Obama eyes Presidential bid

[© tweed]

"Santorum by less than one point."

How does that make all of my other predictions incorrect?

It doesn't, it's just hilarious.  It's not an accomplishment anyway because dozens of people here picked every seat correctly.

[Keystone Phil]

"Santorum by less than one point."

How does that make all of my other predictions incorrect?

It doesn't, it's just hilarious.  It's not an accomplishment anyway because dozens of people here picked every seat correctly.

I'm not calling it a great accomplishment. Deano was saying my record of predicting races is so horrible so I decided to throw that out there.

And Tweed, I honestly hope you enjoy being an asshole. You'll get what you deserve someday.

[© tweed]

And Tweed, I honestly hope you enjoy being an asshole. You'll get what you deserve someday.

Judgement day?  Or before that?

[Keystone Phil]

And Tweed, I honestly hope you enjoy being an asshole. You'll get what you deserve someday.

Judgement day?  Or before that?

Both.

[Soaring Eagle]

And Tweed, I honestly hope you enjoy being an asshole. You'll get what you deserve someday.

Judgement day?  Or before that?

Both.

God is a conservative Republican?

[Keystone Phil]

And Tweed, I honestly hope you enjoy being an asshole. You'll get what you deserve someday.

Judgement day?  Or before that?

Both.

God is a conservative Republican?

Right because that has everything to do with Tweed simply being an asshole. 

[Soaring Eagle]

And Tweed, I honestly hope you enjoy being an asshole. You'll get what you deserve someday.

Judgement day?  Or before that?

Both.

God is a conservative Republican?

Right because that has everything to do with Tweed simply being an asshole. 

Yes, I would say it does.

[Deano963]

LOL!!!!!

You're right Phil - you sure predicted them all correctly!!

ROTFLMAO!!!

Just for the record, I posted some predictions in this thread awhile back - https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=43670.0 - I'll be commenting on a few of those races in this post but for those that I don't mention I want everyone to know that I stick with my predictions.



Connecticut - As recent polls have confirmed, Lieberman is favored to win this one and with some breathing room, too. When all is said and done, Joe is re-elected by over five points.

Independent pickup


Rhode Island - Chafee just isn't as strong as Whitehouse. It's going to stay close but the Dems will celebrate a narrow victory and a pickup. I'll say Whitehouse by two.

Dem pickup


New Jersey - Kean is gaining ground and while Menendez has the money to get his message out (make every connection he can between Bush/GOP establishment and Kean), he must fight off a federal investigation. I say that Kean wins this one by three points.

GOP pickup


Maryland - Smart move going with Cardin. Steele cannot attract enough black votes to contend with Cardin's advantage among white Dems. Cardin by eight to ten points.

Dem hold


Virginia - Allen has screwed up a bit and Webb is proving himself to be a fine candidate but the GOP will hang on. No double digit win for the first term Senator but a fairly comfortable margin of victory - Allen by six.

GOP hold


Tennessee - Ford is picking up steam but it is not enough. Conservative Republicans might stay home on Election day since there is no competitive Governor's race and Corker is far from their favorite (we all know how I feel about Mr. Corker, too). Ford also benefits from Bredesen being on the ticket and an anti-GOP feeling this year. All those things considered, though, I still think Corker wins this one with ease. Corker by eight.

GOP hold


Ohio - State GOP is in terrible shape, Strickland's coattails, DeWine is a weak campaigner, Brown is an energetic candidate...there was one point earilier in the year when I thought the GOP wouldn't have to worry about this seat. I believed that the Dems made a mistake by going with Brown but it turns out that a number of things have helped out Brown and the Dems in general in the Buckeye State. Mike DeWine is not like the Junior Senator from Pennsylvania - he won't turn this race around but it'll be close (if that means anything to a state party that will be hit with major defeats this year) - Brown by four.

Dem pickup


Missouri - I think this seat will be cursed with close races forever. In 2000, Aschcroft lost to Carnahan by roughly two points. Because of Missouri law the seat was up again just two years later due to the appointment of Carnahan's wife. Jean lost the seat by about two points to Talent. Now four years later we find yet another close race in the Show Me State. The polls have told us that the lead is flipping back and forth and no candidate is ever up by much. I have a feeling that Talent will be able to pull through - Talent by four.

GOP hold


Pennsylvania - He's staying, guys. Santorum wins by two three to four points.

GOP hold


Montana - Burns will catch up (he is almost down by double digits) but it won't be enough. Montanans think it's Tester time...and it should be entertaining. He might not look like your typical Senator but come November he'll be sitting in the most elite club in the country (and some would argue the most elite in the world). How quickly will the Tester hair fashion spread? Tester wins by three.

