My prediction for the Dem primary

[SPC]

D>30%    Edwards
D>40%    Richardson
D>60%    Obama
D>70%    Biden
D>90%    Clinton
Tossup    Tossup

[Bay Ridge, Bklyn! Born and Bred]

I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee. 

The others--Edwards, Hillary, and Obama, have peaked WAY too early

[Padfoot]

I'm not so sure Edwards would dominate the South.  I think Obama would be very competitive there.

[Big DaddyTX]

^ I agree, I think Obama will do better in the south than Edwards will.

[Padfoot]

Edwards will win the peripheral South where there are less African Americans.  Also, why didn't you call most of the West or New England?  Just curious.

[ndcohn]

[the % are just 00 still...]
clinton -= blue
obama = dark red
edwards = green
richardson = pink

note: this assumes a national primary - i obviously doubt that if AZ is in may that richardson would still be in it to win, for example

***an interesting thing i noticed was that CA/TX/PA/MI were pretty hard for me to decide.

i think edwards would have a difficult time getting the nomination. I think if Clinton drops out, obama would win most clinton states - if Obama dropped out i think that it would be very tight, leaning clinton. Obama vs. Clinton seems like an Obama blow out to me.

[TheresNoMoney]

I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee. 

Wow. Before this comment I was about 50% sure you were a troll, now I'm about 95% sure.

[Verily]

It is highly unlikely that more than three candidates will win any states at all, and one candidate will almost certainly win all of the late states. Unless they start performing significantly better, Richardson and Biden won't even win their home states, which come late in the game. Vilsack has already been shown to be struggling in Iowa, and it would be a miracle if he placed second there. Clinton will probably win a couple of states (especially New York and Arkansas), but she'll drop off the radar in most late states. Which of Edwards and Obama will actually win the nomination is as-yet unclear, but it will almost definitely be one of those two.

My personal prediction
Obama: Red
Edwards: Blue
Clinton: Green

[Reignman]

I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee. 

Wow. Before this comment I was about 50% sure you were a troll, now I'm about 95% sure.