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Author Topic: Rumors on the Internets about exit polls about to be leaked  (Read 4454 times)
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jfern
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« on: November 07, 2006, 05:09:00 pm »
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None yet, but might break soon.

http://www.rawstory.com/
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/11/7/165830/095
« Last Edit: November 07, 2006, 05:15:00 pm by jfern »Logged
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jfern
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2006, 05:16:14 pm »
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No raw numbers but exit polls are showing that that corruption was the #1 issue for voters. 62% voted on national issues versus 33% on local issues.
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2006, 05:18:54 pm »
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No raw numbers but exit polls are showing that that corruption was the #1 issue for voters. 62% voted on national issues versus 33% on local issues.

corruption?  instead of iraq or the economy?  i don't think so
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2006, 05:20:22 pm »
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No raw numbers but exit polls are showing that that corruption was the #1 issue for voters. 62% voted on national issues versus 33% on local issues.

corruption?  instead of iraq or the economy?  i don't think so

1. Corruption
2. Terrorism
3. Economy
4. Iraq

All were very close.

In addition, a majority of voters said that both Democrats and Republicans were capable of defending against terrorism - a big switch from 2004.
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jfern
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2006, 05:21:35 pm »
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No raw numbers but exit polls are showing that that corruption was the #1 issue for voters. 62% voted on national issues versus 33% on local issues.

corruption?  instead of iraq or the economy?  i don't think so

Here they are

Corruption 42%
Terrorism 40%
Economy 39%
Iraq 37%
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2006, 05:23:05 pm »
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1. Corruption
2. Terrorism
3. Economy
4. Iraq

All were very close.

In addition, a majority of voters said that both Democrats and Republicans were capable of defending against terrorism - a big switch from 2004.

i don't buy it
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2006, 05:24:08 pm »
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I thought maybe there'd be more exciting information leaked.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2006, 05:30:37 pm »
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CNN is discussing exit poll internals.  More to follow....
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2006, 05:30:49 pm »
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They are talking about these polls on CNN.
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2006, 05:31:24 pm »
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The thing is, they allowed people to pick many choices from a laundry list rather than allowing only one, defining issue. While Iraq may be first for 30% of the population, it may not even make the top three for most of the rest of the population. Same goes for all of the other issues.

I am not arguing the questions, I am doubting the results.  If the exit poll were limitied to a single state like OH, then I could believe those results.  But nationwide?  I highly doubt it.
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2006, 05:32:39 pm »
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Sounds like Allen will lose.  That's the vibe Sean Hannity is giving.
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« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2006, 05:33:37 pm »
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CNN confirms the numerical breakdown of the top four issues that jfern posted, with corruption being 1st.  The talking heads are saying that it doesn't mean that much because the voters were simply asked if the issue was "extremely important", not if it's their top issue.
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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2006, 05:36:09 pm »
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Sounds like Allen will lose.  That's the vibe Sean Hannity is giving.

If Allen loses, the GOP will probably lose the Senate.
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« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2006, 05:39:03 pm »
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I disagree..... Allen I think will lose.... that said, I think Chafee has got a really good shot.... Montana looks democratic as well...... Chafee might save the senate...
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« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2006, 05:39:43 pm »
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Sounds like Allen will lose.  That's the vibe Sean Hannity is giving.

If Allen loses, the GOP will probably lose the Senate.
Probably, but RI and MO still have to go in the Dem's favor, plus Montana (which I think will be easier).
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« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2006, 05:40:04 pm »
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I disagree..... Allen I think will lose.... that said, I think Chafee has got a really good shot.... Montana looks democratic as well...... Chafee might save the senate...
If Chafee saves the Senate, that would be so ironic.
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« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2006, 05:44:10 pm »
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I disagree..... Allen I think will lose.... that said, I think Chafee has got a really good shot.... Montana looks democratic as well...... Chafee might save the senate...
If Chafee saves the Senate, that would be so ironic.

And if Chafee were to switch parties after he won and swing the balance back to the Democrats after the Republican Senatorial Committee helped him win, that would be the ultimate in irony.  Or backstabbing, I'm not sure which.
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« Reply #17 on: November 07, 2006, 05:44:31 pm »
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I hate to be a party pooper, but I'm still working the campaign here in MI, so somebody PM me the instant that the exit polls are released.  I DON'T have time to stay on.  G2g
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« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2006, 05:45:05 pm »
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Question--

How in the world is it that fewer than 50% identified corruption, Iraq, the economy and terrorism as a "top issue"?  You'd think they'd all be much higher.
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« Reply #19 on: November 07, 2006, 05:48:34 pm »
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voters were simply asked if the issue was "extremely important", not if it's their top issue.

ok, i misread it
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I looked over Jordan, and what did I see?
Coming for to carry me home,
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Coming for to carry me home.

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« Reply #20 on: November 07, 2006, 05:49:01 pm »
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voters were simply asked if the issue was "extremely important", not if it's their top issue.

ok, i misread it

Didn't notice that it all added up to a lot more than 100%? Tongue
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« Reply #21 on: November 07, 2006, 05:52:19 pm »
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voters were simply asked if the issue was "extremely important", not if it's their top issue.

ok, i misread it

Didn't notice that it all added up to a lot more than 100%? Tongue

nope.  But now that I understand it, I don't tell me a whole lot.
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z9Y_GLT4_9I

I looked over Jordan, and what did I see?
Coming for to carry me home,
A band of angels coming after me,
Coming for to carry me home.

Swing low, sweet chariot,
Coming for to carry me home.
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« Reply #22 on: November 07, 2006, 05:54:36 pm »
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From myddDemocrats leading in:
VA: 53-46
RI: 53-46
PA: 57-42
OH: 57-43
NJ: 53-45
MT: 53-46
MO: 50-48
Republicans leading:
TN: 51-48
AZ: 50-46
Double super caution: These numebrs are both unconfirmed and they are exit polls. I am going to keep looking into this.
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jmfcst
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« Reply #23 on: November 07, 2006, 05:55:36 pm »
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time for me to go vote...see ya later
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Do not fight with one another over my banning.  I've enjoyed the time I have spent with all of you, but the time really has come for me to leave.  It is what I want.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z9Y_GLT4_9I

I looked over Jordan, and what did I see?
Coming for to carry me home,
A band of angels coming after me,
Coming for to carry me home.

Swing low, sweet chariot,
Coming for to carry me home.
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jfern
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« Reply #24 on: November 07, 2006, 05:58:13 pm »
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From myddDemocrats leading in:
VA: 53-46
RI: 53-46
PA: 57-42
OH: 57-43
NJ: 53-45
MT: 53-46
MO: 50-48
Republicans leading:
TN: 51-48
AZ: 50-46
Double super caution: These numebrs are both unconfirmed and they are exit polls. I am going to keep looking into this.


Oh, wow, real (or fake) exit polls. Seeing as not everyone has voted yet, they're not so reliable, but here they are sorted by margin for Dem

NJ 8
VA 7
RI 7
MT 7
OH 6
PA 5
MO 2 (CRITICAL SEAT)
TN -3
AZ -4

If these preliminary results are correct, it all comes down to Missouri.

Right now the GOP Senate odds are holding steady at 68%.
« Last Edit: November 07, 2006, 05:59:44 pm by jfern »Logged
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