Tennessee Ford is finito [mason dixon]

[poughies]

http://www.knoxnews.com/kns/election/article/0,1406,KNS_630_5119238,00.html                                         fifty to thirty eight.

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

Ford, Ford, Ford. Next time try running with some fresh ideas instead of recycled Republican ones. It is quite shocking that Corker is going to win a landslide though.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Great job at winning elections, DLC.

[poughies]

not like Tester is doing great either! He should be wayyyy up. And he had a lot more to work with.

[So the Heroes Fall]

Well at least Ford gave it a good run and forced the RSCC to pump cash here instead of MO and VA.

Hopefully he has a future later. Like someone else said, maybe mayor of Memphis.

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

not like Tester is doing great either! He should be wayyyy up. And he had a lot more to work with.

Montana is more Republican than TN and Tester still has a better than 50% chance of winning. Ford has about a 10% chance now.

[poughies]

And just one other thing, what about Casey.... he ain't a liberal and he seems to do pretty well. Look, I personally really like Jon Tester... but the party should be open to all.

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

And just one other thing, what about Casey.... he ain't a liberal and he seems to do pretty well. Look, I personally really like Jon Tester... but the party should be open to all.

Of course Casey is doing well, look who he is running against.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

not like Tester is doing great either! He should be wayyyy up. And he had a lot more to work with.

Montana is more Republican than TN and Tester still has a better than 50% chance of winning. Ford has about a 10% chance now.

Tradesports has
TN 16.8%
MT 63.5%

Of course they may not have fully priced in the latest polls.

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

not like Tester is doing great either! He should be wayyyy up. And he had a lot more to work with.

Montana is more Republican than TN and Tester still has a better than 50% chance of winning. Ford has about a 10% chance now.

Tradesports has
TN 16.8%
MT 63.5%

Of course they may not have fully priced in the latest polls.

I wasn't going by Tradesports here but that basically backs me up anyway.

[Adlai Stevenson]

What happened to Ford?  He was doing so well and admittedly Corker's campaign was in a desultory state at one stage.  I don't care, the DSCC did force the Republicans to spend more money here than they would have liked. 

[Gustaf]

Montana isn't really much more Republican than Tennesse. Both have Democratic Governors, both have one Democratic House of Congress (Montana then has one tied, Tennessee one GOP). Montana has a Republican House Rep, Tennessee has 6-5 to the Democrats, Tennessee has two Republican senators and Montana has one from each party.

It's true that Bush won Montana by 20% and Tennessee by 14%, by even so the difference isn't THAT big. Finally, Montana seems to be trending Democrat while Tennessee is going in the other direction.

But I admit that all that said, Ford should be doing better than he is.

[Sibboleth]

Maybe the Democrats should try a candidate not from Memphis and not with that bloody surname in future.

---

Montana is certainly a less Democratic state than Tennessee. Whether it's more Republican or not, depends on how thee measures things.

[Harry]

Ford will still pull this out, don't worry.

[Democratic Hawk]

[TheresNoMoney]

Yes, Ford is done.

I'm really not sure what caused such a dramatic collapse so quick. I always thought Corker would pull it out in the end, but that it would be within 2%.

[Ben.]

Ah well... he's young a still has a long carrer ahead of him, I still think (even if it's Mason-Dixon) this poll seems an oddly wide lead for Corker,  at the moment I'd have him winning by 2-4 points... and going on to be a pretty non-descript Senator.

[Conan]

I could care less if Ford loses.

[bgwah]

Aw, I was hoping he would win...

[Secretary Polnut]

Yes, Ford is done.

I'm really not sure what caused such a dramatic collapse so quick. I always thought Corker would pull it out in the end, but that it would be within 2%.

I had the same thought, given the nature of the race in the last month and a half, for Ford to drop through the floor so suddenly is very odd. Which is why I think anything with Ford not within 5 is not right.

[© Tweed the Younger]

Great job at winning elections, DLC.

Maybe the Democrats should try a candidate not from Memphis and not with that bloody surname in future.

Oh, stop.  He did fine.  This race wasn't really winable and he made people believe for a few weeks.  He did a nice job.

[Conan]

Great job at winning elections, DLC.

Maybe the Democrats should try a candidate not from Memphis and not with that bloody surname in future.

Oh, stop.  He did fine.  This race wasn't really winable and he made people believe for a few weeks.  He did a nice job.

This race could have been winnable with a white moderate who doesnt come from a corrupt family and that grew up in Tennessee.

[nini2287]

This race could have been winnable with a white moderate who doesnt come from a corrupt family and that grew up in Tennessee.

Ford was your best choice (along with some of the white moderate Congressmen--but their open seat would go to the GOP).  Against another candidate, Corker would be leading by at least 10 points all year.

[WalterMitty]

Great job at winning elections, DLC.

yes obviously a jed lamont dailykos liberal would have a much better chance at winning in tn than a moderate.

[Adlai Stevenson]

Why are people, especially Democrats, tearing Ford apart?  This is one poll in any case I find it hard to believe Ford is at just 38%.  He has been around the 43%-47% since around September according to most polls.  And at one stage Corker and the state GOP were really bleeding; Ford has run a very effective campaign.  I still think Corker will win but by around 51%-52% to Ford's 47%-48% and incidentally I don't think this is the last we have heard of Harold Ford.  Maybe in a future Democratic administration he would make a good Attorney General.