Governor vs. Senator 2008
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Author Topic: Governor vs. Senator 2008  (Read 2226 times)
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« on: December 28, 2006, 02:20:04 PM »
Discuss what certain races would be like if in every state where the Governor and Senator were of different parties, the Governor ran against the Senator. There are no open races. Discuss:


Republican Incumbents:

CO: Ritter (D) v. Allard (R)
KS: Sebelius (D) v. Roberts (R)
ME: Baldacci (D) v. Collins (R)
NH: Lynch (D) v. Sununu (R)
NM: Richardson (D) v. Domenci (R)
OK: Henry (D) v. Inhofe (R)
OR: Kulongoski (D) v. Smith (R)
TN: Bredesen (D) v. Alexander (R)
VA: Kaine (D) v. Warner (R)
WY: Freudenthal (D) v. Thomas (R)


Democrat incumbents:

RI: Carcieri (R) v. Reed (D)
SD: Rounds (R) v. Johnson (D)
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AndrewTX
AndrewCT
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« Reply #1 on: December 28, 2006, 02:28:57 PM »

Republican Incumbents:

CO: Ritter (D) v. Allard (R)  - Ritter wins with 55%
KS: Sebelius (D) v. Roberts (R) - Roberts wins with over 60%
ME: Baldacci (D) v. Collins (R) -Collins slaughters Baldacci
NH: Lynch (D) v. Sununu (R) -Lynch beats Sununu with about 55%
NM: Richardson (D) v. Domenci (R) -Domenci wins with 50%
OK: Henry (D) v. Inhofe (R)- Inhofe wins with about 52%
OR: Kulongoski (D) v. Smith (R)- Smith wins with 52%
TN: Bredesen (D) v. Alexander (R)- Alexander wins with 55%
VA: Kaine (D) v. Warner (R) -Warner wins with over 60%
WY: Freudenthal (D) v. Thomas (R) -Thomas wins with 57%


Democrat incumbents:

RI: Carcieri (R) v. Reed (D) - Reed spanks Carieri like a red headed stepchild
SD: Rounds (R) v. Johnson (D) - Too close to call
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #2 on: December 28, 2006, 02:41:28 PM »
« Edited: December 28, 2006, 03:26:17 PM by Chuck Hagel 08 »
Strong democrat      Likely democrat     Lean democrat     Tossup     
RI                             CO                         NH                        OR
                                                              SD


Lean gop                 Likely gop              Strong gop   
OK                           VA                           KS
NM                           TN                           WY
                                ME   
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Padfoot
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« Reply #3 on: December 28, 2006, 02:48:00 PM »
Quote from: AndrewCT on December 28, 2006, 02:28:57 PM

Republican Incumbents:

CO: Ritter (D) v. Allard (R)  - Ritter wins with 55%
KS: Sebelius (D) v. Roberts (R) - Roberts wins with over 60%
ME: Baldacci (D) v. Collins (R) -Collins slaughters Baldacci
NH: Lynch (D) v. Sununu (R) -Lynch beats Sununu with about 55%
NM: Richardson (D) v. Domenci (R) -Domenci wins with 50%
OK: Henry (D) v. Inhofe (R)- Inhofe wins with about 52%
OR: Kulongoski (D) v. Smith (R)- Smith wins with 52%
TN: Bredesen (D) v. Alexander (R)- Alexander wins with 55%
VA: Kaine (D) v. Warner (R) -Warner wins with over 60%
WY: Freudenthal (D) v. Thomas (R) -Thomas wins with 57%


Democrat incumbents:

RI: Carcieri (R) v. Reed (D) - Reed spanks Carieri like a red headed stepchild
SD: Rounds (R) v. Johnson (D) - Too close to call


I think Richardson would win NM.  And Baldacci would definately lose in ME but I'm ot sure it would be a "slaughter."  That kind of depends on your definition of a slaughter though.
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Harry
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« Reply #4 on: December 28, 2006, 04:22:29 PM »
I think Fruedenthal might win.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #5 on: December 28, 2006, 05:10:02 PM »

And I think that the republican ticket in 2008 might be Jeb Bush/Neil Bush
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Harry
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« Reply #6 on: December 28, 2006, 05:28:52 PM »
Quote from: Chuck Hagel 08 on December 28, 2006, 05:10:02 PM

And I think that the republican ticket in 2008 might be Jeb Bush/Neil Bush
he's really popular there...
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HardRCafé
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« Reply #7 on: December 28, 2006, 07:45:55 PM »
Quote from: Chuck Hagel 08 on December 28, 2006, 05:10:02 PM

And I think that the republican ticket in 2008 might be Jeb Bush/Neil Bush

Ha ha ha ha ha!
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #8 on: December 29, 2006, 08:27:54 PM »
Oops, for WY, I meant to put Enzi instead of Thomas. It won't make much of a difference though.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #9 on: December 29, 2006, 09:24:53 PM »
Republican Incumbents:

