New Survey USA Congressional polling shows big gains for Dems

[okstate]

ARIZONA - 5
JD Hayworth 48 - R
Harry Mitchell 45 - D

Trends - Hayworth led by 12 in mid-September

MINNESOTA - 2
John Kline 50 - R
Colleen Rowley - 42 - D

Trends - Kline led by 20 in late September

CALIFORNIA - 50
Brian Bilbray - 49 - R
Francine Busby - 46 - D

Trends - Bilbray led by 14 in mid September

NEW MEXICO - 1
Heather Wilson - 45 - R
Patricia Madrin - 53 - D

Trends - Wilson led by 5 in mid September

http://surveyusa.com/electionpolls.aspx

[poughies]

Hayworth gone?

Man that would be nice.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The only one I really trust is the NM 01 poll and I doubt that Madrid is going to win by that much. I say 4 or 5 pts at the most.

[nini2287]

Hayworth gone?

Man that would be nice.

Agreed, but it's not going to happen.

[Deano963]

I would be shocked if CA-50 became competitive again.

[okstate]

The only one I really trust is the NM 01 poll and I doubt that Madrid is going to win by that much. I say 4 or 5 pts at the most.

I take the view that this is just Survey USA reaffirming CD/Majority Watch in the sense that a wave is beginning to form. This is exactly what we'd expect to see as the House playing field begins to widen -- the competitive districts start to move strongly to the Democratcs and the "safe" GOP districts suddenly look a lot less certain.

[Democratic Hawk]

Encouraging to see Democrats make inroads into districts that weren't thought particularly competitive

BTW, if the Democats fall a couple short, they will only have themselves to blame considering that had it not been for gerrymandering to protect Democratic and GOP incumbents in California, Democrats would have likely been on course to make gains

http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/commentary/la-op-quinn15oct15,0,6159618.story?coll=la-news-comment-opinions

Dave