Virginia: Webb-Allen dead heat, Webb gains since last MD poll (mason-dixon)

[poughies]

http://www.timesdispatch.com/servlet/Satellite?pagename=RTD/MGArticle/RTD_BasicArticle&c=MGArticle&cid=1149191518008

46-45......Webb ahead.

[Conan]

Webb, whose opposition to affirmative action raised doubts among blacks, is favored by blacks over Allen, 87 percent to 6 percent.

Women earlier were closely divided, in part, because of Webb’s now-forsaken opposition to women in the military. Even after Allen pitched for their votes by spotlighting salacious excerpts from Webb’s military novels, women prefer the Democrat, 47 percent to 41 percent.

Webb leads Allen by 20 percentage points in Northern Virginia and 8 percentage points in defense-rich Hampton Roads.

Webb is seen as doing a better job than Allen on Iraq and national security, 47 percent to 40 percent.

On health care, Webb tops Allen, 44 percent to 33 percent.

The Democrat barely beats Allen on the budget, taxes and economic issues, 43 percent to 41 percent.

Allen had an advantage on favorite Republican theme, immigration - 41 percent to 36 percent.

On ethical issues, largely stirred by Republican scandals in the House of Representatives, Webb pulls 41 percent to 34 percent for Allen. Webb is viewed as doing more for education, 42 percent to 38 percent.

Webb beats Allen on moral issues, 42 percent to 35 percent.
 
Voters are almost evenly split on which party should control the Senate. Forty-seven percent want the Democrats; 45 percent, the GOP.

Support (for the gay marriage ban) is down to 49 percent from 52 percent last month. With 45 percent now opposed, up from 42 percent last month, the measure - already adopted by 20 states - could go either way because the voter split is within the poll’s variable for error. Six percent are undecided.

Northern Virginia also is the only region opposing the marriage amendment, but by a huge margin - 60 percent to 36 percent. All other sectors of the state support the proposal by hefty margins.

[© Tweed the Younger]

Thank you for pasting that article in this thread.  It was entirely necessary.

This is the last MD poll we'll get out of Virginia and we'll probably get another Rasmussen, but it's pretty clear that this is pure toss up/slight lean D.  I'd give Webb about a 55% shot.

[Frodo]

Webb, whose opposition to affirmative action raised doubts among blacks, is favored by blacks over Allen, 87 percent to 6 percent.

Women earlier were closely divided, in part, because of Webb’s now-forsaken opposition to women in the military. Even after Allen pitched for their votes by spotlighting salacious excerpts from Webb’s military novels, women prefer the Democrat, 47 percent to 41 percent.

Webb leads Allen by 20 percentage points in Northern Virginia and 8 percentage points in defense-rich Hampton Roads.

Webb is seen as doing a better job than Allen on Iraq and national security, 47 percent to 40 percent.

On health care, Webb tops Allen, 44 percent to 33 percent.

The Democrat barely beats Allen on the budget, taxes and economic issues, 43 percent to 41 percent.

Allen had an advantage on favorite Republican theme, immigration - 41 percent to 36 percent.

On ethical issues, largely stirred by Republican scandals in the House of Representatives, Webb pulls 41 percent to 34 percent for Allen. Webb is viewed as doing more for education, 42 percent to 38 percent.

Webb beats Allen on moral issues, 42 percent to 35 percent.
 
Voters are almost evenly split on which party should control the Senate. Forty-seven percent want the Democrats; 45 percent, the GOP.

Support (for the gay marriage ban) is down to 49 percent from 52 percent last month. With 45 percent now opposed, up from 42 percent last month, the measure - already adopted by 20 states - could go either way because the voter split is within the poll’s variable for error. Six percent are undecided.

Northern Virginia also is the only region opposing the marriage amendment, but by a huge margin - 60 percent to 36 percent. All other sectors of the state support the proposal by hefty margins.

I'm glad that Webb finally is making it more of a race in Southwestern Virginia -the rest of these poll results (except the gay marriage ban) are unsurprising. 

It's all a matter now of turning out the vote...

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

The recent polling favors Webb, but this could still go either way.

http://pollster.com/polls/?state=VA&race=senate_race

[poughies]

Look if the marriage amendment passes with any number near 55% than Allen might as well pack it up.... And in this poll its at 49%.

[Conan]

Thank you for pasting that article in this thread.  It was entirely necessary.

This is the last MD poll we'll get out of Virginia and we'll probably get another Rasmussen, but it's pretty clear that this is pure toss up/slight lean D.  I'd give Webb about a 55% shot.

Is that sarcasm? I can not tell.

