Which incumbents would've been reelected?

[Nym90]

Let's assume that all would've had the same opponents they have now, although of course some of them probably would've scared away the actual opposition nominee from running.

In the case of Corzine, assume he had stayed in the Senate instead of running for Governor.

In the case of Jeffords, assume he runs as an Independent caucusing with Dems against Tarrant, and then in the alternate scenario assume he had stayed a Republican all along and Sanders had challenged him this year.

[okstate]

All would have won except for Dayton. Any Democrat could have won in Minnesota this year but Dayton is such a fool that he surely would have found a way to squander that advantage.

[Nym90]

All of them would have been reelected. Dayton might have been squeezed, and maybe Frist and Jeffords, too, but they all would have won.

Jeffords vs. Sanders would have been an extremely interesting race to watch: two Independents vying for a seat, no parties attached.

In this case I was assuming Jeffords had remained a Republican, but you are correct that both running as Independents would've been entertaining, as well. Although in some ways it would've been similar to CT, since both would've been caucusing with the Dems. I highly doubt that Sanders would've run against Jeffords given that Jeffords was no longer a Republican.

I do remember there was quite a bit of talk of Sanders challenging Jeffords in 2000, but he ultimately declined.

[Nym90]

In this case I was assuming Jeffords had remained a Republican, but you are correct that both running as Independents would've been entertaining, as well. Although in some ways it would've been similar to CT, since both would've been caucusing with the Dems. I highly doubt that Sanders would've run against Jeffords given that Jeffords was no longer a Republican.

I do remember there was quite a bit of talk of Sanders challenging Jeffords in 2000, but he ultimately declined.

It wouldn't be like Connecticut, as there Lamont is supported by a national party (and, in some ways, Lieberman is supported by a national party, too, the other one). The Democrats wouldn't choose between Jeffords and Sanders, and the Republicans would be too disgusted with both of them.

Well yeah, it's not exactly the same of course. I just meant the same in that the race, while interesting, has no effect on the balance of power in the Senate.

[Conan]

Most of all of them would have won reelection. Jeffords as a republican probably would be defeated and Dayton could possibly squeeze by. He would be better off too because remember that he has just been a lame duck knowing he wasnt running again.

[Sam Spade]

All of these would have been re-elected for sure except Dayton, who is a very unsure case (and was never that well liked).  I must say that Klobuchar has been the better nominee regardless.  It is extremely doubtful that Sanders would have run against Jeffords, frankly.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

All except that Sanders would probably defeat Jeffords. That Tarrant guy is only in the 30s because of some serious self funding.

[adam]

I believe that Frist would beat Ford, and that Jeffords would beat Tarrant.

[Sam Spade]

I believe that Frist would beat Ford, and that Jeffords would beat Tarrant.

Ford is way too smart to have taken Frist head on.

[adam]

I believe that Frist would beat Ford, and that Jeffords would beat Tarrant.

Ford is way too smart to have taken Frist head on.

I concur, but it's the scenario that the poll gave.

[Nym90]

I believe that Frist would beat Ford, and that Jeffords would beat Tarrant.

Ford is way too smart to have taken Frist head on.

I agree also, I was just including that possibility to make it more interesting. Obviously without Ford in the race, Frist wins easily against a no name Dem.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just like Ford was too smart to take Alexander on, he knew he would have lost to them both.

[Soaring Eagle]

All of them, though TN and MN would be very close.