PA: How would the following have turned out?

[nini2287]

A-2004:  Hoeffel vs. Santorum
B-2004:  Casey vs. Specter
C-2004:  Casey vs. Santorum
D-2006:  Hoeffel vs. Santorum
E-2006:  Casey vs. Specter
F-2006:  Hoeffel vs. Specter


I say:
A-Santorum 51, Hoeffel 49
B-Casey 49, Specter 48
C-Casey 53, Santorum 47
D-Hoeffel 54, Santorum 46
E-Casey 51, Specter 45
F-Specter 49, Hoeffel 46

[Verily]

A: Hoeffel 51, Santorum 48
B: Casey 47, Specter 50
C: Casey 54, Santorum 46
D: Hoeffel 55, Santorum 45
E: Casey 49, Specter 51
F: Hoeffel 47, Specter 53

A: I just can't imagine anyone voting for both Kerry and Santorum at the same time.
B: Rife with crossover voters on both sides. Kerry on the ballot helps Specter rather than hurts him against a populist Democrat.
C: See A, with some Republican crossover to Casey.
D: What he lacks in populism Hoeffel makes up for somewhat in actually actively campaigning.
E: Casey doesn't campaign hard enough, and Specter is saved by a fondness for moderate Republicans (much like why Chafee was so close in a much more Democratic state).
F: Not too much sweat broken by Specter.

[Jake]

A-2004:  Hoeffel 46, Santorum 53
B-2004:  Casey 49, Specter 50 (Implausible as hell)
C-2004:  Casey 53, Santorum 46
D-2006:  Hoeffel 49, Santorum 50
E-2006:  Casey 52, Specter 47
F-2006:  Hoeffel 46, Specter 53

Ignoring other candidates. A conservative running in 2006 would take 3-5% from Specter, and 2-4% in 2004.

[TeePee4Prez]

A: Hoeffel 51, Santorum 48
B: Casey 47, Specter 50
C: Casey 54, Santorum 46
D: Hoeffel 55, Santorum 45
E: Casey 49, Specter 51
F: Hoeffel 47, Specter 53

A: I just can't imagine anyone voting for both Kerry and Santorum at the same time.
B: Rife with crossover voters on both sides. Kerry on the ballot helps Specter rather than hurts him against a populist Democrat.
C: See A, with some Republican crossover to Casey.
D: What he lacks in populism Hoeffel makes up for somewhat in actually actively campaigning.
E: Casey doesn't campaign hard enough, and Specter is saved by a fondness for moderate Republicans (much like why Chafee was so close in a much more Democratic state).
F: Not too much sweat broken by Specter.

I would definitely concur with this.  Couldn't have said it any better myself.

[Keystone Phil]

A: I just can't imagine anyone voting for both Kerry and Santorum at the same time.

They voted for Gore and Santorum at the same time. And before you go complaining about Klink being weak, Hoeffel is just as bad. He might be charismatic but he comes across as a loose cannon and is unknown.

[Speed of Sound]

A: I just can't imagine anyone voting for both Kerry and Santorum at the same time.

They voted for Gore and Santorum at the same time. And before you go complaining about Klink being weak, Hoeffel is just as bad. He might be charismatic but he comes across as a loose cannon and is unknown.

Yeah.......but Klink was weak.