NH-1 and 2: University of New Hampshire: Hodes up 5; Bradley up 14

[okstate]

Hodes (D) 44
Bass (R) 39

Bradley (R) 51
Shea-Porter (D) 37

http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/trk110506.pdf

[Deano963]

I wonder if Bass is being hurt by the NRCC's robocalling scheme in which they made harrassing phone calls to NH voters (200,000 of which are on the Do Not Call List) that pretended to be from Hodes, and now the story has broke and the scheme backfired.

[okstate]

I wonder if Bass is being hurt by the NRCC's robocalling scheme in which they made harrassing phone calls to NH voters (200,000 of which are on the Do Not Call List) that pretended to be from Hodes, and now the story has broke and the scheme backfired.

Probably not. This is a daily tracking poll and Bass is actually GAINING momentum, not losing it.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I wonder if Bass is being hurt by the NRCC's robocalling scheme in which they made harrassing phone calls to NH voters (200,000 of which are on the Do Not Call List) that pretended to be from Hodes, and now the story has broke and the scheme backfired.

Why would that have hurt him? He just got 200,000 voters pissed at the Democrats, most of whom haven't heard anything about the story. They wouldn't have done it if they didn't think it'd help them.

Theoretically the NRCC could be fined $100 million for this. Personally I'd like a larger fine.

The New Mexico GOP is giving voters the wrong voting places. Lovely people, these Republicans.

[they don't love you like i love you]

for an incumbent to be at 39% is just dreadful though.

[AuH2O]

UNH is really terrible at polling. In the last couple cycles they've been off by large margins. Bass and Hodes are locked up in the mid 40s... it's a tossup with perhaps a slight Dem lean.

[Eraserhead]

See if the general ballot is getting so close again, how the hell is Bass losing?

[nclib]

It looks like Bradley could easily be the last Republican Congressman from New England.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Here's the NRCC's phone number if anyone wants to take out some anger about lying robocalls: (202) 479-7000.

[NHPolitico]

Why would that have hurt him? He just got 200,000 voters pissed at the Democrats, most of whom haven't heard anything about the story. 

That's true.  Interest in the elections are not strong here. Many people will vote tomorrow out of habit, but they aren't fired up about voting. Lynch will win easily and Gregg and Sununu are not up for re-election. Neither congressional race has had any excitement, any sparks. Regular people really aren't talking about the elections.   This will totally fly under the radar and not hurt Bass at all this year.