MO: Rasmussen: McCaskill(D) has a 1 pt edge on Talent(R)
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Author Topic: MO: Rasmussen: McCaskill(D) has a 1 pt edge on Talent(R)  (Read 1858 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« on: November 03, 2006, 10:15:01 AM »
« edited: November 03, 2006, 04:28:49 PM by Quincy »
New Poll: Missouri Senator by Rasmussen on 2006-11-02

Summary: D: 49%, R: 48%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2006, 03:54:50 PM »
« Edited: November 04, 2006, 02:02:53 AM by Eraserhead »
Long night here and maybe in VA.
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Conan
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2006, 04:53:28 PM »
McCaskill better win. If she can't win now shes never gonna win another office.
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Downwinder
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2006, 02:02:03 AM »
She's leading consistently, albeit by statistically insignificant margins in all the latest polls.  Hopefully this means undecideds are breaking to her.  I can't wait to see McCaskill in the Senate!
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2006, 02:06:41 AM »
Still a super-tossup, but I'm optimistic for this reason:

There's only 2real pollsters regularly polling this one (forget Zogby): SurveyUSA and Rasmussen. Neither has shown Talent ahead since Rasmussen a week ago, then movement to McCaskill. Same with SUSA. Probably just MOE movement, but all things considered, it appears McCaskill has a slight edge.

And the last Mason-Dixon had McCaskill up by 3, even though it was 2 weeks ago. Hopefully they'll give us one more.

And if McCaskill wins by a few hundred votes, all Democrats should send a thank you note to Rush Limbaugh for handing us a Senate seat.
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opebo
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« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2006, 02:21:03 AM »
Does anyone have information on what the polling showed in the Carnahan/Talent race?  I'm curious if there is any tendency in the state, or with Talent particularly compared to the final vote.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2006, 02:25:25 AM »
Last few polls:

KC Star: GOP +5
Research 2000: GOP +4
Zogby: GOP +7
Gallup: GOP +4

Talent barely won, so those are good numbers.
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okstate
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« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2006, 02:37:06 AM »
Time to just give up polling in Missouri. This thing ain't moving more than 2 points in either direction at this point.
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jfern
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« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2006, 02:39:36 AM »
Quote from: okstate on November 04, 2006, 02:37:06 AM
Time to just give up polling in Missouri. This thing ain't moving more than 2 points in either direction at this point.

Wow, now that you mention it, tossing Zogby, the last 6 polls have McCaskill at 47-49, and Talent at 46-49. Considering most of those have a MOE of 4, that's surprisingly little variance.
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opebo
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2006, 02:47:20 AM »
Quote from: Senator BRTD on November 04, 2006, 02:25:25 AM
Last few polls:

KC Star: GOP +5
Research 2000: GOP +4
Zogby: GOP +7
Gallup: GOP +4

Talent barely won, so those are good numbers.

Thanks!  Those are very encouraging!
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