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Author Topic: Rumors on the Internets about exit polls about to be leaked  (Read 4346 times)
Whacker77
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« Reply #25 on: November 07, 2006, 06:02:10 pm »
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Sean Hannity said the numbers indicated a Republican wipeout.  I suspect the exit polls will be pretty good this year.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #26 on: November 07, 2006, 06:05:32 pm »
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any news on MI? or Govs?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #27 on: November 07, 2006, 06:06:25 pm »
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From The New Republic:

http://www.tnr.com/blog/theplank?pid=55218

These are allegedly second wave exits:

D/R

OH: 63.7/36.3

CT: 47.6/44.5 (Lieberman[!])

NJ: 59.7/42.1

TN: 50/50

RI: 55.4/44.6

VA: 55.8/44.2

MO: 53.3/46.7

Nothing for MT, AZ or MD yet.
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« Reply #28 on: November 07, 2006, 06:08:38 pm »
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More from Ryan Lizza at TNR:

http://www.tnr.com/blog/theplank?pid=55228

"I've now seen about five different sets of "exit polls" from sources of varying degrees of credibility. Every set has a different spread for almost every race, but what they all have in common is that they show Democrats ahead in VA, RI, PA, OH, NJ, MT, MO, and MD, and either down or tied in TN.

Take it all with many grains of salt."
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« Reply #29 on: November 07, 2006, 06:13:21 pm »
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Ryan Lizza keeps posting new numbers on the Plank:

http://www.tnr.com/blog/theplank

so just go there if you want the numbers.  I won't repost all of them.
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« Reply #30 on: November 07, 2006, 06:13:46 pm »
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Is Dave updating the maps on the front page when the actual results are in?
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sethm0
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« Reply #31 on: November 07, 2006, 06:14:59 pm »
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 I still have nightmares about that afternoon in 2004 when I heard that the exit polls had Kerry winning big. Has exit poll methodology changed significantly since then?
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« Reply #32 on: November 07, 2006, 06:15:08 pm »
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From The New Republic:

http://www.tnr.com/blog/theplank?pid=55218

These are allegedly second wave exits:

D/R

OH: 63.7/36.3

CT: 47.6/44.5 (Lieberman[!])

NJ: 59.7/42.1

TN: 50/50

RI: 55.4/44.6

VA: 55.8/44.2

MO: 53.3/46.7

Nothing for MT, AZ or MD yet.


Lieberman is behind in the exit poll!!!!?Huh?!!!!!!?Huh

(Trying to keep myself from getting excited, they have to be wrong.)
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« Reply #33 on: November 07, 2006, 06:18:28 pm »
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VA: 53-46

VA 7

The sound you hear is my jaw hitting the floor.

Now I just have to hope that this isn't way off. Tongue
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« Reply #34 on: November 07, 2006, 06:19:09 pm »
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DailyKos was abuzz about high voter turnout in Lamont strongholds this morning. I don't know if it has kept up or if it would be sufficient for Lamont to take it, but I imagine that people voting for Lamont are much more enthusiastic, at least, than those voting for Lieberman. They may also, then, be more likely to answer exit polls.

I bet ballot placement is really killing Lieberman too...
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« Reply #35 on: November 07, 2006, 06:20:46 pm »
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VA: 53-46

VA 7

The sound you hear is my jaw hitting the floor.

Now I just have to hope that this isn't way off. Tongue

I'm not so sure....all the Republicans in VA seem beyond depressed. Plus it would confirm the SUSA poll (Webb +8).
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« Reply #36 on: November 07, 2006, 06:26:27 pm »
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that's the way it looks now
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« Reply #37 on: November 07, 2006, 06:27:41 pm »
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DailyKos was abuzz about high voter turnout in Lamont strongholds this morning. I don't know if it has kept up or if it would be sufficient for Lamont to take it, but I imagine that people voting for Lamont are much more enthusiastic, at least, than those voting for Lieberman. They may also, then, be more likely to answer exit polls.

There is no question that Lamont has the much, much, much better turnout and ground game than Lieberman does. Everyone accepts that as fact. That said, and as much I would love to Lamont pull this off, I have a hard time believing that a superior turnout operation can win a race for a candidate that has consistently trailed in the polls by low double-digits. So I would still bet on Lieberman to pull this out although I would LOVE to be proven wong on this one.
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I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee. 

The others--Edwards, Hillary, and Obama, have peaked WAY too early

THE BUCKS ARE GOING TO THE FINAL FOUR!!!

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« Reply #38 on: November 07, 2006, 06:30:16 pm »
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If Lamont won, that would easily be the upset of the election.
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« Reply #39 on: November 07, 2006, 06:33:31 pm »
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...even if Lamont came within 5% of Lieberman that would be amazing.
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« Reply #40 on: November 07, 2006, 06:33:50 pm »
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I'm sorry, but that will NOT happen

EDIT: referring to GABU
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Gabu
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« Reply #41 on: November 07, 2006, 06:36:49 pm »
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I'm sorry, but that will NOT happen

EDIT: referring to GABU

...which is why I said it would easily be the upset of the election.

By which I meant it's ridiculously unlikely.
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« Reply #42 on: November 07, 2006, 06:57:51 pm »
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I'm sorry, but that will NOT happen

EDIT: referring to GABU

...which is why I said it would easily be the upset of the election.

By which I meant it's ridiculously unlikely.

right, but then any unlikely thing is an upset--it just seemed like you thought it could happen.
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Gabu
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« Reply #43 on: November 07, 2006, 06:58:53 pm »
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right, but then any unlikely thing is an upset--it just seemed like you thought it could happen.

I was more commenting on that one exit poll showing a slim lead for Lamont - I was saying that it would be the upset of the election if Lamont won, which I had intended to mean that I didn't think it'd happen.

Sorry for the confusion. Tongue
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« Reply #44 on: November 07, 2006, 07:00:22 pm »
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what's with the lull?  it's been an hr. since the last one.
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« Reply #45 on: November 07, 2006, 07:04:20 pm »
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MSNBC just called VT for Sanders.
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Gabu
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« Reply #46 on: November 07, 2006, 07:07:02 pm »
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CNN just released details on the Virginia exit poll:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/VA/S/01/epolls.0.html
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« Reply #47 on: November 07, 2006, 07:10:31 pm »
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CNN just released details on the Virginia exit poll:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/VA/S/01/epolls.0.html

Yeah, that would mean Webbie is up around 3% in that exit poll.

I hate exit polls.  Now I know Allen's going to win by 5%.
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« Reply #48 on: November 07, 2006, 07:12:37 pm »
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They were passing out that exact exit poll at my polling place in Virginia.
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« Reply #49 on: November 07, 2006, 07:22:04 pm »
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CNN just released details on the Virginia exit poll:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/VA/S/01/epolls.0.html

Yeah, that would mean Webbie is up around 3% in that exit poll.

I hate exit polls.  Now I know Allen's going to win by 5%.

I doubt it.
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