[Frodo]

Thank you for pasting that article in this thread.  It was entirely necessary.

This is the last MD poll we'll get out of Virginia and we'll probably get another Rasmussen, but it's pretty clear that this is pure toss up/slight lean D.  I'd give Webb about a 55% shot.

Is that sarcasm? I can not tell.

His thanking you probably is. 

[Conan]

Thank you for pasting that article in this thread.  It was entirely necessary.

This is the last MD poll we'll get out of Virginia and we'll probably get another Rasmussen, but it's pretty clear that this is pure toss up/slight lean D.  I'd give Webb about a 55% shot.

Is that sarcasm? I can not tell.

His thanking you probably is. 

All I know is I dont like clicking links and I do like seeing straight to the point info from an article so I post that. It wasnt the whole article.

[Wrecking Ball and Chain]

Webb beats Allen on moral issues, 42 percent to 35 percent.

Wow.

[Frodo]

Webb, whose opposition to affirmative action raised doubts among blacks, is favored by blacks over Allen, 87 percent to 6 percent.

Women earlier were closely divided, in part, because of Webb’s now-forsaken opposition to women in the military. Even after Allen pitched for their votes by spotlighting salacious excerpts from Webb’s military novels, women prefer the Democrat, 47 percent to 41 percent.

Webb leads Allen by 20 percentage points in Northern Virginia and 8 percentage points in defense-rich Hampton Roads.

There was talk earlier about each candidate taking a bite from each other's base constituencies, with Allen doing unusually well among blacks, and Webb doing likewise among retired veterans and active military personnel.

Does anyone have any idea how well Webb is doing with veterans?  Or are they in lockstep behind Allen?   

[Downwinder]

After this campaign, why in the hell would Allen do better than expected among blacks?

[Gabu]

Support (for the gay marriage ban) is down to 49 percent from 52 percent last month. With 45 percent now opposed, up from 42 percent last month, the measure - already adopted by 20 states - could go either way because the voter split is within the poll’s variable for error. Six percent are undecided.

??

Virginia is the last state I'd expect to become one of the first to reject a ban on gay marriage.

[HardRCafé]

Webb beats Allen on moral issues, 42 percent to 35 percent.

Good news for Giordano and opebo.  Virginia is A-OK with kiddie porn!

[Gabu]

Webb beats Allen on moral issues, 42 percent to 35 percent.

Good news for Giordano and opebo.  Virginia is A-OK with kiddie porn!

Try another line; that one evidently isn't working.

[Smash255]

Support (for the gay marriage ban) is down to 49 percent from 52 percent last month. With 45 percent now opposed, up from 42 percent last month, the measure - already adopted by 20 states - could go either way because the voter split is within the poll’s variable for error. Six percent are undecided.

??

Virginia is the last state I'd expect to become one of the first to reject a ban on gay marriage.

VA overall is a conservative state, but it isn't nearly as conservative as it use to be, and Northern VA is liberal

[Gabu]

Support (for the gay marriage ban) is down to 49 percent from 52 percent last month. With 45 percent now opposed, up from 42 percent last month, the measure - already adopted by 20 states - could go either way because the voter split is within the poll’s variable for error. Six percent are undecided.

??

Virginia is the last state I'd expect to become one of the first to reject a ban on gay marriage.

VA overall is a conservative state, but it isn't nearly as conservative as it use to be, and Northern VA is liberal

Sure, but heck, Oregon voted to ban gay marriage.

[Smash255]

Support (for the gay marriage ban) is down to 49 percent from 52 percent last month. With 45 percent now opposed, up from 42 percent last month, the measure - already adopted by 20 states - could go either way because the voter split is within the poll’s variable for error. Six percent are undecided.

??

Virginia is the last state I'd expect to become one of the first to reject a ban on gay marriage.

VA overall is a conservative state, but it isn't nearly as conservative as it use to be, and Northern VA is liberal

Sure, but heck, Oregon voted to ban gay marriage.

True, but nationally support for the ban has dropped a bit since then,  If Oregon has another vote on the ban, I doubt it would pass.  Also their might be more people now who simply see the ban as a divisive ploy to divide people and are turned off by that.  It is a bit suprising though, however I wouldn't say its entirley shocking. 

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

Hmm..still a tossup but the inside numbers look terrible for Allen. The marriage amendment a tossup? Damn.

[Adlai Stevenson]

My prediction:

VIRGINIA SENATE
Webb (D) 49%
Allen (R) 48%
Parker (I) 2%

BAN SAME SEX MARRIAGE
Yes 55%
No 45%