt because of his vast political experience.

Leans Democratic: Sherwood, Hostettler, Chocola and Taylor
Slight Democratic Lean: Reynolds, Weldon, Pryce, Shays.
Tossup: Gerlach, Shaw, Pryce and Sodrel.
Slight Republican Lean: Simmons, CT

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Reynolds. He's down by the most and has the most baggage.

[Deano963]

Hostettler for sure.

[Democratic Hawk]

Ironically, from everything I've read from the big pundits , etc., Sodrel is making a very strong comeback.  The Foley scandal has not affected him one bit (maybe because he's a first-termer) and he's actually used it to his benefit against Hill.

I think Hill made a grave mistake running ad's linking Sodrel with Mark Foley (through Sodrel accepting money from the House Leadership); though, of course, the fact that Sodrel took money from Tom DeLay and Duke Cunningham is fair game. Hill should have left it at that

I now think Sodrel is the least vulnerable of the three endangered Hoosier Republicans

It is fair game, however, for Democrats to use Mark Foley to attack those House Republicans in leadership positions, for example, Deborah Pryce, but Sodrel is not one of those positions

Dave

[Harry Hayfield]

Does this mean we have a definite list of open seats and if so, could they posted or e-mailed in the format State Code - District Number?

[nclib]

Is this what you mean?

(from dcpoliticalreport)

Jim Davis (D-FL-11) running for Governor
Cynthia McKinney (D-GA-4) defeated in primary
Ed Case (D-HI-2) running for Senate
Lane Evans (D-IL-17) retiring
Ben Cardin (D-MD-3) running for Senate
Martin Olav Sabo (DFL-MN-5) retiring
Robert Menendez (D-NJ-13) appointed to Senate
Major Owens (D-NY-11) retiring
Ted Strickland (D-OH-6) running for Governor
Sherrod Brown (D-OH-13) running for Senate
Harold E. Ford (D-TN-9) running for Senate
Bernie Sanders (I-VT-AL) running for Senate

Jim Kolbe (R-AZ-8) retiring
Bill Thomas (R-CA-22) retiring
Joel Hefley (R-CO-5) retiring
Bob Beauprez (R-CO-7) running for Governor
Michael Bilirakis (R-FL-9) retiring
Katherine Harris (R-FL-13) running for Senate
Mark Foley (R-FL-16) resigned
Butch Otter (R-ID-1) running for Governor
Henry Hyde (R-IL-6) retiring
Jim Nussle (R-IA-1) running for Governor
Joe Schwarz (R-MI-7) defeated in primary
Mark Kennedy (R-MN-6) running for Senate
Tom Osborne (R-NE-3) defeated in Governor primary
James Gibbons (R-NV-2) running for Governor
Sherry Boehlert (R-NY-24) retiring
Mike Oxley (R-OH-4) retiring
Bob Ney (R-OH-18) resigning
Ernest Istook (R-OK-5) running for Governor
Bill Jenkins (R-TN-1) retiring
Tom DeLay (R-TX-22) indicted and resigned
Mark Green (R-WI-8) running for Governor

[Harry Hayfield]

That is precisely what I was looking for. Thanks