New Tradesports rankings

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Gore has actually been gaining. WTF?

Giuliani down, McCain up, but Gingrich only trails him by a bit now. Hunter drops off.

Democrats
Clinton 67.2
Obama 16.3
Gore 8.3
Edwards 6.9
Richardson 0.5
Biden 0.4
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 34.1
Thompson 25.0
Romney 22.8
Paul 5.2
McCain 5.0
Gingrich 4.6
Huckabee 3.3
Rice 0.7

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Gore inches up even more, just because.

Giuliani gains. McCain falls to  6th place, below the rising Gingrich. Rice gains.


Democrats
Clinton 67.2
Obama 16.2
Gore 8.6
Edwards 6.8
Richardson 0.6
Biden 0.4
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 35.4
Thompson 24.7
Romney 22.5
Paul 5.2
Gingrich 4.9
McCain 4.6
Huckabee 2.9
Rice 1.0

The rise and fall of John McCain

[© tweed]

the Gore to run contract is all the way up to 25%.  it's doubled in the past ~ten days.  odd, but cool.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Winning individual
Clinton 43.8
Giuliani 17.0
Thompson 8.8
Romney 8.0
Obama 7.7
Gore 6.0
Edwards 2.8
McCain 2.3
Paul 1.9
Gingrich 1.0
Bloomberg 0.5
Huckabee 0.5
Richardson 0.4
Biden 0.1

Field 0.2

Winning party
Democrat 59.4
Republican 39.2
Field 1.7

Congress Democratic control
House 81.3
Senate 87.1

Will run
Bloomberg Indy 20.0
Gingrich GOP 30.2
Gore Democrat 25.5

Dropout by end of year
Dodd 45.0
Richardson 25.0
McCain 9.0
Edwards 8.5
Huckabee 7.3

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Dem VP
Obama 26.1
Bayh 16.5
Richardson 15.0
Gore 10.5
Strickland 10.0
Clark 9.0
Biden 3.0
Edwards 1.5
Kerry 1.5
Webb 1.0
Dodd 0.9
Vilsack 0.3
Clinton 0.1
Warner 0.1
Daschle 0.1

Field 11.2

GOP VP
Huckabee 15.0
Pawlenty 12.5
Romney 10.9
Jeb Bush 8.9
Thompson 7.7
Giuliani 7.7
Rice 7.4
Graham 5.9
Hutchison 5.7
Steele 5.4
Gingrich 4.3
McCain 2.6

Field 40.0

[Mr. Morden]

I don't know why Webb has dropped off so much in the VP market.  I definitely think he's underrated now.  I *do* know why Warner has dropped off so much, but 0.1% is surely a bit low.

[Eraserhead]

Gore is at 10.5 for VP? lol.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Gore has continued his climb to 9.5. Clinton is down a bit.

Gingrich announces he's not running, and falls to 0.1. The top 4 Republicans gain because of this. Paul is now a record high of 7.0. McCain is unchanged in a distant 5th. Huckabee falls.



Democrats
Clinton 66.2
Obama 16.4
Gore 9.5
Edwards 6.6
Richardson 0.6
Biden 0.4
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 36.8
Thompson 24.6
Romney 23.2
Paul 7.0
McCain 4.6
Huckabee 2.0
Rice 1.1
Gingrich 0.1

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Gore has continued his climb to 9.5. Clinton is down a bit.

Gingrich announces he's not running, and falls to 0.1. The top 4 Republicans gain because of this. Paul is now a record high of 7.0. McCain is unchanged in a distant 5th. Huckabee falls.



Democrats
Clinton 66.2
Obama 16.4
Gore 9.5
Edwards 6.6
Richardson 0.6
Biden 0.4
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 36.8
Thompson 24.6
Romney 23.2
Paul 7.0
McCain 4.6
Huckabee 2.0
Rice 1.1
Gingrich 0.1

QUIK QUIK BUY MORE PAUL HES GOING TO 100

[© tweed]

Libertarian stupidity exhibit 198378230498

[Eraserhead]

What is with the Gore thing?

[Reluctant Republican]

To be somewhat fair to Paul, it should be mentioned that he ran a pledge drive on his site to raise a million in online donations in seven days and was able to surpass this goal by $200000. Richardson and Edwards both attempted a similar drive, but I don't believe either of them made the million. Edwards in fact had 10 days to do it and still failed to meet his goal. Of course, this does not mean Paul's going to win the nomination, but if Gore can be that high on the Dem side, I think Paul is justified in being high on the Republican side[though perhaps not THAT high.]

[Mr. Morden]

So is this the first time Paul-odds to win the GOP nomination has passed Edwards-odds to win the Dem. nomination?  How long before Paul-odds to win the GOP nomination passes Gore-odds to win the Dem. nomination?

