WA Governor: Gregoire leads Rossi 51-40
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 19, 2024, 03:36:32 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  WA Governor: Gregoire leads Rossi 51-40
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: WA Governor: Gregoire leads Rossi 51-40  (Read 3384 times)
ndcohn
Rookie
**
Posts: 24


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: December 27, 2006, 01:18:19 AM »

http://blog.seattlepi.nwsource.com/seattlepolitics/archives/109909.asp

Gregoire narrowly defeated Rossi in a contested election in 2004.
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,867
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: December 27, 2006, 01:21:21 AM »

I don't remember much of Hart & Associates' work, but that's pretty surprising to me.  Even if I assumed Gregoire was probably somewhat ahead due to the increased Democratic slant of the state, I wouldn't have put it at 11 points.
Logged
AndrewTX
AndrewCT
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,091


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: December 27, 2006, 09:39:41 AM »

There is still 9% undecided. The race could still flip, but who knows.
Logged
Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,388
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: December 27, 2006, 08:25:02 PM »

There is still 9% undecided. The race could still flip, but who knows.

When one candidate is over 50%, it doesn't really matter how many people are undecided at that point.
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,867
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: December 27, 2006, 09:39:04 PM »

There is still 9% undecided. The race could still flip, but who knows.

The 9% undecided is a lot less important than it being 2 years before the race.  Tongue

I would be in the 9%, in fact.
Logged
bgwah
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,833
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.03, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: December 27, 2006, 10:53:26 PM »

I actually hope a republican is the next governor of washington, cause democrats have had lengthy control of the office.. time for a change

"LOL change of party iz gud"

Intelligent people vote for the candidate. Besides, Gary Locke was quite conservative and Gregoire is centrist at best.
Logged
Rob
Bob
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,277
United States
Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -9.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: December 27, 2006, 11:03:41 PM »


Why on Earth would you consider voting for a right-wing extremist over a centrist?
Logged
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: December 27, 2006, 11:20:28 PM »

There is still 9% undecided. The race could still flip, but who knows.

The 9% undecided is a lot less important than it being 2 years before the race.  Tongue

I would be in the 9%, in fact.

This is a rerun race; most people have already made up their minds. For most elections, polls are useless this far out, but I would pay attention to polls of rerun races even so far in advance.
Logged
ottermax
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,788
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.09

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: December 28, 2006, 12:11:13 AM »

Gregoire, as according to the Survey USA's approval rating poll for her, 55% of people approve of her, but only 39% dissaprove.

Here's the site: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=2cae9f6a-f34e-46ef-9431-2f417a0f661b

So, according to her approval rating, she has a good shot at reelection. She'll probably suffer from bad media publicity over 2004's election, and that will hurt her, but not enough to keep her from reelection.
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,867
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: December 28, 2006, 12:49:16 AM »

There is still 9% undecided. The race could still flip, but who knows.

The 9% undecided is a lot less important than it being 2 years before the race.  Tongue

I would be in the 9%, in fact.

This is a rerun race; most people have already made up their minds. For most elections, polls are useless this far out, but I would pay attention to polls of rerun races even so far in advance.

Exactly.  It's not the undecideds; it's the amount of time before the election.    After all, a few months ago, Gregoire was BEHIND Rossi.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,172
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: December 28, 2006, 01:34:45 AM »

This poll is supported by another one from the November Strategic Vision survey, which found Rossi leading Gregoire by 51-44 with 5% undecided.

Her approval rating was 43-48 with 9% Undecided.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/washington_poll_110606.htm
Logged
phk
phknrocket1k
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: December 28, 2006, 03:21:30 AM »

Wouldn't be surprised.

I'd reckon the 04' results were as close as they were.. mostly because it was a strong GOP year. 

More an aberration than any actual trend if you will.
Logged
Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,388
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: December 28, 2006, 04:02:37 AM »

This poll is supported by another one from the November Strategic Vision survey, which found Rossi leading Gregoire by 51-44 with 5% undecided.

Supported?  Those two polls have opposite results.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,172
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: December 28, 2006, 02:59:27 PM »

This poll is supported by another one from the November Strategic Vision survey, which found Rossi leading Gregoire by 51-44 with 5% undecided.

Supported?  Those two polls have opposite results.

Sry, got something wrong here it seems ...Tongue
Logged
Adlai Stevenson
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,403
United Kingdom


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: December 30, 2006, 11:51:54 AM »

It will be a close race regardless of what the polls now say.  I think Gregoire should win considering a Democratic presidential candidate will be at the top of the ticket and her performance in office has been reasonably good so far.  However, a majority of people believed Rossi should have been elected in 2004, and that will help him somewhat.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.229 seconds with 12 queries.