ID: Mason Dixon - Otter (R) and Brady (D) as well as Sali (R) and Grant (D) tied (user search)
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  ID: Mason Dixon - Otter (R) and Brady (D) as well as Sali (R) and Grant (D) tied (search mode)
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Author Topic: ID: Mason Dixon - Otter (R) and Brady (D) as well as Sali (R) and Grant (D) tied  (Read 1681 times)
Gustaf
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Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« on: October 29, 2006, 11:55:22 AM »

Wow, that  is truly surprising. I'd like to see more polls, but I guess it's time to change the prediction here (even though this could be the New Jersey of this year...)
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Gustaf
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Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2006, 12:40:11 PM »

Wow, that  is truly surprising. I'd like to see more polls, but I guess it's time to change the prediction here (even though this could be the New Jersey of this year...)

Your wording is a tad confusing, but if your implying Kean Jr. will win, you will not be disappointed

I was referring to New Jersey in 2004 (though I guess Hawaii is more accurate come to think of it). Late in the campaign, polls were coming out showing ties, etc. That turned out to be mostly nonsense. But a Mason-Dixon will make me move this race to tossup.
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Gustaf
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Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2006, 01:38:51 PM »

Well well well. It seems that Dem internal wasn't too far off after all. I'm glad M-D was commissioned to poll these races.

To be perfectly honest, does anybody care who wins the Idaho governor race (outside of boosting someone's Senate resume)?

Um....yes. Lots of people care. There are many, many reasons why picking up the Governorship of even a sparsley populated state like Idaho would be good for the Dem party, besides that it may eventaully lead to the pickup of a Senate seat.

This is one poll, this is ID, Otter is no danger Sali a little

If Idahoians see this poll, they will freak and Otter will win by 20

- Other polls have confirmed this trend towards Brady, and this is M-D, not a D internal.
- Otter is in danger.
- Sali I would say is in even more danger than Otter.
- Your logic makes no sense as usual- if it did, states like WY, KS, OK and MT would not have Dem governors. Obviously the residents of these states and Idaho don't liken the prospect of having a Democratic Governor to the apocalypse as you do.
- You are delusional.

While DWTL is delusional it would be fair to point out that Idaho is one of the most Republican states in the country, to the point that the Democratic party there is pretty much a joke (kind of like the GOP in, say, Massachusetts). Like that example shows this doesn't make it impossible for the Democrats to win the Governorship, but it would be harder than in states like Oklahoma or Montana.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2006, 04:37:01 PM »


I used to like you and think you were level-headed, but you have become another puppet of the left-wing agenda

Lol...just because I'm not a Democratic hack doesn't mean that I'm a Republican one either. Tongue

Like most hacks your predictions are heavily biased. Delusional might be a strong word, but I went with it in this case. I don't think it calls for invectives like "puppet of the left-wing agenda"...
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