The Trond can't help it... (user search)
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  The Trond can't help it... (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Trond can't help it...  (Read 12948 times)
jimrtex
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« on: November 29, 2006, 11:38:23 PM »

I'm redistricting again... based on these rules now:
"Section 26, Article III, of the Texas Constitution requires that house districts be apportioned among the counties according to the federal census population and the following rules:
This looks like something that I originally wrote.  The procedure in Texas is based on the Texas Constitution and judicial interpretations since then.

Explanation of Texas redistricting law, prepared by Legislative Council for state legislature in 2001

Texas Constitution, Article 3, Section 26

The members of the House of Representatives shall be apportioned among the several counties, according to the number of population in each, as nearly as may be, on a ratio obtained by dividing the population of the State, as ascertained by the most recent United States census, by the number of members of which the House is composed; provided, that whenever a single county has sufficient population to be entitled to a Representative, such county shall be formed into a separate Representative District, and when two or more counties are required to make up the ratio of representation, such counties shall be contiguous to each other; and when any one county has more than sufficient population to be entitled to one or more Representatives, such Representative or Representatives shall be apportioned to such county, and for any surplus of population it may be joined in a Representative District with any other contiguous county or counties.

The literal interpretation is that larger counties should form a single representative district that elects one or member district (county) wide.   That is, the Texas Constitution provides for apportionment of representatives among the counties; not for creation of districts.

The first 3 parts are pretty straightforward, with larger counties having multiple representatives, medium counties having one representative, and smaller counties on the frontier being joined together to form a representative district.

The 4th part says that if one county were entitled to 2.4 representatives, and a neighboring county 0.6 representatives, that the larger county would elect two representative; and the two counties together would elect a 3rd representative, with 80% of the voters in the larger county.  Such flotorial districts have generally been outlawed by the US Supreme Court as violation of the equal protection clause of the 14th Amendment.

After the one-man one-vote decisions of the 1960s, the 1970 redistricting essentially ignored the Texas Constitution.  The Texas Supreme Court in Smith v. Craddick ruled that the Texas Constitution had to be followed insofar as it was not in conflict with the US Constitution.  Tom Craddick, now House Speaker, was at the time one of 9 Republicans in the Texas House (141 Democrats) and the challenged plan had drawn a district line down his street in an attempt to eliminated him.

The 4th part of the Section 26 was then interpreted to mean that an area within a county containing the surplus population could be attached to adjacent counties, or parts of counties to form a district.  It had never  definitively been established whether the surplus could be placed in more than one district - though the minimum number of whole districts must be formed in a county.

Multi-member legislative districts are not in violation of the US Constitution per se, but they often run afoul of the Voting Rights Act.  For example one 1970s plan created an 18-member district for Dallas County (Harris County had single member districts).  The US Supreme Court in Smith v. Regester 412 U.S. 755 (1973) ruled against that particular district, and since the 1980's they have not been used in Texas.

1981 Attorney General regarding redistricting and applicability of Smith v. Craddick.

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In Texas, a smaller county may not be split.  It can be combined with adjacent counties, or the portion of an adjacent county with a surplus.

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The US Supreme Court has generally permitted a 10% total deviation for legislative[/u] districts[/u].  A range from 104% to 94% is just as legitimate as 105% to 95%.  If the districts are within this range, a challenger must be able to prove discrimination.  The fact that they could create an alternative plan with less deviation is insufficient.

In the deviation is greater than 10%, the burden is on the state to prove that it is doing so to further legitimate state purposes.

The original 2000s Georgia legislative redistricting plan was overturned by a federal district court in Larios v Cox because it systematically discriminated against the Atlanta suburbs, even though overall the variance was within the traditional 10% range.

The US Supreme Court has used a different analysis with regard to congressional districts and state legislative districts.   In the case of legislative districts it has based its decisions on the equal protection clause of the 14th Amendment.  In the case of congressional districts it has based its decisions on the apportionment language of the original constitution and of the 14th Amendment.

