Rumors on the Internets about exit polls about to be leaked

[Whacker77]

Sean Hannity said the numbers indicated a Republican wipeout.  I suspect the exit polls will be pretty good this year.

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

any news on MI? or Govs?

[Mr. Morden]

From The New Republic:

http://www.tnr.com/blog/theplank?pid=55218

These are allegedly second wave exits:

D/R

OH: 63.7/36.3

CT: 47.6/44.5 (Lieberman[!])

NJ: 59.7/42.1

TN: 50/50

RI: 55.4/44.6

VA: 55.8/44.2

MO: 53.3/46.7

Nothing for MT, AZ or MD yet.

[Mr. Morden]

More from Ryan Lizza at TNR:

http://www.tnr.com/blog/theplank?pid=55228

"I've now seen about five different sets of "exit polls" from sources of varying degrees of credibility. Every set has a different spread for almost every race, but what they all have in common is that they show Democrats ahead in VA, RI, PA, OH, NJ, MT, MO, and MD, and either down or tied in TN.

Take it all with many grains of salt."

[Mr. Morden]

Ryan Lizza keeps posting new numbers on the Plank:

http://www.tnr.com/blog/theplank

so just go there if you want the numbers.  I won't repost all of them.

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

Is Dave updating the maps on the front page when the actual results are in?

[sethm0]

 I still have nightmares about that afternoon in 2004 when I heard that the exit polls had Kerry winning big. Has exit poll methodology changed significantly since then?

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

From The New Republic:

http://www.tnr.com/blog/theplank?pid=55218

These are allegedly second wave exits:

D/R

OH: 63.7/36.3

CT: 47.6/44.5 (Lieberman[!])

NJ: 59.7/42.1

TN: 50/50

RI: 55.4/44.6

VA: 55.8/44.2

MO: 53.3/46.7

Nothing for MT, AZ or MD yet.

Lieberman is behind in the exit poll!!!!??!!!!!!?

(Trying to keep myself from getting excited, they have to be wrong.)

[Gabu]

VA: 53-46

VA 7

The sound you hear is my jaw hitting the floor.

Now I just have to hope that this isn't way off.

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

DailyKos was abuzz about high voter turnout in Lamont strongholds this morning. I don't know if it has kept up or if it would be sufficient for Lamont to take it, but I imagine that people voting for Lamont are much more enthusiastic, at least, than those voting for Lieberman. They may also, then, be more likely to answer exit polls.

I bet ballot placement is really killing Lieberman too...

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

VA: 53-46

VA 7

The sound you hear is my jaw hitting the floor.

Now I just have to hope that this isn't way off.

I'm not so sure....all the Republicans in VA seem beyond depressed. Plus it would confirm the SUSA poll (Webb +8).

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

that's the way it looks now

[Deano963]

DailyKos was abuzz about high voter turnout in Lamont strongholds this morning. I don't know if it has kept up or if it would be sufficient for Lamont to take it, but I imagine that people voting for Lamont are much more enthusiastic, at least, than those voting for Lieberman. They may also, then, be more likely to answer exit polls.

There is no question that Lamont has the much, much, much better turnout and ground game than Lieberman does. Everyone accepts that as fact. That said, and as much I would love to Lamont pull this off, I have a hard time believing that a superior turnout operation can win a race for a candidate that has consistently trailed in the polls by low double-digits. So I would still bet on Lieberman to pull this out although I would LOVE to be proven wong on this one.

[Gabu]

If Lamont won, that would easily be the upset of the election.

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

...even if Lamont came within 5% of Lieberman that would be amazing.

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

I'm sorry, but that will NOT happen

EDIT: referring to GABU

[Gabu]

I'm sorry, but that will NOT happen

EDIT: referring to GABU

...which is why I said it would easily be the upset of the election.

By which I meant it's ridiculously unlikely.

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

I'm sorry, but that will NOT happen

EDIT: referring to GABU

...which is why I said it would easily be the upset of the election.

By which I meant it's ridiculously unlikely.

right, but then any unlikely thing is an upset--it just seemed like you thought it could happen.

[Gabu]

right, but then any unlikely thing is an upset--it just seemed like you thought it could happen.

I was more commenting on that one exit poll showing a slim lead for Lamont - I was saying that it would be the upset of the election if Lamont won, which I had intended to mean that I didn't think it'd happen.

Sorry for the confusion.

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

what's with the lull?  it's been an hr. since the last one.

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

MSNBC just called VT for Sanders.

[Gabu]

CNN just released details on the Virginia exit poll:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/VA/S/01/epolls.0.html

[© Tweed the Younger]

CNN just released details on the Virginia exit poll:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/VA/S/01/epolls.0.html

Yeah, that would mean Webbie is up around 3% in that exit poll.

I hate exit polls.  Now I know Allen's going to win by 5%.

[MHS2002]

They were passing out that exact exit poll at my polling place in Virginia.

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

CNN just released details on the Virginia exit poll:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/VA/S/01/epolls.0.html

Yeah, that would mean Webbie is up around 3% in that exit poll.

I hate exit polls.  Now I know Allen's going to win by 5%.

I doubt it.