Not so fast....new generic and named Congressional ballot polls.

[Deano963]

Three new ballot polls were released today:

Generic Congressinal Ballot:

CNN: Dem 58%, Rep 38% - 20-point Dem lead.
http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/11/06/bush.poll/index.html

Fox News: Dem 49%, Rep 36% - 13-point Dem lead
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,227707,00.html

Named Congressional Ballot:

Note: This poll specifically polled only 50 competitive Republican districts. Which exact races were polled were not listed.

GQR (Internal D) - 49% Dem, 44% Rep, (51% Dem, 46% Rep w/leaners included) - 5-point Dem lead.

http://democracycorps.com/reports/analyses/Democracy_Corps_November_6_2006_Memo.pdf

"When the undecided is allocated based on leanings, the Democrats carry these Republican seats, 51% to 46%. With the Democrats ahead in the most vulnerable and safest tiers of seats, Democrats should expect to carry the great majority of them.

There is also a 14 point "enthusiasm gap" between Republicans and Democrats, a finding comparable with other recent surveys.

However, the poll did notice a slight uptick in support for Republicans late last week -- as did several generic ballot surveys -- so this could make a difference in some of the closer districts. This slight uptick in Republican support stalled as the weekend progressed."


It seems that the Republican resurgence was a day late and a dollar short.