2008 Senate predictions

[Adlai Stevenson]

I think it is too early to predict individual races; but generally, Democrats gain up to 4 seats in the Senate while suffering one probable loss in Louisiana.

[Adlai Stevenson]

Levin's already said he's running again.

The only unannounced Democrat is Tom Harkin. 

[Adlai Stevenson]

OR: 9/11 factor

Err, I'm not sure how strong the 9/11 factor was in 1997...

I think he means Smith's re-election in 2002.  Obviously strengthed due to Bush's high approval but he was also helped by the fact that he worked well with Ron Wyden, was a moderate and the Democrats did not target him. 

[Adlai Stevenson]

OR: 9/11 factor

Err, I'm not sure how strong the 9/11 factor was in 1997...

I think he means Smith's re-election in 2002.  Obviously strengthed due to Bush's high approval but he was also helped by the fact that he worked well with Ron Wyden, was a moderate and the Democrats did not target him. 

Nor did he receive a serious challenge.

Well yeah that is what I meant.  Smith will definitely win by less than 56%-40% in 2008.  I think Blumenauer could very narrowly take him down.