Dem pickup



The final breakdown will be:

GOP - 53
Dem - 45
Ind - 2*

*Two Independents (Sanders and Lieberman) will caucus with the Dems. There will be at least one official Independent (Sanders). It has yet to be seen whether or not Lieberman will officially align himself as a Dem or just as an Independent caucusing with the Dems. Regardless, the final breakdown, in my current prediction, will be 53 Republicans - 47 Dems/Inds

Nice job showing your predictions from three days before the Elections, Hack. The difference between me and you is that I made all of the correct predictions (including Santorum losing) months before the election, when you only changed yours in the last few days to reflect evolvoing CW b/c you can't predict worth a damn on your own and also to avoid embarrassment for your earlier terrible predictions.

[Eraserhead]

And Tweed, I honestly hope you enjoy being an asshole. You'll get what you deserve someday.

Judgement day?  Or before that?

lol..left himself wide open for that one.

[Keystone Phil]

LOL!!!!!

You're right Phil - you sure predicted them all correctly!!

ROTFLMAO!!!

Nice job showing your predictions from three days before the Elections, Hack. The difference between me and you is that I made all of the correct predictions (including Santorum losing) months before the election, when you only changed yours in the last few days to reflect evolvoing CW b/c you can't predict worth a damn on your own and also to avoid embarrassment for your earlier terrible predictions.

So my final predictions are bad because they were done a few days before the election...like everyone else? And if I was all about the evolving CW, I would have said Santorum was done. I honestly don't care if you got all of them correct. Your point was that I had a horrific prediction record and I showed you that my predictions for the Senate race were correct with the exception of PA.

Predicting things months before the election means nothing, by the way. You can't tell us exactly what would happen that far ahead without lucky guesses.

[Deano963]

Yes, because in your opinion, pointing out weaknesses equates to fear of the mentioned candidates so why shouldn't the same be applied to Kucinich/McKinney?

LOL.

Again simple logic is lost on you Hack. You try to change the subject to two pols who are completely irrelevant to the toipic b/c you are not intelligent enough to repsond to something I said. Phil, you're pathetic, and the best part is that you are putting it all out there for everyone to see just how ignorant you are. Keep it up buddy!!

Deano, I have talking with the adults here for a very long time. You are one of the recent additions, widely regarded as one of the premier annoyances. Please don't lecture me on where to go. Thanks.

Like I said Phil, the kiddie table is that way. Go over there before you embarrass yourself again. You shouldn't try to argue with adults.

P.S. - I'll continue winning arguments while I'm at it and you'll continue your whiny, nasty comments towards everyone.

I'll let you know if you ever win an argument against me Phil. Up until this point, you haven't. But keep telling yourself that your idiotic ramblings about Dennis Kucinich and Cynthia McKinney (wtf??) qualify as an intelligent argument and that they won you an argument. Your fantasy dream land you live in is a strange place indeed.......

Keep the idiocy coming Phil! I love it!:)

[Deano963]

Good job on the New Jersey prediction there, genius.

What happened?

Let me guess - little Kean Jr. jumped ahead in one or two polls in early September and you got all antsy-pantsy and excited?

That's so cute.......

[Keystone Phil]

LOL.

Again simple logic is lost on you Hack. You try to change the subject to two pols who are completely irrelevant to the toipic b/c you are not intelligent enough to repsond to something I said. Phil, you're pathetic, and the best part is that you are putting it all out there for everyone to see just how ignorant you are. Keep it up buddy!!

You said the pointing out weaknesses means people are afraid. Everyone points out the weaknesses of those two therefore we must be afraid of their chances. It's really quite simple. Sit down, little boy, and think about what you said and then read what I said.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Eh, whatever you say. I am far more respected here than you are. You are widely regarded as simply a nasty, flame throwing hack and nothing more.  

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Sure thing, pal. Way to have a kind tone for a debate. Question - Have you been kind to anyone that disagrees with you?

[Keystone Phil]

Good job on the New Jersey prediction there, genius.

What happened?

Let me guess - little Kean Jr. jumped ahead in one or two polls in early September and you got all antsy-pantsy and excited?

That's so cute.......

So what do you say to the respected forum members that also predicted a Kean victory at that point?

[Deano963]

LOL.

Again simple logic is lost on you Hack. You try to change the subject to two pols who are completely irrelevant to the toipic b/c you are not intelligent enough to repsond to something I said. Phil, you're pathetic, and the best part is that you are putting it all out there for everyone to see just how ignorant you are. Keep it up buddy!!

You said the pointing out weaknesses means people are afraid. Everyone points out the weaknesses of those two therefore we must be afraid of their chances. It's really quite simple. Sit down, little boy, and think about what you said and then read what I said.

I can't believe you are still trying to spin your ignorance and inability to argue against me about Obama as something that has anything whatsoever to do with what we were talking about. Your childish behavior gets funnier all the time.

You must REALLY like getting creamed in arguments, b/c it is all I ever see you do.

[Keystone Phil]

LOL.

