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Author Topic: 2004 User Predictions - Discussion  (Read 355434 times)
Michael Z
Mike
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E: -5.88, S: -4.72

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« Reply #2225 on: June 06, 2004, 05:47:42 pm »
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Here's mine.......



Exhilarating, huh?
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classical liberal
RightWingNut
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E: 9.35, S: -8.26

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« Reply #2226 on: June 06, 2004, 09:27:07 pm »
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mine:

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"As for me, I'd rather live in a free country than a 'fair' one." --David Harsanyi

"What passes for optimism is most often the effect of an intellectual error." --Raymond Claud Ferdinan Aron

"The world is a rough and nasty place. Absent a change in human nature, it will remain so." --Robert M. Gates
Blazers93
Lamrock
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« Reply #2227 on: June 06, 2004, 11:57:33 pm »
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Here is mine if it shows.
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Sorry for my posts before: November 8, 2008
BushAlva
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« Reply #2228 on: June 08, 2004, 11:09:39 am »
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My prediction is on the prediction page.  Look at it and be shocked.

Just a hint -- Oklahoma and Missouri are Kerry and California is Bush
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2006 Republican candidate for Oklahoma State House of Representatives District 58 (Grant, Alfalfa, Woods, Woodward, and Major Counties).

Unofficial announcement of my 2006 candidacy was Monday, July 5, 2004.

Official launching of my 2006 campaign to come Monday, July 4, 2005 in Alva Oklahoma.
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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« Reply #2229 on: June 08, 2004, 03:22:28 pm »
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My prediction is on the prediction page.  Look at it and be shocked.

Just a hint -- Oklahoma and Missouri are Kerry and California is Bush

Why do you say that?
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2230 on: June 08, 2004, 03:27:06 pm »
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This is BushAlva's map:


He makes John Engle look sane.
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BushAlva
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« Reply #2231 on: June 08, 2004, 08:15:56 pm »
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I was basically playing around with my version 2.  Version 3 looks a lot more like how I think it will or can turn out.  Again its on the prediction page.

The notable differences from Version 2 include Oklahoma a strong Bush (though I could easily lean the state), California leaning Kerry.  North Carolina leaning Bush and Arkansas leaning Bush because of Edwards and Clark, respectively.  Minnesota is now a Bush toss-up.  It could easily be a Kerry toss-up, as well.  Iowa and Pennsylvania still are leaning Bush.
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2006 Republican candidate for Oklahoma State House of Representatives District 58 (Grant, Alfalfa, Woods, Woodward, and Major Counties).

Unofficial announcement of my 2006 candidacy was Monday, July 5, 2004.

Official launching of my 2006 campaign to come Monday, July 4, 2005 in Alva Oklahoma.
tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2232 on: June 09, 2004, 07:09:06 am »
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Makes a little more sense, but Kerry won't lose MN and IA and win MO.
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Platypus
hughento
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« Reply #2233 on: June 10, 2004, 12:52:39 am »
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Bush: 279
Kerry: 259
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opebo
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« Reply #2234 on: June 10, 2004, 02:55:43 am »
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Bush: 279
Kerry: 259

Very nice - I'd call that Bush's minimum.
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The essence of democracy at its purest is a lynch mob

classical liberal
RightWingNut
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« Reply #2235 on: June 10, 2004, 04:15:11 pm »
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I think that you're way too optimistic.
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"As for me, I'd rather live in a free country than a 'fair' one." --David Harsanyi

"What passes for optimism is most often the effect of an intellectual error." --Raymond Claud Ferdinan Aron

"The world is a rough and nasty place. Absent a change in human nature, it will remain so." --Robert M. Gates
tweed
Miamiu1027
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E: -8.52, S: -8.00

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« Reply #2236 on: June 12, 2004, 06:52:28 pm »
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UPDATED Kerry v. Bush:


Bush 274
Kerry 264

Kerry/Edwards v. Bush/Cheney analysis in a quickie
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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E: -8.52, S: -8.00

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« Reply #2237 on: June 12, 2004, 06:56:43 pm »
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Edwards swings WV and NC
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2238 on: June 15, 2004, 05:41:19 pm »
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Kevinstat's graph
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Lunar
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« Reply #2239 on: June 15, 2004, 06:00:27 pm »
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This is my new format:

Shrunk Alaska, switched colors, add CDs for Maine and Nebraska and a new DC.

It's a modified version of Election Projection's.
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this is real
tweed
Miamiu1027
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E: -8.52, S: -8.00

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« Reply #2240 on: June 16, 2004, 09:42:50 am »
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Lunar,  

The image is poor quality, in .jpg format.  Save in .png format for a nice, clean, crisp image.
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Lunar
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« Reply #2241 on: June 16, 2004, 12:57:27 pm »
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I made it a bit fuzzy on purpose.  I edited it to make it moreso.
« Last Edit: June 16, 2004, 12:57:43 pm by Lunar »Logged

this is real
tweed
Miamiu1027
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E: -8.52, S: -8.00

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« Reply #2242 on: June 16, 2004, 03:25:13 pm »
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Can I ask why?
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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E: -8.52, S: -8.00

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« Reply #2243 on: June 16, 2004, 03:59:58 pm »
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Take a look at my high quality, brisk, beautiful new prediction map:


No EV Changes from last time.  I added CD's for ME and NE, and moved Florida to solid Bush from lean Bush.
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Lunar
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« Reply #2244 on: June 16, 2004, 05:26:25 pm »
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Your CD-1 for Nebraska is too big.



The reason why I made mine slightly fuzzy was because I liked it a bit better.
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this is real
ilikeverin
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« Reply #2245 on: June 16, 2004, 05:47:45 pm »
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IMO Kerry Max:



(maybe add GA to this?)

Bush Max:



(Maybe switch Wash. and/or Cali)
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Chief Judicial Officer of the Most Serene Republic of the Midwest, registered in the State of Joy, in Atlasia
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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E: -8.52, S: -8.00

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« Reply #2246 on: June 16, 2004, 09:24:58 pm »
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Your CD-1 for Nebraska is too big.

Sad

I did it by hand...so it was hard...and I am surprised it doesn't look like total crap.  
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2247 on: June 18, 2004, 07:22:23 am »
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I am considering adding a third column/color in my map: likeley Bush.  If I do, here wil be the key:

Lean (light red or blue): <5% lead
Likely (medium red or blue): 5-10% lead
Solid (dark red or blue): >10% lead
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Sibboleth
Realpolitik
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« Reply #2248 on: June 18, 2004, 07:24:29 am »
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I am considering adding a third column/color in my map: likeley Bush.  If I do, here wil be the key:

Lean (light red or blue): <5% lead
Likely (medium red or blue): 5-10% lead
Solid (dark red or blue): >10% lead

Tweed, ***** **** ***** ******
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« Last Edit: June 18, 2004, 07:39:53 am by Al »Logged

"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
tweed
Miamiu1027
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E: -8.52, S: -8.00

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« Reply #2249 on: June 18, 2004, 07:30:38 am »
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I'm there
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