CO: Ritter (D) v. Allard (R)  Ritter 53-46                                 DEM GAIN
KS: Sebelius (D) v. Roberts (R) Roberts 60-35
ME: Baldacci (D) v. Collins (R) Collins 61-38
NH: Lynch (D) v. Sununu (R) Lynch 59-39                              DEM GAIN
NM: Richardson (D) v. Domenci (R) Richardson 51-48            DEM GAIN
OK: Henry (D) v. Inhofe (R)  Henry 51-47                              DEM GAIN
OR: Kulongoski (D) v. Smith (R)  Smith 53-44
TN: Bredesen (D) v. Alexander (R)  Bredensen 56-43           DEM GAIN
VA: Kaine (D) v. Warner (R) Warner 61-38
WY: Freudenthal (D) v. Thomas (R) Thomas 51-48


Democrat incumbents:

RI: Carcieri (R) v. Reed (D) Reed 60-39
SD: Rounds (R) v. Johnson (D) Rounds 55-43                       GOP GAIN

This map assumes that their approval ratings are equivalent to their margins of victory in the last election.
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nini2287
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« Reply #10 on: December 30, 2006, 12:21:14 AM »
« Edited: December 30, 2006, 04:46:10 PM by nini2287 »
Republican Incumbents:

CO: Ritter (D) v. Allard (R):  Ritter 56, Allard 44 (DEM GAIN)
KS: Sebelius (D) v. Roberts (R) Roberts 53, Sebelius 47
ME: Baldacci (D) v. Collins (R) Collins 54, Baldacci 31, Others 11
NH: Lynch (D) v. Sununu (R) Lynch 54, Sununu 46
NM: Richardson (D) v. Domenci (R) Richardson 52, Domenici 48 (DEM GAIN)
NC: Easley (D) v. Dole (R) Easley 52, Dole 48 (DEM GAIN)
OK: Henry (D) v. Inhofe (R) Henry 50, Inhofe 50 (DEM GAIN)
OR: Kulongoski (D) v. Smith (R) Smith 52, Kulongski 41, Others 7
TN: Bredesen (D) v. Alexander (R) Alexander 52, Bredesen 48
VA: Kaine (D) v. Warner (R) Warner 56, Kaine 44
WY: Freudenthal (D) v. Thomas (R) Thomas 56, Freudenthal 44


Democrat incumbents:

RI: Carcieri (R) v. Reed (D) Reed 60, Carcieri 40
SD: Rounds (R) v. Johnson (D) Rounds 52, Johnson 48 (REP GAIN)
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #11 on: December 30, 2006, 01:02:48 PM »
I forgot to add NC:
Easley (D) v. Dole (R)
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #12 on: December 30, 2006, 01:14:11 PM »
Quote from: Chuck Hagel 08 on December 28, 2006, 02:20:04 PM

Republican Incumbents:

CO: Ritter (D) v. Allard (R) - Ritter 53%-Allard 45%
KS: Sebelius (D) v. Roberts (R) - Roberts 56%-Sebelius 42%
ME: Baldacci (D) v. Collins (R) - Collins 59%-Baldacci 38%
NH: Lynch (D) v. Sununu (R) - Lynch 54%-Sununu 45%
NM: Richardson (D) v. Domenci (R) - Richardson 51%-Domenici 48%
OK: Henry (D) v. Inhofe (R) - Henry 49%-Inhofe 48%
OR: Kulongoski (D) v. Smith (R) - Smith 52%-Kulongoski 45%
TN: Bredesen (D) v. Alexander (R) - Alexander 51%-48% Bredesen
VA: Kaine (D) v. Warner (R) - Warner 52%-Kaine 47%
WY: Freudenthal (D) v. Thomas (R) - *Enzi 55%-Freudenthal 43%


Democrat incumbents:

RI: Carcieri (R) v. Reed (D) - Reed 66%-Carcieri 33%
SD: Rounds (R) v. Johnson (D) - Johnson 52%-Rounds 47%
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Harry
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« Reply #13 on: December 30, 2006, 03:00:55 PM »
CO: Ritter wins, DEM GAIN
KS: tossup, but probably Roberts
ME: Collins wins easily
NH: Lynch wins, DEM GAIN
NM: Richardson should win this, DEM GAIN
NC: Easley takes it narrowly, DEM GAIN
OK: Henry wins narrowly, DEM GAIN
OR: Smith probably wins
TN: tossup, but probably Alexander
VA: unforunately John Warner, probably, 5hough Kaine is a possible winner
WY: Freudenthal wins, DEM GAIN


Democrat incumbents:

RI: Reed wins easily
SD: Rounds wins, REP GAIN
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #14 on: December 30, 2006, 05:59:40 PM »
Quote from: Harry on December 30, 2006, 03:00:55 PM
CO: Ritter wins, DEM GAIN
KS: tossup, but probably Roberts
ME: Collins wins easily
NH: Lynch wins, DEM GAIN
NM: Richardson should win this, DEM GAIN
NC: Easley takes it narrowly, DEM GAIN
OK: Henry wins narrowly, DEM GAIN
OR: Smith probably wins
TN: tossup, but probably Alexander
VA: unforunately John Warner, probably, 5hough Kaine is a possible winner
WY: Freudenthal wins, DEM GAIN


Democrat incumbents:

RI: Reed wins easily
SD: Rounds wins, REP GAIN

No way is a Democrat winning in WY.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #15 on: December 30, 2006, 06:02:27 PM »
« Edited: December 30, 2006, 06:12:48 PM by Chuck Hagel 08 »
Possible Dem Gains:
CO
NH
OK
NM
NC

Possible GOP Gains:
SD

However, Lynch and Henry have stated that they won't run, so NH will probably be more competitive
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