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jfern
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E: -7.38, S: -8.36

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« on: December 11, 2006, 03:19:47 AM »

Obama surge!

Democrats
Clinton 53.3
Obama 19.5
Edwards 8.7
Gore 7.3
Bayh 2.6
Richardson 1.9
Vilsack 1.8
Kerry 1.4
Clark 1.1
Biden 0.9
Warner 0.8
Dodd 0.6

Republicans
McCain 50.2
Romney 14.0
Giuliani 13.6
Huckabee 9.0
Gingrich 4.5
Brownback 1.8
Rice 1.4
Hagel 1.1
Cheney 0.8
J. Bush 0.7
Pataki 0.6
Allen 0.5
Bloomberg 0.4
Owens 0.3
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #1 on: December 11, 2006, 07:17:03 AM »

He's at 19, Hillary is 53...what kind of surge is that?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: December 11, 2006, 11:51:00 AM »

He's at 19, Hillary is 53...what kind of surge is that?

A pretty decent one (considering where he was before).
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: December 11, 2006, 02:59:40 PM »

Obama has now broken the 20% mark for (I think) the first time ever.  On the GOP side, there had been a Giuliani bounce (hurting both McCain and Romney) right after he announced his exploratory committee, but now it looks like McCain, Romney, and Giuliani are all back to about where they were before that happened (with McCain again, barely, above 50%).  Gingrich continues his slow rise (he's now close to his all time high), and Rice continues her slow fall (I think she may now be at an all time low).
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jfern
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« Reply #4 on: December 11, 2006, 04:25:09 PM »

He's at 19, Hillary is 53...what kind of surge is that?

He seems to be hurting Gore, and to a lesser extent Edwards more than Hillary.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: December 11, 2006, 08:34:59 PM »

He's at 19, Hillary is 53...what kind of surge is that?

He seems to be hurting Gore, and to a lesser extent Edwards more than Hillary.

He scooped up Warner's spot as the infamous "Anti-Hillary".
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #6 on: December 12, 2006, 01:18:10 PM »



Whoa...I read this wrong at first...this seems to be the one glaring thing the Senator from Illinois needs to fix if he were to run...

Something tells me I wouldn't like his ideology very much, but he seems like a decent man and good candidate otherwise.
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
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E: 9.16, S: -3.13

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« Reply #7 on: December 12, 2006, 08:57:07 PM »

Brownback is way too low, he should be at about 6 or 7 right now
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elcorazon
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« Reply #8 on: December 13, 2006, 04:03:27 PM »

Here are the numbers on winning in the general election right now:

McCain - 27.0
Clinton - 26.0
Obama - 13.0
Giuliani - 11.0
Romney - 9.4
Gore - 6.0
Edwards - 5.0
all others are under 1.0
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: December 13, 2006, 04:43:57 PM »


Yeah, but that's because not all of the potential candidates are listed on winning the general election.  I assume that Huckabee would be over 1.0 if he was listed, given that his odds of winning the GOP nomination are now given as 9.1%.  He would have to be a pretty pathetic general election candidate to have a 9% chance at the nomination, but only a 1% chance of going all the way.
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jfern
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E: -7.38, S: -8.36

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« Reply #10 on: December 19, 2006, 01:25:57 PM »

New numbers. Warner is doing pretty well for having said he's not running.
McCain is close to an all time high.

Democrats

Clinton 53.4
Obama 20.5
Edwards 10.4
Gore 7.0
Warner 3.0
Vilsack 2.1
Richardson 1.7
Kerry 1.7
Clark 1.0
Biden 0.8
Dodd 0.6

Republicans

McCain 51.2
Romney 15.4
Giuliani 14.7
Huckabee 7.1
Gingrich 4.5
Rice 1.6
Brownback 1.3
Hagel 1.0
Cheney 0.8
J. Bush 0.6
Pataki 0.6
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #11 on: December 19, 2006, 02:06:21 PM »

Edwards also seems to be close to an all time high.  He's been slowly gaining of late.  Huckabee is slowly fading after his peak of a few weeks ago.
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #12 on: December 19, 2006, 02:08:11 PM »

New numbers. Warner is doing pretty well for having said he's not running.
McCain is close to an all time high.

Democrats

Clinton 53.4
Obama 20.5
Edwards 10.4
Gore 7.0
Warner 3.0
Vilsack 2.1
Richardson 1.7
Kerry 1.7
Clark 1.0
Biden 0.8
Dodd 0.6

Republicans

McCain 51.2
Romney 15.4
Giuliani 14.7
Huckabee 7.1
Gingrich 4.5
Rice 1.6
Brownback 1.3
Hagel 1.0
Cheney 0.8
J. Bush 0.6
Pataki 0.6

If they would get rid of the candidates of Gore, Warner, Gingrich, Rice, Cheney, and Jeb Bush...then the ratings would be better.
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jfern
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E: -7.38, S: -8.36

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« Reply #13 on: December 21, 2006, 09:30:27 PM »

Warner, Vilsack, Huckabee down
Edwards and Dodd, Hagel, Allen, Gilmore up

Democrats

Clinton 53.0
Obama 20.7
Edwards 11.4
Gore 7.4
Richardson 1.7
Kerry 1.6
Dodd 1.3
Vilsack 1.0
Warner 1.0
Clark 0.9
Biden 0.6


