Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
July 30, 2010, 07:18:39 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpCalendarLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Stars & Stripes Forever)
| | |-+  Weird 1948 vote totals
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: Weird 1948 vote totals  (Read 820 times)
johnpressman
Full Member
***
Posts: 108
View Profile
« on: October 16, 2006, 04:40:38 am »
Ignore

I was looking at the results of the 1948 Presidential Election and a few irregularities caught my attention:

1.  Why did Dewey lose  ALL of the traditionally Republican Rocky Mountain and Pacific Coast States except Oregon, even  with California Covernor Warren on the ticket?

2. Why did Third Party Candidate J. Strom Thurmond's vote fluctuate so widely?  87% in MS, 79% in AL, and 20% in neighboring GA?  How about 72% in his home state of SC and 8% in NC???

Logged
jimrtex
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3575
Germany


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2006, 02:13:36 pm »
Ignore

I was looking at the results of the 1948 Presidential Election and a few irregularities caught my attention:

1.  Why did Dewey lose  ALL of the traditionally Republican Rocky Mountain and Pacific Coast States except Oregon, even  with California Covernor Warren on the ticket?

2. Why did Third Party Candidate J. Strom Thurmond's vote fluctuate so widely?  87% in MS, 79% in AL, and 20% in neighboring GA?  How about 72% in his home state of SC and 8% in NC???
The Mountain states have a long time populist streak that Truman would appeal to, especially against someone from New York.  Many areas have a relatively significant mining industry, especially immediately after WWII.  In Wyoming, the UPRR is a significant source of employment.

For Thurmond, I would guess that it was the election laws, which may have made it easy or not to get his name on the ballot; or whether one had to vote for electors or a slate of electors directly; whether there was straight ticket voting; etc.  In Alabama, Thurmond was the Democrat candidate.  Assuming they had the same system as they used in 1960 - electors were chosen in the Democratic primary.  There might not even been Truman supporters on that ballot - or visible as such.  In Mississippi, Thurmond was the Democrat candidate.  Truman was the "National Democratic" candidate, a 3rd party candidate.
Logged
RBH
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1876


Political Matrix
E: -3.63, S: -2.72

View Profile
« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2006, 04:30:25 pm »
Ignore

Thurmond's party label was..

Democratic in Alabama, Mississippi

States Rights Democrat in Arkansas and Texas

State's Rights in Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, South Carolina, Virginia, North Carolina, and Tennessee

Not quite as many labels as Wallace in 1968.
Logged

RBH
gorkay
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1112


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2006, 02:51:42 pm »
Ignore

You also have to keep in mind that those Rocky Mountain and West Coast states were not "traditionally Republican" yet in 1948. Although they usually went Republican, quite a few of them voted for William Jennings Bryan one or more times, for Woodrow Wilson one or more times, and for FDR at least twice, and in some cases three and four times.
The 1948 election has been called "FDR's last victory," since it is theorized that many voters who originally planned to vote for Dewey could not bring themselves at the last minute to reject the nominee of the party that had brought prosperity back to the country.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout


Powered by SMF 1.1.11 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines LLC
Forums Directory