Again simple logic is lost on you Hack. You try to change the subject to two pols who are completely irrelevant to the toipic b/c you are not intelligent enough to repsond to something I said. Phil, you're pathetic, and the best part is that you are putting it all out there for everyone to see just how ignorant you are. Keep it up buddy!!

You said the pointing out weaknesses means people are afraid. Everyone points out the weaknesses of those two therefore we must be afraid of their chances. It's really quite simple. Sit down, little boy, and think about what you said and then read what I said.

I can't believe you are still trying to spin your ignorance and inability to argue against me about Obama as something that has anything whatsoever to do with what we were talking about. Your childish behavior gets funnier all the time.

You must REALLY like getting creamed in arguments, b/c it is all I ever see you do.

Oh, wait, I see. So pointing out problems with Obama means fear but for anyone else it isn't? Makes sense, hacko. 

[Deano963]

LOL.

Again simple logic is lost on you Hack. You try to change the subject to two pols who are completely irrelevant to the toipic b/c you are not intelligent enough to repsond to something I said. Phil, you're pathetic, and the best part is that you are putting it all out there for everyone to see just how ignorant you are. Keep it up buddy!!

You said the pointing out weaknesses means people are afraid. Everyone points out the weaknesses of those two therefore we must be afraid of their chances. It's really quite simple. Sit down, little boy, and think about what you said and then read what I said.

I can't believe you are still trying to spin your ignorance and inability to argue against me about Obama as something that has anything whatsoever to do with what we were talking about. Your childish behavior gets funnier all the time.

You must REALLY like getting creamed in arguments, b/c it is all I ever see you do.

Oh, wait, I see. So pointing out problems with Obama means fear but for anyone else it isn't? Makes sense, hacko. 

I'm sorry girlie....what is the topic of this thread.....is it "Obama eyes Presidential bid" or "Cynthia McKinney eyes Presidnetial bid"? I thought so.

You talking about her would be as stupid as me bringing up Tom Delay in the same conversation.

The difference is I am smart enough to realize this. You, on the other hand........not so much.



UPDATE
Phil: Another thing that sets us apart is that I do not go crying to the moderator when I lose an argument like you do.

[Keystone Phil]

Deano, you'll never mature. Such a pity. 

[Deano963]

I'm sorry girlie....what is the topic of this thread.....is it "Obama eyes Presidential bid" or "Cynthia McKinney eyes Presidnetial bid"? I thought so.

Deano, you'll never mature. Such a pity. 

Yup. Just what I predicted you would say.

Out of your league, Phil.

[Keystone Phil]

I'm sorry girlie....what is the topic of this thread.....is it "Obama eyes Presidential bid" or "Cynthia McKinney eyes Presidnetial bid"? I thought so.

Deano, you'll never mature. Such a pity. 

Yup. Just what I predicted you would say.

Out of your league, Phil.

No, hacko, the point remains that whether you are talking about Obama or Clinton or McKinney or Bayh or whoever, you said that when people bring up weaknesses that they are truly afraid of that candidate. Why would that just be the case for Obama? It makes no sense, child. I win again. Deal with it.

[Deano963]

I'm sorry girlie....what is the topic of this thread.....is it "Obama eyes Presidential bid" or "Cynthia McKinney eyes Presidnetial bid"? I thought so.

Deano, you'll never mature. Such a pity. 

Yup. Just what I predicted you would say.

Out of your league, Phil.

No, hacko, the point remains that whether you are talking about Obama or Clinton or McKinney or Bayh or whoever, you said that when people bring up weaknesses that they are truly afraid of that candidate. Why would that just be the case for Obama? It makes no sense, child. I win again. Deal with it.

You are so uneducated an incapable of making an intellignet argument that I am literally crying b/c I am laughing so hard.

I'll say it again Phil - out of your league.

You lose - again. For the millionth time.

[Alcon]

You are so uneducated an incapable of making an intellignet (sic) argument that I am literally crying b/c I am laughing so hard.

I'll say it again Phil - out of your league.

You lose - again. For the millionth time.

As opposed to figuratively?  Gleeful pleasure simply at being correct and another being incorrect sounds like some sort of issue you may want to get checked out, especially considering your well-documented issues with anger.  Normal people don't react to just being correct like that.  Were you educated of this?

[Gabu]

You are so uneducated an incapable of making an intellignet argument that I am literally crying b/c I am laughing so hard.

I'll say it again Phil - out of your league.

You lose - again. For the millionth time.

Is this supposed to be an "intellignet" argument?  Maybe I just need to uneducate more incapables.



UPDATE
The above is still not an "intellignet" argument.

[Eraserhead]

So...anyone watch 12 Oz. Mouse? Love that show.

[Rob]

Deano was saying my record of predicting races is so horrible so I decided to throw that out there.

Obama is overrated. Though he'll easily win in November, it won't be by 25-30 points.

You were right on that one, Phil.