Virginia Senate Race -FINAL PREDICTIONS
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Poll
Question: Who will win on Tuesday?
#1
Sen. George Allen (R)		  
#2
Jim Webb (D)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 62

Author Topic: Virginia Senate Race -FINAL PREDICTIONS  (Read 3193 times)
Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #25 on: November 04, 2006, 05:34:35 PM »
I'm really surprised that the poll is 81%-18% in Webb's favour at this point.  My prediction:

VIRGINIA SENATE
Webb (D) 49%
Allen (R) 48%
Parker (I) 2%
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MHS2002
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« Reply #26 on: November 04, 2006, 05:38:09 PM »
Allen 50-49. Allen has screwed up plenty and Webb has run a decent campaign, but I just don't think it is enough.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #27 on: November 04, 2006, 07:59:33 PM »
Quote from: Nym90 on November 04, 2006, 02:40:48 PM
Yeah, the guy is a nut, though it still doesn't justify what was done to him. Sounds like he's just a punk kid looking for attention.

He's not a kid, he's an ex-marine in his mid-30s. And he's a massive Freedom Fighter.
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The Dowager Mod
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« Reply #28 on: November 04, 2006, 08:05:08 PM »
Quote from: Senator BRTD on November 04, 2006, 07:59:33 PM
Quote from: Nym90 on November 04, 2006, 02:40:48 PM
Yeah, the guy is a nut, though it still doesn't justify what was done to him. Sounds like he's just a punk kid looking for attention.

He's not a kid, he's an ex-marine in his mid-30s. And he's a massive Freedom Fighter.
I see he got arrested this time when an Allen stooge took a dive and said he was assaulted.
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Rococo4
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« Reply #29 on: November 04, 2006, 08:10:55 PM »
Allen 52-48.  The demographics in the state are still there for him to win this cycle.  If this was 2012, he would be done.
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Torie
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« Reply #30 on: November 05, 2006, 12:24:30 AM »
Webb.
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Smash255
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« Reply #31 on: November 05, 2006, 12:41:07 AM »
Webb will win, also disregard one vote for Allen and add a vote for Webb.  I clicked the wrong button and can't seem to be able to edit the mistake anymore.
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opebo
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« Reply #32 on: November 05, 2006, 01:14:59 AM »
It appears VA is changing just a tad quicker than planned.. Webb wins.

Sadly, it appears we will get this one but not Tester, who would make a much better Senator (a real liberal).  Still, the way, VA is heading it will eventually return good liberal Senators, so it is all a matter of time.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #33 on: November 05, 2006, 01:33:35 AM »
Quote from: opebo on November 05, 2006, 01:14:59 AM
It appears VA is changing just a tad quicker than planned.. Webb wins.

Sadly, it appears we will get this one but not Tester, who would make a much better Senator (a real liberal).  Still, the way, VA is heading it will eventually return good liberal Senators, so it is all a matter of time.

Tester will win damnit!
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Harry
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« Reply #34 on: November 05, 2006, 08:34:37 AM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on November 05, 2006, 01:33:35 AM
Quote from: opebo on November 05, 2006, 01:14:59 AM
It appears VA is changing just a tad quicker than planned.. Webb wins.

Sadly, it appears we will get this one but not Tester, who would make a much better Senator (a real liberal).  Still, the way, VA is heading it will eventually return good liberal Senators, so it is all a matter of time.

Tester will win damnit!
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #35 on: November 05, 2006, 10:04:35 AM »
Allen by 1 or 2. That's a guess, based on the polls.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #36 on: November 05, 2006, 10:06:17 AM »
Jim Webb seems to have the momentum. This is going to be a real squeeker, but I'm somewhat optimistic.
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NHPolitico
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« Reply #37 on: November 05, 2006, 01:59:54 PM »
Webb by 1.
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AuH2O
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« Reply #38 on: November 05, 2006, 02:04:58 PM »
Virginia isn't actually trending Dem in any significant way, but I assume Democrats will be eternally optimistic on that account.

Allen's problems have nothing to do with Virginia and everything to do with his poor campaign performance and a bad GOP cycle.
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gorkay
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« Reply #39 on: November 05, 2006, 02:24:42 PM »
I have been convinced all along that Allen, despite everything he has done wrong (and he has done just about everything wrong), will win. In the past week or so, however, I have begun to wonder. But I still have to predict Allen, based on the fact that virtually every close nationwide and statewide race in Virginia in the past 25 years has been won by a Republican. I have very little confidence in my prediction, though.

When a Republican gets ridiculed as badly by George Will as Allen did in his column today, you know he's in trouble.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #40 on: November 05, 2006, 02:39:15 PM »
Webb 49%
Allen 48.5%
Other 1.5%

I have a feeling Tester will win 51-49. Montanans may have tolerated  Burns in the past, but he's just too damaged to be reelected this time.
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Frodo
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« Reply #41 on: November 05, 2006, 02:49:10 PM »
Quote from: AuH2O on November 05, 2006, 02:04:58 PM
Virginia isn't actually trending Dem in any significant way, but I assume Democrats will be eternally optimistic on that account.

Allen's problems have nothing to do with Virginia and everything to do with his poor campaign performance and a bad GOP cycle.

Oh, by the way, what happened to that 'scandal' you mentioned months back that you gave every indication would sink Webb?   
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AuH2O
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« Reply #42 on: November 05, 2006, 02:52:12 PM »
Quote from: Dixiecrat on November 05, 2006, 02:49:10 PM
Quote from: AuH2O on November 05, 2006, 02:04:58 PM
Virginia isn't actually trending Dem in any significant way, but I assume Democrats will be eternally optimistic on that account.

Allen's problems have nothing to do with Virginia and everything to do with his poor campaign performance and a bad GOP cycle.

Oh, by the way, what happened to that 'scandal' you mentioned months back that you gave every indication would sink Webb?   

I'm really surprised Allen's campaign didn't use Webb's marital infidelity against him. Instead they went after Webb's weird sex scenes in his books. Another Allen screw up.
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #43 on: November 05, 2006, 05:05:25 PM »
The reason that Allen's multiple screw-ups havn't completely doomed him yet is that he was a hugely popular governor and is very widely-known in  the state. Webb wasn't very well-known at all before this race. I predict Webb will win by a very slim margin though.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #44 on: November 05, 2006, 09:34:38 PM »
Quote from: Andromeda Islands on November 05, 2006, 02:03:28 PM
Easy. Webb.
Is there a worse Senator than Allen?

Most of them.
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #45 on: November 05, 2006, 10:11:28 PM »
Quote from: AuH2O on November 05, 2006, 02:04:58 PM
Allen's problems have nothing to do with Virginia and everything to do with his poor campaign performance and a bad GOP cycle.

Then why is the marriage amendment at 49%?
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