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Author Topic: KY-04: SurveyUSA: Davis (R) leads Lucas by 6 points, 49-43  (Read 6505 times)
okstate
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« on: November 06, 2006, 08:16:50 pm »
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http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportEmail.aspx?g=bb5ff700-8450-44e0-bb6b-2a4e4123808e
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LucysBeau
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2006, 09:13:44 pm »
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This poll may have altered my prediction, but I've called it for Lucas and I'm sticking with it

Dave
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Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

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poughies
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« Reply #2 on: November 06, 2006, 09:42:09 pm »
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there is just something about Lucas that I like.... I don't know what it is... maybe its the last name of Lucas...
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BRTD
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« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2006, 09:43:06 pm »
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I had always considered KY-03 more winnable than this. Looks like I was right.
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jfern
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« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2006, 09:43:52 pm »
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If this is supposed to be the year of the conservative Democrat like Frodo or whoever is claiming, Lucas is going to have to do a little better than that.
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Gabu
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« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2006, 09:45:48 pm »
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If this is supposed to be the year of the conservative Democrat like Frodo or whoever is claiming, Lucas is going to have to do a little better than that.

Yeah, we should have run a dyed-in-the-wool liberal in KY-04; he'd have been assured victory.
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LucysBeau
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« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2006, 09:48:19 pm »
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If this is supposed to be the year of the conservative Democrat like Frodo or whoever is claiming, Lucas is going to have to do a little better than that.

The real irony is that should Lucas, a populist-leaning conservative, lose to Davis, then KY-04 will have rejected the candidate who, likely, best fits the District

Of course, I'm hoping they make the right call Smiley and that's the Democrat in this race

Dave
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Moderate Liberal Populist Smiley [Personal 45%/Economic 42%] / Defense 'Hawk'

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jfern
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« Reply #7 on: November 06, 2006, 09:50:05 pm »
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If this is supposed to be the year of the conservative Democrat like Frodo or whoever is claiming, Lucas is going to have to do a little better than that.

Yeah, we should have run a dyed-in-the-wool liberal in KY-04; he'd have been assured victory.

I never claimed that. Lucas has a lifetime ACU score of 72, higher than the most conservative current Democrat in the House, Gene Taylor 69. If he can't win his old seat in a year like this, that shows that being a conservative Democrat is over-rated in terms of winning.

http://www.gazette.net/stories/110606/princou184921_31947.shtml



If this is supposed to be the year of the conservative Democrat like Frodo or whoever is claiming, Lucas is going to have to do a little better than that.

The real irony is that should Lucas, a populist-leaning conservative, lose to Davis, then KY-04 will have rejected the candidate who, likely, best fits the District

Of course, I'm hoping they make the right call Smiley and that's the Democrat in this race

Dave

What's ironic about that?
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2006, 11:20:29 am »
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Strangely Lucas has had problems gaining traction here.  He was ahead of Davis early in the year but has since fallen behind and never been ahead at least since the summer.  Bush won 63% of the vote here in 2004 but that can't be his only problem.  We shall tonight anyway but I predict Davis to hold on in KY-4.
« Last Edit: November 07, 2006, 03:11:47 pm by Adlai Stevenson »Logged

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Sam Spade
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2006, 01:07:23 pm »
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Lucas looked really old and uninterested during the debate a couple of weeks ago.  I moved the race down quite a ways after that observation.
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« Reply #10 on: November 19, 2006, 04:53:14 pm »
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I had always considered KY-03 more winnable than this. Looks like I was right.

And I was Smiley
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