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Author Topic: AK: Rasmussen: Palin(R) leads by 1 over Knowles(D)  (Read 3785 times)
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olawakandi
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« on: October 30, 2006, 10:49:09 pm »
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New Poll: Alaska Governor by Rasmussen on 2006-10-28

Summary: D: 44%, R: 45%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Deano963
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2006, 11:16:00 pm »
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It seems as if those other two polls that showed the race a toss-up were accurate after all. It's now looking like the Dems could pick up as many as 11 governorships, which I would have dismissed as nearly impossible a couple weeks ago.
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I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee. 

The others--Edwards, Hillary, and Obama, have peaked WAY too early

THE BUCKS ARE GOING TO THE FINAL FOUR!!!

ottermax
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2006, 11:28:11 pm »
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I think Palin will still win, polls showed unfavorable results for Lisa Murkowski, but she still won. Unfortunately, it looks like Palin will win, and I believe by a considerable margin.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #3 on: October 31, 2006, 09:42:20 am »
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palin has this in the bag.
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2006, 11:02:50 am »
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This race has been over for awhile. No poll can change the fact that Palin is a well articulated, well liked candidate and no poll can change the fact that Tony Knowles is a goofy has been. Palin will win by at least 10.
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Deano963
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2006, 05:34:19 pm »
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palin has this in the bag.

Just like Healey does?

This race has been over for awhile. No poll can change the fact that Palin is a well articulated, well liked candidate and no poll can change the fact that Tony Knowles is a goofy has been. Palin will win by at least 10.

No poll can change the fact that she has little experience to be Governor and that her opponent has held the job twice before, either. Your argument sounded like something Down would say. Obviously the race is not over if the race is statistically tied.
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I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee. 

The others--Edwards, Hillary, and Obama, have peaked WAY too early

THE BUCKS ARE GOING TO THE FINAL FOUR!!!

adam
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« Reply #6 on: October 31, 2006, 06:03:27 pm »
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No poll can change the fact that she has little experience to be Governor and that her opponent has held the job twice before, either. Your argument sounded like something Down would say. Obviously the race is not over if the race is statistically tied.

Experience matters little in a state as politically lopsided as Alaska. Perhaps I was being a little harsh on Knowels. However, I really just can't see him over coming his challenger.
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Conan
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« Reply #7 on: October 31, 2006, 07:12:23 pm »
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He should have just won his senate race.
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MAS117
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« Reply #8 on: October 31, 2006, 07:50:06 pm »
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He should have just won his senate race.

Agreed, I wish the DSCC would have invested more in that race, it was winnable. I was suprised in the end the final results. This is godo news for Knowles, but I doubt he'll win. I don't t hink he will run again after this for anything.
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Gabu
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« Reply #9 on: October 31, 2006, 07:54:20 pm »
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I don't trust polls showing Knowles close at all, not after 2004.

I'll believe Knowles has a shot when I see him win the election.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2006, 08:50:15 pm »
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Knowles only lost by 3% in 2004.
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Gabu
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2006, 09:39:48 pm »
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Knowles only lost by 3% in 2004.

Yes, but didn't polls show him winning by 3% or so?
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Deano963
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« Reply #12 on: October 31, 2006, 10:23:13 pm »
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No poll can change the fact that she has little experience to be Governor and that her opponent has held the job twice before, either. Your argument sounded like something Down would say. Obviously the race is not over if the race is statistically tied.

Experience matters little in a state as politically lopsided as Alaska.

Obviously that is not the case and AK voters do not agree with you seeing as how Knowles has tightened this race to toss-up status mainly from hammering away at the competency angle and portraying Palin as inexperienced in the debates.
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I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee. 

The others--Edwards, Hillary, and Obama, have peaked WAY too early

THE BUCKS ARE GOING TO THE FINAL FOUR!!!

Tender Branson
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2006, 01:03:04 am »
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Knowles only lost by 3% in 2004.

Yes, but didn't polls show him winning by 3% or so?

Look at the 2004 Senate polls for Alaska here:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/ak_polls.html

This race has been a Toss-Up until the end, with no good pollster like Mason-Dixon even polling the race.
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Gabu
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« Reply #14 on: November 01, 2006, 01:09:36 am »
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Knowles only lost by 3% in 2004.

Yes, but didn't polls show him winning by 3% or so?

Look at the 2004 Senate polls for Alaska here:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/ak_polls.html

This race has been a Toss-Up until the end, with no good pollster like Mason-Dixon even polling the race.

I could have sworn Knowles was shown consistently leading...

Well, still, people got their hopes up in 2004 and it didn't exactly work out, so I'd prefer not to do the same here.
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« Reply #15 on: November 01, 2006, 02:34:53 am »
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The fact that we even has a shot here says something about this year.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #16 on: November 01, 2006, 04:27:40 am »
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Murkowski-Ulmer polled a dead heat throughout.

Murkowski won by 15%.
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Cubby
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« Reply #17 on: November 01, 2006, 09:38:52 pm »
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I could have sworn Knowles was shown consistently leading...

Well, still, people got their hopes up in 2004 and it didn't exactly work out, so I'd prefer not to do the same here.

I remember it that way too. Both the Murkowskis were hurt by the Nepotism scandal, and Knowles had been leading in some of the polls (not that there were many compared to other states).

I think Palin will win. She has more momentum at this point. 2004 was Knowles's year.
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2006, 08:50:05 pm »
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Murkowski-Ulmer polled a dead heat throughout.

Murkowski won by 15%.

I do have to say its often hard to poll rural areas and the Bush which are heavily Republican. Palin will win. Knowles might break 45% but he wont win.

palin has this in the bag.

Just like Healey does?

There's a difference though:

THIS IS F***KING ALASKA!
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Alcon
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2006, 08:55:33 pm »
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The great majority of Alaskans do not live in rural areas, though.  I'm not sure why Alaska is so difficult to poll, honestly.
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