Republicans

McCain 51.1
Romney 15.4
Giuliani 15.0
Huckabee 6.0
Gingrich 4.3
Hagel 1.6
Brownback 1.5
Rice 1.4
Cheney 0.8
Pataki 0.6
J. Bush 0.6
Allen 0.5
Gilmore 0.3
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jfern
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Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

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« Reply #14 on: December 26, 2006, 11:50:02 PM »

All over 0.5% listed

Edwards surge

Democrats
Clinton 50.8
Obama 21.5
Edwards 15.0
Gore 7.4
Richardson 2.5
Kerry 1.7
Vilsack 1.3
Biden 1.0
Warner 1.0
Clark 0.9
Dodd 0.9

Republicans
McCain 51.0
Giuliani 15.1
Romney 15.0
Huckabee 7.0
Gingrich 3.6
Hagel 1.7
Brownback 1.6
Rice 1.4
Cheney 0.8
Allen 0.6
Bush 0.6
Pataki 0.6
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jfern
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Posts: 53,611


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

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« Reply #15 on: December 27, 2006, 03:39:55 PM »

Wow, there's been a fair amount of movement.
Hillary is the lowest in a while, McCain has better nomination odds than her now.
Obama is basically a record high.
Guiliani and Romney gained at the expense of Huckabee and Gingrich
A lot of 0.2 point gaps for the Democrats.

Democrats
Clinton 50.0
Obama 22.0
Edwards 14.9
Gore 7.0
Richardson 2.1
Kerry 1.6
Vilsack 1.4
Biden 1.2
Clark 1.0
Warner 0.8
Dodd 0.6

Republicans
McCain 50.5
Romney 15.7
Guiliani 15.0
Huckabee 6.0
Gingrich 2.9
Hagel 1.6
Brownback 1.6
Rice 1.4
Cheney 0.8
Bush 0.6
Allen 0.5
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jokerman
Cosmo Kramer
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #16 on: December 27, 2006, 04:47:46 PM »

McCain's hold on the GOP nomination is only going to increase.  He's the establishment candidate.
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jfern
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E: -7.38, S: -8.36

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« Reply #17 on: December 27, 2006, 11:59:15 PM »

Obama is now a lifetime high of 23.0
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #18 on: December 28, 2006, 12:40:19 PM »

Hillary's now below 50.0 for the first time since the midterms.
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #19 on: December 28, 2006, 01:30:02 PM »

McCain's hold on the GOP nomination is only going to increase.  He's the establishment candidate.

He'll be 72 years old in 2008. The last time the president-elect was older than the president in an open race was 1908, an Bill Taft was only older than Roosevelt by a year! It's not going to happen.
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jfern
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E: -7.38, S: -8.36

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« Reply #20 on: January 01, 2007, 09:28:47 PM »

Now that we're in 2007.
Brownback and Powell surge. Huckabee drops.

Democrats
Clinton 49.9
Obama 22.0
Edwards 13.8
Gore 6.6
Richardson 2.0
Kerry 1.7
Vilsack 1.4
Biden 1.2
Warner 0.9
Clark 0.7
Dodd 0.6

Republicans
McCain 50.6
Romney 16.5
Giuliani 16.2
Huckabee 4.4
Gingrich 3.3
Brownback 3.3
Rice 1.9
Hagel 1.5
Cheney 0.8
Powell 0.8
Bush 0.6
Allen 0.5
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #21 on: January 01, 2007, 10:43:43 PM »

McCain's hold on the GOP nomination is only going to increase.  He's the establishment candidate.

He'll be 72 years old in 2008. The last time the president-elect was older than the president in an open race was 1908, an Bill Taft was only older than Roosevelt by a year! It's not going to happen.

I like the fact McCain is older. We need an older President in these times, in my opinion.
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Gabu
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Canada


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E: -4.32, S: -6.52

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« Reply #22 on: January 01, 2007, 11:01:31 PM »

McCain's hold on the GOP nomination is only going to increase.  He's the establishment candidate.

He'll be 72 years old in 2008. The last time the president-elect was older than the president in an open race was 1908, an Bill Taft was only older than Roosevelt by a year! It's not going to happen.

I like the fact McCain is older. We need an older President in these times, in my opinion.

Why don't you support Emma Tillman, then?  She's the oldest person in America.
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Inmate Trump
GWBFan
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E: -4.39, S: -7.30

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« Reply #23 on: January 02, 2007, 01:03:21 PM »

I like the fact McCain is older. We need an older President in these times, in my opinion.

No, I think we need a president with a clear head.  McCain's not that guy anymore.
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jfern
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E: -7.38, S: -8.36

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« Reply #24 on: January 05, 2007, 09:58:28 PM »

McCain's hold on the GOP nomination is only going to increase.  He's the establishment candidate.

He'll be 72 years old in 2008. The last time the president-elect was older than the president in an open race was 1908, an Bill Taft was only older than Roosevelt by a year! It's not going to happen.

I like the fact McCain is older. We need an older President in these times, in my opinion.

Why don't you support Emma Tillman, then?  She's the oldest person in America.

No, he should vote for Emiliano Mercado del Toro, because he's the oldest.
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