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Author Topic: My prediction for the Dem primary  (Read 2484 times)
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« on: December 27, 2006, 02:52:40 pm »
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D>30%    Edwards
D>40%    Richardson
D>60%    Obama
D>70%    Biden
D>90%    Clinton
Tossup    Tossup
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Endorsements: Sen: Broun (GA), Bevin (KY), Wolf (KS), McDaniel (MS), Brannon (NC), Bright (SC)
House: Amash (MI), Massie (KY), Duncan (TN), McClintock (CA), Sanford (SC), Jones (NC), Huelskamp (KS), Loudermilk (GA), Emmer (MN), Richardson (ME), Raths (CA), DeMaio (CA), Dietzel (LA), Lonegan (NJ), Didier (WA), Mooney (WV), Mathis (AL)
Gov: LePage (ME), Coleman (AR), Melvin (AZ), Donnelly (CA)
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MikeyCNY
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E: 1.94, S: -4.87

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« Reply #1 on: December 27, 2006, 03:20:04 pm »
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I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee. 

The others--Edwards, Hillary, and Obama, have peaked WAY too early
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Padfoot
padfoot714
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« Reply #2 on: December 27, 2006, 03:49:28 pm »
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I'm not so sure Edwards would dominate the South.  I think Obama would be very competitive there.
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Sheriff Buford TX Justice
AndrewCT
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« Reply #3 on: December 27, 2006, 03:54:52 pm »
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^ I agree, I think Obama will do better in the south than Edwards will.
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My parents are pretty good about smelling a rat. 
Let me put this as clear as I can (saying this to myself, as well, so I can see it): I WILL get a job with CADD and I WILL keep the job.
Padfoot
padfoot714
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« Reply #4 on: December 27, 2006, 03:59:09 pm »
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Edwards will win the peripheral South where there are less African Americans.  Also, why didn't you call most of the West or New England?  Just curious.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #5 on: December 27, 2006, 04:47:35 pm »
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I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee. 

Wow. Before this comment I was about 50% sure you were a troll, now I'm about 95% sure.
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E: -3.25
S: -2.72

On the GOP side, for 2016, look out for Gov. Phill Kline (KS), Gov. Ralph Reed (GA), Gov. JD Hayworth (AZ), Sen. David Vitter (LA), among others.
Verily
Cuivienen
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« Reply #6 on: December 27, 2006, 05:12:08 pm »
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It is highly unlikely that more than three candidates will win any states at all, and one candidate will almost certainly win all of the late states. Unless they start performing significantly better, Richardson and Biden won't even win their home states, which come late in the game. Vilsack has already been shown to be struggling in Iowa, and it would be a miracle if he placed second there. Clinton will probably win a couple of states (especially New York and Arkansas), but she'll drop off the radar in most late states. Which of Edwards and Obama will actually win the nomination is as-yet unclear, but it will almost definitely be one of those two.

My personal prediction
Obama: Red
Edwards: Blue
Clinton: Green



« Last Edit: December 27, 2006, 05:14:42 pm by Verily »Logged
Reignman
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« Reply #7 on: December 27, 2006, 07:35:20 pm »
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I'm still going out on a limb here and predicting that Tom Vilsack will eventually become the Dem nominee. 

Wow. Before this comment I was about 50% sure you were a troll, now I'm about 95% sure.
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Senate Prediction:
Score - 60
State Wins - 33/33
State Precentages - 27/33

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