2008 Senate Matchups: South Dakota

[Conan]

Did anyone happen to see the Rounds inauguration. This man isnt a politician, he's more of a cleric. He gave more of a sermon than anything else. He's scarey in these theocratic ways.

[AndrewTX]

Let us not forget he defeated Senator Larry Pressler in a Presidential year in which Bob Dole carried South Dakota. 

...by about 3 points.

Pressler was an incumbent in a state Dole won by a wide margin. I don't think Rounds can win (even if he is interested in taking the seat) because he was too badly damaged by the abortion referendum.

Dole didn't win the state by a wide margin! He won it by 3 points! When a gap of 15,000 votes in a state is considered a wide margin, come wake me up.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Let us not forget he defeated Senator Larry Pressler in a Presidential year in which Bob Dole carried South Dakota. 

...by about 3 points.

Pressler was an incumbent in a state Dole won by a wide margin. I don't think Rounds can win (even if he is interested in taking the seat) because he was too badly damaged by the abortion referendum.

Dole didn't win the state by a wide margin! He won it by 3 points! When a gap of 15,000 votes in a state is considered a wide margin, come wake me up.

ok but that's not really relevent to the point I was trying to make. Also Perot got almost 10% of the vote. The point is that if Johnson beat an incumbent under unfavorable conditions, he should also be able to defeat a challenger under less-than-favorable conditions.

[DownWithTheLeft]

Did anyone happen to see the Rounds inauguration. This man isnt a politician, he's more of a cleric. He gave more of a sermon than anything else. He's scarey in these theocratic ways.

Well, then I like him more than ever.  Remember, an endorsment of atheism is more dangerous than an endorsement of Christianity.

[Deano963]

Did anyone happen to see the Rounds inauguration. This man isnt a politician, he's more of a cleric. He gave more of a sermon than anything else. He's scarey in these theocratic ways.

Well, then I like him more than ever.  Remember, an endorsment of atheism is more dangerous than an endorsement of Christianity.

Yes, b/c there is obviously no middle ground between endorsing an atheist society and endorsing a theocratic one.....

[AndrewTX]

Let us not forget he defeated Senator Larry Pressler in a Presidential year in which Bob Dole carried South Dakota. 

...by about 3 points.

Pressler was an incumbent in a state Dole won by a wide margin. I don't think Rounds can win (even if he is interested in taking the seat) because he was too badly damaged by the abortion referendum.

Dole didn't win the state by a wide margin! He won it by 3 points! When a gap of 15,000 votes in a state is considered a wide margin, come wake me up.

ok but that's not really relevent to the point I was trying to make. Also Perot got almost 10% of the vote. The point is that if Johnson beat an incumbent under unfavorable conditions, he should also be able to defeat a challenger under less-than-favorable conditions.

No, it isn't at all. The point you made that I responded to was the fact that Johnson beat Pressler while Dole carried the state. Regardless if Perot got nearly 10 percent or not, the fact is Dole only would have won with about 53% or so, at the most if he had some of Perots support. 

 I support Johnson, but it's still too early to see what capacity this man will be in two years. I hope he makes a great recovery, and is re-elected to the Senate, because we need people like him. But if he isn't in the best condition, would it really be the best for the state to re-elect a man who isn't going to be able to be out there fighting for South Dakotas values.

[Rococo4]

If Johnson runs, he is a virtual lock to win after what happened - if he recovers.  If not Herseth v. Rounds would be a titanic battle - I 'd probably say Herseth actually starting out slightly favored.  But it would be a good race.

[Keystone Phil]

Did anyone happen to see the Rounds inauguration. This man isnt a politician, he's more of a cleric. He gave more of a sermon than anything else. He's scarey in these theocratic ways.

He was impressive. No doubt that the man is a great speaker.

[Frodo]

Stephanie Herseth would likely win in that year, though given South Dakota's traditionally Republican allegiance and the fact that Governor Mike Rounds is a top-tier candidate, it will be a closely fought race that will be decided within a few percentage points.