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Author Topic: Control of the House  (Read 7119 times)
raggage
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« on: June 29, 2004, 11:01:31 pm »
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Who will end up in control of the house in '04..... I know there are alot of threads on possible seats changing party but does anyone think that the Dems could win... I think they will net gain 2 seats, maybe 3, but not enough so, with a tear in my eye, i've gotta say republican.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1 on: June 29, 2004, 11:03:03 pm »
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House stays Republicans and the GOP will gain seats, too.
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Quote from: Representative Wyodon on May 06, 2013, 04:31:05 pm
And you're a fucking asshole. How about you try actually contributing something to a debate at some point, or are you too busy kissing Rick Santorum's ass?
opebo
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« Reply #2 on: June 29, 2004, 11:33:02 pm »
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This one is a bit easier to predict.
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Quote from: ?????????? on April 22, 2005, 03:24:06 pm
You are a peice of trash and you disgust me you ignorant louse.
Sibboleth
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« Reply #3 on: June 30, 2004, 03:26:25 am »
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The Texas Gerrymander was supposed to act as a kind of electoral insurance policy... problem is most of the lame duck incumbents are currently leading in their districts...

Overall a lot of incumbents are in for tough races this and their are a good number of open seats...

The GOP should hang on, but don't bet the farm on it.
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #4 on: June 30, 2004, 06:54:29 am »
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I miss "Third Party in Control"! Smiley
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #5 on: June 30, 2004, 04:20:08 pm »
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GOP
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« Reply #6 on: June 30, 2004, 05:03:35 pm »
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Easy GOP hold, few seat gain probably. Bush coattails in Texas and other GOP strongholds...
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raggage
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« Reply #7 on: June 30, 2004, 10:20:40 pm »
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Quote from: AuH2O on June 30, 2004, 05:03:35 pm
Easy GOP hold, few seat gain probably. Bush coattails in Texas and other GOP strongholds...

Damned redistricting.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #8 on: July 01, 2004, 04:40:25 pm »
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Quote from: raggage on June 30, 2004, 10:20:40 pm
Quote from: AuH2O on June 30, 2004, 05:03:35 pm
Easy GOP hold, few seat gain probably. Bush coattails in Texas and other GOP strongholds...

Damned redistricting.

Damned Tom DeLay!
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« Reply #9 on: July 01, 2004, 09:01:34 pm »
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The GOP's gains in TX (3-6 seats) will be cancelled out by Dem gains in NY WA and CO (1 or 2 each).  The GOP has maxed out their control and by maxing out our nationa's credit cards have ed their (I disown them) position in the House in terms of gains in the fiscaly conservative but socially moderate to liberal North and West.
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« Reply #10 on: July 02, 2004, 01:50:29 am »
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Kind of hard for the Democrats to win back the House when there was an ultra-partisan Texas gerrymander which was to ensure that the "House remain Republican no matter what the national mood".

"No matter what the national mood"?

Why bother even having an election? Grrrrrrrrrr......
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Ethelberth
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« Reply #11 on: July 02, 2004, 06:05:14 am »
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Reps will win because of Texas
Otherwise Dems would retake the house
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zorkpolitics
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« Reply #12 on: July 02, 2004, 08:16:47 pm »
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I expect  little change among incumbents, but the Republicans will gain maybe 3 seats in TX, while losing several open seats, notably in NY, KY, WA, CO.  For a net Democratic gain, but not enough to win control
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« Reply #13 on: July 03, 2004, 10:09:34 am »
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My prediction is that the Dems will pick up 5 seats...the House will be close, but GOP hangs on to control.
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« Reply #14 on: July 04, 2004, 02:53:12 am »
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I put the Republicans, but I think they'll only gain a seat or two.  I've say +-2 both ways.
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raggage
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« Reply #15 on: July 04, 2004, 04:02:00 am »
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I was just thinking, surely the Democrats could 'gerrymander' in heavily democratic states like California and New York and re-district to kick out republicans like how the reverse has happened in Texas.

Perhaps its the Republican governors stopping it.
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ijohn57s
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« Reply #16 on: July 11, 2004, 03:22:23 pm »
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The GOP picks up 6 or 7 seats.
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« Reply #17 on: July 14, 2004, 10:43:38 pm »
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The current open seats (except TX) favor the Democrats in that more are in districts Gore won than in districts Bush won
Probably a net 3-5 for the Democrats
I don't expect more than a net 1-2 gain for the Democrats among incumbents
But TX will give the Republicans a net 3, and possibly up to 5
So Republicans should retain control but with a reduced majority
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"Scientists are treacherous allies on committees, for they are apt to change their minds in response to arguments" C.M. Bowra

The only way to reverse the failed polices of the past is OMG: Obama Must Go!
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