LA-02 runoff predictions thread
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #25 on: December 09, 2006, 08:40:28 PM »

Jefferson 55 Carter 45
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BRTD
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« Reply #26 on: December 09, 2006, 08:43:32 PM »


Back to the uber-pessimistic phase you were in when you kept insisting Santorum would win?

Jefferson would have to take about half of the votes not cast for him or Carter to get that, which is pretty unlikely since all the non-Jefferson voters obviously didn't vote for him for a reason. He might get a good chunk of the approx. 15% that voted for Republican candidates, but I don't see much more.
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jfern
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« Reply #27 on: December 09, 2006, 09:00:19 PM »

I assume polls are closed, but still nothing here:

http://www.sos.louisiana.gov:8090/cgibin/?rqstyp=elcms2&rqsdta=120906
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Flying Dog
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« Reply #28 on: December 09, 2006, 09:17:48 PM »

15 of 492 precincts reporting

Karen Carter (D)   971   61%
William Jefferson (D)   349   39%
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BRTD
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« Reply #29 on: December 09, 2006, 09:18:56 PM »

15 of 492 precincts reporting

Karen Carter (D)   971   61%
William Jefferson (D)   349   39%

You got results? I still see nothing.

Also, I believe polls don't close until 9 in Louisiana.
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #30 on: December 09, 2006, 09:19:54 PM »

http://www.nola.com/elections/1209_returns.ssf
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Jtfdem
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« Reply #31 on: December 09, 2006, 09:20:46 PM »

20 of 492 precincts reporting

Karen Carter (D)   1181   56%
William Jefferson (D)   940   44%
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BRTD
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« Reply #32 on: December 09, 2006, 09:23:31 PM »

Hmm, interesting. Those parish numbers don't add up though. It should be 23 precincts reproting.

Anyone know of where to get precinct results? It'll be interesting to see how the Republican precincts in the district vote.
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #33 on: December 09, 2006, 09:25:30 PM »

38 of 492 precincts reporting

Karen Carter (D)   1800   49%
William Jefferson (D)   1837   51%

You have got to be kidding me.
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BRTD
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« Reply #34 on: December 09, 2006, 09:28:00 PM »

Jefferson pulled ahead big in Orleans Parish.

Let's hope that's his base (or Republican areas) coming in.
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Jtfdem
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« Reply #35 on: December 09, 2006, 09:29:42 PM »

48 of 492 precincts reporting

Karen Carter (D)   2063   49%
William Jefferson (D)   2158   51%
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #36 on: December 09, 2006, 09:32:03 PM »

57 of 492 precincts reporting

Karen Carter (D)   2119   48%
William Jefferson (D)   1169   52%

Im getting worried. If Jefferson is reelected than I have lost hope in New Orleans.
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jfern
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« Reply #37 on: December 09, 2006, 09:32:24 PM »

Jefferson pulled ahead big in Orleans Parish.

Let's hope that's his base (or Republican areas) coming in.

Looks like the DownWithTheLeft's are coming out in force.
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Jtfdem
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« Reply #38 on: December 09, 2006, 09:34:08 PM »

62 of 492 precincts reporting

Karen Carter (D)   2178   47%
William Jefferson (D)   2431   53%
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #39 on: December 09, 2006, 09:35:30 PM »

My logic was that Jefferson would take a massive portion of the Republican vote and most of the black vote as well.  And yes I'm aware Carter is black too, but not as black.
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Deano963
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« Reply #40 on: December 09, 2006, 09:37:34 PM »

You've gotta be kidding me that these people are stupid enough to reelect someone who was taped accepting a $100,000 bribe.
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Jtfdem
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« Reply #41 on: December 09, 2006, 09:38:10 PM »

71 of 492 precincts reporting

Karen Carter (D)   2264   47%
William Jefferson (D)   2509   53%
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Cuivienen
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« Reply #42 on: December 09, 2006, 09:39:32 PM »

Bear in mind this is still a tiny number of precincts reporting, but it will definitely be very close.
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jfern
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« Reply #43 on: December 09, 2006, 09:40:44 PM »

Found a faster site.

The bad news is that 100,000 dollar bills is leading 54-46 with 204/492 precincts.

http://www.wwltv.com/
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Deano963
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« Reply #44 on: December 09, 2006, 09:40:56 PM »

Carter has retaken the lead....whew.

....only to lose it again. damn.
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jfern
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« Reply #45 on: December 09, 2006, 09:41:34 PM »

Carter has retaken the lead....whew.

No whew, that site has only 72 precincts in.
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« Reply #46 on: December 09, 2006, 09:42:29 PM »

She retook the lead with one precinct (71 to 72 changed it from 53-47 to 48-52). Stop calling this early, guys.

Edit: Never mind Sad
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #47 on: December 09, 2006, 09:42:56 PM »

I'm looking mad smart.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #48 on: December 09, 2006, 09:45:51 PM »

Still 54-46 with 212 in.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #49 on: December 09, 2006, 09:48:46 PM »

219 in, Jefferson 54% Carter 46%
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