New Tradesports rankings

[Gabu]

Wow, that's kinda of a departure from where things were a week ago.

Then again, so is the reality on the ground.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Obama now leads Clinton by over 3-1. Ouch. She hit a record low of 22.0 earlier today, and InTrade goes back to 2004.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Obama 72.9
Clinton 24.0
Edwards 2.0
Gore 0.8
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1

New Hampshire
Obama 92.1
Clinton 7.7
Edwards 0.3




REPUBLICANS

Nomination
McCain 35.0
Giuliani 28.7
Huckabee 17.4
Romney 10.0
Paul 4.4
Thompson 2.0
Gingrich 1.0
Rice 0.3
Bloomberg 0.1

New Hampshire
McCain 81.2
Romney 15.0
Paul 2.0 (Field)
Huckabee 0.4

[J. J.]

Buy Clinton.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Why buy stock that'll almost certainly crash tommorow?

[exopolitician]

Why buy stock that'll almost certainly crash tommorow?

giggidy...

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Post-early but pre-regular NH primary voting update.

Clinton and Edwards slightly recover at Obama's expense/

Romney slightly gains at McCain's expense.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Obama 71.5
Clinton 27.0
Edwards 2.6
Gore 0.6
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1

New Hampshire
Obama 92.0
Clinton 6.0
Edwards 0.2




REPUBLICANS

Nomination
McCain 33.7
Giuliani 28.8
Huckabee 17.6
Romney 11.5
Paul 4.2
Thompson 2.1
Gingrich 0.4
Rice 0.3
Bloomberg 0.1

New Hampshire
McCain 77.0
Romney 13.1
Paul 1.9 (Field)
Huckabee 0.9

[Reignman]

Hillary is going down in flames! I love it!

[The Mikado]

Mike Huckabee is undervalued.

[Eraserhead]

Mike Huckabee is undervalued.

Agreed.

[Meeker]

Buy Romney NH. Way undervalued.

[Josh/Devilman88]

Why in the heck is Giulinai so high and Huckabee so low? Are these people stupid.

[Reignman]

Very different national numbers, and Giuliani definitely benefits if there's no clear front-runner after a while.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Obama is now higher than Hillary ever was.

[agcatter]

Why in the heck is Giulinai so high and Huckabee so low? Are these people stupid.

yes to those supporting either one of those guys.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

On RCP's mock InTrade I just sold most of my Obama NH stock (not all, I'd feel guilty not owning any), which has hit 98.5 and used it to short Giuliani. I'm figuring that that Giuliani will drop further after NH, and the profit I can make off that is greater than the slightly higher amount I'll get for Obama when the contract expires then it is now and I'll make more than if I waited until after NH to short Giuliani. I might be wrong and Giuliani doesn't fall for whatever reason he never does, but he'll have to crash and burn sometime.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Last pre- NH result update.

Obama hits 3/4ths.

McCain up, Huckabee down.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Obama 75.0
Clinton 23.0
Edwards 1.6
Gore 0.6
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1

New Hampshire
Obama 98.1
Clinton 1.0



REPUBLICANS

Nomination
McCain 36.3
Giuliani 28.0
Huckabee 14.5
Romney 11.8
Paul 4.6
Thompson 2.1
Gingrich 0.4
Rice 0.3
Bloomberg 0.1
Hunter 0.1

New Hampshire
McCain 84.8
Romney 18.0
Paul 1.1
Huckabee 0.3

[© tweed]

last night's IEM closing prices..

Obama 70.1
Clinton 23.1
Edwards 5.0
Rest of Field 2.0

McCain 42.5
Giuliani 24.4
Huckabee 16.8
Romney 15.9
Rest of Field 3.0
Thompson 2.3

[© tweed]

moving by the minute but currently...

Clinton 50.0
Obama 48.1
Edwards 1.1
Gore 0.6

in NH market...

Clinton 55.0
Obama 49.0

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Seriously.  Clinton under 30 is a terrific bargain.

After she loses NH, it'll fall under 20.  Personally, I would be waiting for somewhere around 15 to start buying again.

Now might be a good point to repeat that Clinton under thirty was a terrific bargain. 

[Sam Spade]

Seriously.  Clinton under 30 is a terrific bargain.

After she loses NH, it'll fall under 20.  Personally, I would be waiting for somewhere around 15 to start buying again.

Now might be a good point to repeat that Clinton under thirty was a terrific bargain. 

You did nail that one.    But it was even a better bargain in the low 20s a few hours ago.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Heat of the returns update.

Massive gain by Clinton.

McCain didn't get a boost for winning NH. Romney, Paul, and Thompson drop, though.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Obama 50.7
Clinton 47.1
Edwards 1.0
Gore 0.6
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1

New Hampshire
Obama 36.4
Clinton 66.0



REPUBLICANS

Nomination
McCain 36.2
Giuliani 27.4
Huckabee 14.0
Romney 10.0
Paul 3.1
Thompson 1.6
Gingrich 0.4
Rice 0.4
Bloomberg 0.1
Hunter 0.1

[Reignman]

If Hillary loses by 1%, Obama'll still  lead her in the nomination.

[© tweed]

Seriously.  Clinton under 30 is a terrific bargain.

After she loses NH, it'll fall under 20.  Personally, I would be waiting for somewhere around 15 to start buying again.

Now might be a good point to repeat that Clinton under thirty was a terrific bargain. 

You did nail that one.    But it was even a better bargain in the low 20s a few hours ago.

buying Clinton at 1% or shorting Obama at 99% in NH earlier in the day also was a good move, apparently.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Clinton 62.0
Obama 36.8
Edwards 1.0
Gore 0.6
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1


Nevada
Obama 55.0
Clinton 50.0
Edwards 1.1
Richardson 0.1

South Carolina
Obama 72.0
Clinton 25.0
Edwards 5.0
Richardson 0.1

Florida
Clinton 65.0
Obama 55.0
Richardson 0.1
Edwards 0.1
Field (WTF?) 0.5

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I actually dumped most of my Obama to win NH stock on RCP's mock InTrade this morning although my reasoning was different (I expected Giuliani to crash after NH and wanted to short him before that.) Well he didn't crash but that was still a good move and I still made out in the black.