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Author Topic: D Internal Ne 03: Kleeb ahead of Smith  (Read 1442 times)
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olawakandi
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« on: October 30, 2006, 12:19:47 pm »
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D:46%, R: 40%

http://www.dailykos.com/
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LucysBeau
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2006, 12:46:24 pm »
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I'd like to think Scott Kleeb was in with a fair shot in NE-03. Granted it's an open seat, but it went 87/11 Republican in 2004

Dave
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Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2006, 01:02:18 pm »
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75/24 actually. Still overwhelming.

I don't buy this obviously as it's an internal, but there is no question Kleeb is relatively close. The simple fact this race is close at all is a really bad harbinger for the GOP, although it can also be blamed on Smith being such a horrid candidate.
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Deano963
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2006, 08:50:24 pm »
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If we pick up this seat, then it definitely was a Category 5 hurricane.
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I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee. 

The others--Edwards, Hillary, and Obama, have peaked WAY too early

THE BUCKS ARE GOING TO THE FINAL FOUR!!!

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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2006, 08:54:49 pm »
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75/24 actually. Still overwhelming.


Not according to here:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/NE/H/03/index.html

Looking at his website, if that is anything to go by I think Kleeb would make a sound Representative

Not since 1961 has NE-03 sent a Democrat to Congress, Lawrence Brock served from 1959-1961 and he was the first Democrat since 1935

So a win for Kleeb would be quite a turn-up for the books Smiley. I gather he has secured the endorsement of the Omaha World-Herald , which can't be bad

Dave
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LucysBeau
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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2006, 09:02:14 pm »
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If we pick up this seat, then it definitely was a Category 5 hurricane.

You would think so; however, the Democrats may fail to gain some easy targets, yet win a few the GOP wouldn't even dream of losing

The Democrats are running many good candidates in 2006, which means they can take the fight to the GOP were they weren't exactly expecting it Wink. The beauty of this is that if the Democrats are successful, then they can expand on it for future elections

The golden rule is that you select a candidate who fits the profile of the district

Dave
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nclib
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2006, 09:05:44 pm »
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I think the Presidential race in NE-3 was 75-24 and the Congressional race was 87-11.
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2006, 09:09:28 pm »
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That's possible. Is there anywhere you can find out the extent to which Congressional Districts voted for Bush?

Dave
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« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2006, 09:23:28 pm »
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That's possible. Is there anywhere you can find out the extent to which Congressional Districts voted for Bush?

Dave

Hey Dave - this is a great site:

http://www.cqpolitics.com/06map.html

It will tell you the '04 Presidential and Congressional vote results for every District in the country.
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I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee. 

The others--Edwards, Hillary, and Obama, have peaked WAY too early

THE BUCKS ARE GOING TO THE FINAL FOUR!!!

Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2006, 10:00:55 pm »
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Hey Dave - this is a great site:

http://www.cqpolitics.com/06map.html

It will tell you the '04 Presidential and Congressional vote results for every District in the country.

Thanks Smiley
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« Reply #10 on: October 31, 2006, 12:49:46 am »
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Those were the presidential numbers I was referring to, so it's probably right.

You can also get the presidential numbers on this site with a membership.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2006, 03:39:06 am »
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This makes me feel very positive.  If it had shown Kleeb leading 44%-43% I would have dismissed it, but the fact that it is quite a stable lead leads me to think that he must have a very small lead over Smith with high undecideds.  The Democrats are really breaking through this election in non-competetive Districts; its quite heartening to be a truly national party.
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LucysBeau
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2006, 09:39:22 pm »
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Just watched all Kleeb's ads on youtube and been trawling the Nebraska press. There seems to be a lot of feelgood feeling about this guy, who is running a strong campaign

Scott Kleeb is infinitely the better candidate in this race. Yes, Democrats are thin on the ground in NE-03 but this guy sure seems to know how to win over Republicans. Many of whom seem far from impressed with Adrian Smith, who won the GOP primary with 39% of the vote, and who is heavily financed by the Club for Growth, which advocates abolishing all agricultural subsidies and the Department of Agriculture. Not exactly popular positions in one of the most rural districts in the US

Some Republicans seem to resigned to the possibility that the Democrats will gain control of the House and see Kleeb as best representing the interests of NE-03 in the Democratic majority. One of Kleeb's major concerns is that due to population decline, Nebraska may eventually lose its 3rd District

I'm not easily impressed, and it's seldom I ever blow sunshine, but Kleeb is very impressive. His demeanor, his position on the issues. He has issued what he calls the Declaration of Nebraska Independence from Speccial Interest Groups:

http://www.scottkleeb.com/issues/pledge.php

Dave

Dave
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Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

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LucysBeau
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2006, 09:52:34 pm »
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I'm not a signed-up user of the Omaha World-Herald but if any of you are interested you can find its endorsement of Scott Kleeb here:

http://www.nebraskademocrats.org/blog/797/omaha-world-herald-kleeb-for-congress

Dave
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Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

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