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This is no more likely to pass USSC muster than a 10% range.   However, if Congress were to implement your plan it might be possible for Congress to define a wider range than the courts have permitted states to use for congressional district plans.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #1 on: December 19, 2006, 02:40:07 AM »
« Edited: December 20, 2006, 01:15:18 PM by jimrtex »

Wisconsin
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jimrtex
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« Reply #2 on: December 20, 2006, 12:56:39 PM »

Both in the yellow districts; errors occured in copying lists of counties from paper to pc. They're included in the totals.
Map fixed.  You may have to refresh.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #3 on: December 20, 2006, 01:26:19 PM »

Minnesota

County splits done on area (eyeballed)


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jimrtex
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« Reply #4 on: December 20, 2006, 01:29:22 PM »
« Edited: December 20, 2006, 08:41:07 PM by jimrtex »

Michigan

Fixed.  May need refresh.


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jimrtex
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« Reply #5 on: December 20, 2006, 09:10:12 PM »
« Edited: December 20, 2006, 10:55:20 PM by jimrtex »

Illinois
Note: I count 30 counties in IL-19


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jimrtex
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« Reply #6 on: December 20, 2006, 11:02:46 PM »

Indiana
Dearborn rather than Dewborn.


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jimrtex
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« Reply #7 on: December 20, 2006, 11:23:08 PM »

Ohio

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jimrtex
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« Reply #8 on: December 23, 2006, 02:19:37 PM »

Maine
1 York, Cumberland, Androscoggin, Oxford, and Franklin Co.s
640,369 (1.005)
2 remainder
634,554 (.995)

I don't know why I waited so long to post this, but shortly after you started this thread I went through a fairly exhaustive process using Microsoft Excel and Sort Commands to separate and get rid of some of the plans with discontiguous districts and came up with the closest plan in terms of population parity that follows your rules.
How do you do this with a spreadsheet?

If you generated all combinations of 8 counties or less (the district with fewer counties has to have 8 or fewer counties), and 3 counties or more (you need 3 largest counties to get enough population), there are 39,066 possible combinations.  Most of these will be way off on population.  And many will fail contiguity tests, either for the district or its complement.

But that seems a lot of districts to generate with a spreadsheet.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #9 on: January 08, 2007, 07:11:51 AM »

Maine



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jimrtex
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« Reply #10 on: January 08, 2007, 07:13:51 AM »

New Hampshire

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jimrtex
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« Reply #11 on: January 08, 2007, 08:35:22 AM »

New York

This is a map of your second version for upstate.  I don't think I would consider Oneida and Otsego as being contiguous.  A workable rule might require that 5% or more of the total boundary of one of the two counties be with the other county.  In terms of a basically square county, this would mean 20% or more of one side of the county must abut the other county.

The downstate area illustrates one problem with the Texas rules.  When there are a number of adjacent counties entitled to one or more districts there may not any legal combinations (even with a much more liberal variation in population - 5%).  In 2000, both Jefferson and Galveston counties needed Chambers County to complete their 2nd district.  The plan passed by the House would have put Chambers with Jefferson, and then split Brazoria County 3 ways (one whole, a part with Galveston, and a major part with counties to the west).  The final version by the LRB put Chambers with Galveston, and split Orange County.

A workable rule might treats all adjacent multi-seat counties as a super-county for the initial apportionment purposes.  Richmond would be included because of its isolation, and counties north of Westchester as needed for overall population balance.  The super-county would be divided into 2 or more super-counties if possible (for example if Queens+Nassau+Suffolk were close to 7 complete districts, then they would be districted separately from Richmond+Kings+New York+Bronx+Westchester+Putnam).

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jimrtex
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« Reply #12 on: January 08, 2007, 08:46:44 AM »

I've decided that Suffolk is adjacent to Westchester

In what Bizzaro reality is this happening?  Suffolk is in no way adjacent to Westchester, even if you account for water boundries.
However Queens is adjacent to Richmond, and Nassau to Westchester and Bronx.
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