Hillary Clinton and Arkansas

[Adlai Stevenson]

How well do people think Clinton will do in Arkansas if she is the nominee?  Its unlikely she will win it barring any major shift towards her, but will she do better than Kerry in 2004 (44.55%) and Gore in 2004 (45.86%)?  Also, do you think her campaign will at all concentrate on Arkansas as part of a Southern strategy alongside possibly Virginia and Florida? 

[Adlai Stevenson]

Considering the state is right across the river from me, I don't think it's out of the question for her to win; however, a GOP southerner would take it against her. If we nominate Giuliani, it's open season.

northwest AR is GOP
the counties that border the MS river and SE AR are DEM
southwest AR sould go eitherway
Little Rock is about 55/45 Democrat

Interestingly enough, Bush won all four of AR's CD in 2004.

Only narrowly though.  Gore won AR-1 and AR-4 in 2000. 

[Adlai Stevenson]

Gosh that is a strong showing.