Also, Romney is starting to close on Thompson, and Giuliani is gaining.  As of right now, it's:

Giuliani 38.6
Thompson 24.0
Romney 23.0

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Not sure, but Paul actually DOES have a better chance of winning the GOP nomination than Gore has of winning the Dem nomination (not that that's saying much.)

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Hillary very slightly down. Non-candidate Gore declines.  Richardson gains.

Giuliani gains at Thompson's expense. Paul drops, McCain gains, but still trails Paul. Huckabee and Rice have been moving around a lot, with Huckabee gaining and Rice losing here.

Democrats
Clinton 65.9
Obama 16.4
Gore 8.0
Edwards 6.7
Richardson 0.8
Biden 0.4
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 38.3
Thompson 23.4
Romney 23.1
Paul 6.1
McCain 5.4
Huckabee 3.2
Rice 0.7
Gingrich 0.2

[SPC]

Richardson looks like a good buy. I'm predicting that he, along with Thompson and Paul on the other side, will start to skyrocket this month.

[© tweed]

Not sure, but Paul actually DOES have a better chance of winning the GOP nomination than Gore has of winning the Dem nomination (not that that's saying much.)

give me a scenario in which Paul wins the Republican nomination.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Not sure, but Paul actually DOES have a better chance of winning the GOP nomination than Gore has of winning the Dem nomination (not that that's saying much.)

give me a scenario in which Paul wins the Republican nomination.

All the other GOP candidates are caught playing Larry Craig with each other. Or die in plane crashes.

Yeah, nothing realistic, but at least Paul is on the ballot, while Gore is not. Basically we're talking about a 0.000000000001% chance vs. a 0% chance.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Richardson looks like a good buy. I'm predicting that he, along with Thompson and Paul on the other side, will start to skyrocket this month.

Richardson is a terrible buy, really, because he's a terrible candidate.  And that's from someone who's currently long 25 shares of Richardson.

I have no clue why Paul would "skyrocket" when he's going nowhere in the polls with a 0% chance to win the GOP nomination.

[Eraserhead]

Pretty strange that Clinton went down at all (slight as it was).

[© tweed]

Not sure, but Paul actually DOES have a better chance of winning the GOP nomination than Gore has of winning the Dem nomination (not that that's saying much.)

give me a scenario in which Paul wins the Republican nomination.

All the other GOP candidates are caught playing Larry Craig with each other. Or die in plane crashes.

Yeah, nothing realistic, but at least Paul is on the ballot, while Gore is not. Basically we're talking about a 0.000000000001% chance vs. a 0% chance.

even if every single candidate did that, either a) one would win, or b) some establishment type would win the nomination by hopping in late.  Paul really has nothing in common with 98% of Republican primary voters.

Paul can't win.  the scenario for Gore winning is easy: he runs.  however unlikely that may be, it's far more likely than the GOP turning into some gay sex mafia, which is the scenario you gave me for Paul.

[minionofmidas]

Not sure, but Paul actually DOES have a better chance of winning the GOP nomination than Gore has of winning the Dem nomination (not that that's saying much.)

give me a scenario in which Paul wins the Republican nomination.

All the other GOP candidates are caught playing Larry Craig with each other. Or die in plane crashes.

Yeah, nothing realistic, but at least Paul is on the ballot, while Gore is not. Basically we're talking about a 0.000000000001% chance vs. a 0% chance.

even if every single candidate did that, either a) one would win, or b) some establishment type would win the nomination by hopping in late.  Paul really has nothing in common with 98% of Republican primary voters.

Paul can't win.  the scenario for Gore winning is easy: he runs.  however unlikely that may be, it's far more likely than the GOP turning into some gay sex mafia, which is the scenario you gave me for Paul.

What do you mean by "turning into"?

[jimrtex]

So is this the first time Paul-odds to win the GOP nomination has passed Edwards-odds to win the Dem. nomination?  How long before Paul-odds to win the GOP nomination passes Gore-odds to win the Dem. nomination?

Maybe they are gold speculators trying to boost a Paul candidacy?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Clinton is back to 2/3rds.  Obama slides to a long time low.  Gore's numbers get more freakish.

Giuliani has had a very good week. Thompson drops. Rice surges.

Democrats
Clinton 66.7
Obama 15.5
Gore 9.9
Edwards 6.3
Richardson 0.7
Biden 0.4
Dodd 0.1

Republicans
Giuliani 40.0
Romney 23.2
Thompson 22.9
Paul 6.1
McCain 5.6
Huckabee 3.0
Rice 1.3
Gingrich 0.3

Giuliani:

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Winning individual is kind of amusing:

Clinton 44.3
Giuliani 16.3
Thompson 9.0
Romney 8.5
Obama 7.6
Gore 6.5
Edwards 3.0
McCain 2.5
Paul 2.5