2008 Senate predictions
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they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
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« Reply #25 on: January 14, 2007, 12:23:00 PM »

Levin's already said he's running again.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #26 on: January 14, 2007, 03:11:33 PM »

Levin's already said he's running again.

The only unannounced Democrat is Tom Harkin. 
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #27 on: January 14, 2007, 03:55:35 PM »

At this point I'd say the map favors the dems, if only because the GOP has more seats to defend and more potential retirements.
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Conan
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« Reply #28 on: January 14, 2007, 04:06:42 PM »

At this point I'd say the map favors the dems, if only because the GOP has more seats to defend and more potential retirements.
There's also a few seats where people were lucky to have been elected such as:
NH: phone jamming scandal
MN: plane crash
OR: 9/11 factor
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Alcon
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« Reply #29 on: January 14, 2007, 04:14:43 PM »


Err, I'm not sure how strong the 9/11 factor was in 1997...
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Conan
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« Reply #30 on: January 14, 2007, 04:26:52 PM »


Err, I'm not sure how strong the 9/11 factor was in 1997...
2002. Err.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #31 on: January 14, 2007, 04:27:34 PM »


Err, I'm not sure how strong the 9/11 factor was in 1997...

I think he means Smith's re-election in 2002.  Obviously strengthed due to Bush's high approval but he was also helped by the fact that he worked well with Ron Wyden, was a moderate and the Democrats did not target him. 
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Conan
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« Reply #32 on: January 14, 2007, 04:28:58 PM »


Err, I'm not sure how strong the 9/11 factor was in 1997...

I think he means Smith's re-election in 2002.  Obviously strengthed due to Bush's high approval but he was also helped by the fact that he worked well with Ron Wyden, was a moderate and the Democrats did not target him. 
Nor did he receive a serious challenge.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #33 on: January 14, 2007, 04:42:44 PM »


Err, I'm not sure how strong the 9/11 factor was in 1997...

I think he means Smith's re-election in 2002.  Obviously strengthed due to Bush's high approval but he was also helped by the fact that he worked well with Ron Wyden, was a moderate and the Democrats did not target him. 
Nor did he receive a serious challenge.

Well yeah that is what I meant.  Smith will definitely win by less than 56%-40% in 2008.  I think Blumenauer could very narrowly take him down. 
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Alcon
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« Reply #34 on: January 14, 2007, 07:31:59 PM »

I assumed you meant 2002 (but that would have been less fun to be an ass about), but do you really think Smith would have been in trouble if not for 9/11?  Who would have challenged him?  All of the congressional candidates would have been lukewarm at best.  I don't think 9/11 not happening would have meant that they could have found someone willing to throw themselves in the fire.
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Soaring Eagle
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« Reply #35 on: January 14, 2007, 08:16:42 PM »

At this point I'd say the map favors the dems, if only because the GOP has more seats to defend and more potential retirements.
There's also a few seats where people were lucky to have been elected such as:
NH: phone jamming scandal
MN: plane crash
OR: 9/11 factor

You could say that every race was influenced by 9/11, as well.
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